Sey-Mour Snow

Need consistency in the 4-6 day range to get the correct dose of drugs

I saw that, is that even physically possible.

One of the more interesting surface evolutions I’ve seen modeled. I know I’m a weenie for analyzing day 11 gfs 18z but it produces heavy snow east of the low?

Inside hugger Miller B. Still rain for us but nice to see the option of the St Paul cutter trending east on some guidance

It’s funny bc you said pack ..

Put the beer down and step away from the computer

High likelihood our Coastal wx will be rain.

Fixed it for you

Closing shades for 3 weeks in Jan with a -nao in Central New England is not smart. Maybe down here on south coast we get skunked but even we can get lucky down here in the tropics.

Another good one would be finding out when many climate sites had their latest first day staying below 32 for a high. My lowest high here is 34 this season.

All I can say is wow, our Jan 4-6 and Jan 6-8 storms are back .. 00z euro plus euro control run plus 6z gfs .. several nor'easters finally modeled with good tracks ... 90% rain for SNE... going to need to phase in some cold somehow..

That was the Jan 4 through 6 threat she gone . Guess it’s time to change my profile image

Today’s GFS next 15 days .. 40s to near 50 everyday in CT except one. Lows barely below freezing that’s hardly a pattern change from most of December. We haven’t had a high below 32 since February 28th.. Average high at bdl is 37

Yes it does. Many are jaded from recent failures, GEFS not as good, and also that pattern can easily be great for the distant interior and bad for many on this subforum, time will tell.

We are in major need for a D-drip. And the only fix is a legit storm to track.

I get it, the op models are disheartening plus these mild temps for the foreseeable future suck. Also having absolutely nothing to track, I have zero hope for any threats in the next 10 days. Just have to flip this pattern completely and get rid of the mild pac air. Even though we technically start a new regime to end this week it sure seems as if it is morphing from a potentially favorable “better” pattern to more of the same BS. We just have to keep in mind it’s December 27th. I am excited to see what the -NAO and some true cold air eventually being available can do for us.

This is a pattern that definitely favors up and in at first.. GEFS and EPS are very tasty in the individual members for most of New England and the Northeast with interior favored for now with many big hitters .

I can’t post maps anymore it always says file too big

EPS nice in long range, many members have monster snowstorms in that Jan 6-8 range

Just taking GFS verbatim its highs in the 40s 12 of the next 15 days with 3 days in upper 30s.

Surprising how we are still so torched post this coming weekend with the pattern change. Just no cold air to work with GFS is still +5 to +15 for the weekend and much of next week. Highs 45-50 still in these parts with lows around freezing.

Ensembles long range overnight really hitting that monster -nao hard also a lot less -pna

The blocking is literally in the same exact spot as that weeklies map

The weeklies are do or die now? Cheer up buttercup it shows a Building -NAO for mid and late January with a transient -PNA week 3 which has been the thought for quite some time for many, then pretty weeniesh Weeks 4-5 with -epo and -nao

Just bc nobody posted about it doesn’t mean it’s a step back, geps is cold as hell and gefs improved some and has a great -nao, eps remained steady