Sey-Mour Snow

18z gfs much colder for the day 9 storm.. still rain for most but 1-2' of heavy wet snow for the deep interior.. wouldn't it be funny if we pull off a heavy wet snowstorm in the middle of our torch and unfavorable period..

33mb drop in 24 hours

All we need to do is get past the 5-10 day unfavorable pattern and we can sneak a snow event in at anytime.

Some of the Debbie Downers in here are forgetting its December 8th.. How are we saying that the rest of the month is horrible and nothing until after Christmas the earliest? If your long range forecasting skills were that good, pretty sure you'd have an important job with NOAA. For now we know that things are unfavorable in the next 5-10 days and thats about it. Every piece of information that we have does in fact say that things slowly start to turn less hostile in the 10-15 and *edit* serviceable to possibly a good pattern in the 15-20. Thats all we know for now. Adding this part in, you don't need the perfect pattern to get snow post December 15th, all we need is to get rid of the hostile pattern.

Even some snow showers here we take what we can get for now.

I’m saying the unfavorable look at the end of the ensembles is there on the weeklies too. Then the weeklies shift everything east to a more favorable pattern towards the holidays.

Ya and it matches up with end of ensembles so it makes sense.

Arguably worse without that monster -NAO

GEFS look pretty awful through the 19th and at least a few days after that. Things definitely trending lights out til at least Christmas week. Hopefully we sneak in a snow event somewhere in there. No reason to freak out as most expected this. Hopefully the pattern progresses to what we want and think will happen by Christmas week.

Favorable changes in the Pacific on long range EPS especially days 9-13, however it’s on an island with that idea.

It’ was actually for the day 5 snow that’s probably not happening. And I think we all know it’s a clown map , I just said it would be funny if it verified. Lighten up grinch.

If that verified verbatim I might have to put a restraining order on Ray for SWCT.

Weird how GFS and Canadian are so different. Euro is very warm for CT maybe NE and NW hills cash in verbatim on Euro. 6z GFS has the wednesday snower again as a CT special.. I feel like we miss on both as both are weak shredded messes and rain showers for most.

January 11th 2025.

00z GFS and EURO were definitely close to a snowstorm for many in that December 4-6 timeframe albeit on different pieces of energy. Produce a solid event for CNE and NNE verbatim. We track.

64 here again back to back days, we will probably hit 66-67

It’s not that far away so if it is wrong which it probably is, it deserves plenty of bashing. That run has significant snow in SNE inside 120 hours.

Early snowmobile season for CNE on the GFS

60 degree temps and 60mph winds on euro

Already 63 here now.

* 5th qb. Somehow it’s been done by Zach Wilson, Sam darnold, geno smith, and mark sanchez..

Euro took a solid step towards GFS at 00z.. Wouldn't that 6z gfs be nice for the forum if it verified, just expand those snow amounts about 15 miles south to include the south coast lol

I’d say 10+F anomalies classify a torch. GEFS had 70% probs for 10+ anomalies. So it’s there especially next Thursday through Sunday.

Next Wednesday through next Saturday/Sunday should be 5-15 degree anomalies.