Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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5 day mean .. weenie range shows potential for transient PNA ridges like Brooklyn was saying ..
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We (jdj) follow this all the time just to see if the EPS can find sniff out any snow threats and the last 2 years it’s been abysmal this is an absolutely loaded pattern on the eps with more threats beyond 1/7 and 1/10 that it’s sniffing out . Some huge 15 day outputs that I haven’t seen in a while..
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Yes, also a tremendous amount of cold in the central U.S. and Great Lakes to me means that the favored storm track would be on the east coast
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Def speeding up too looks like Saturday evening start down here now. Hopefully we can get some consensus in the next 24-48 hours
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((GGEM+GFS)/2)^2
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Delmarva, it scooted east with the confluence. Just an op run all options still on table ..
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It still becomes a beast .. gets going later and will fringe south coast at best .. (edit doesn't even get north of Baltimore .. congrats DT this run
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could be better for us in the long run IF the trend is later but still gets its act together, bc some guidance did have LBSW
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Pretty massive jump SE and weaker on GFS so far
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Amazing to see how erratic it has become . Gfs almost looks more like the old euro now with its handling of this threat in the 7-8 day range
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Last nights EPS was colder than 12z and a great hit for SNE and CNE 5-7" mean at this range is legit. Several monster hits as well, the lean is North rather than south though so several NNE big hits rather than the Mid-Atlantic, which is good at this range for this forum as it seems like the bigger risk is a whiff south rather than a messy mix. Posted snow axis for just that storm so you can see where the lean is.
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What are you thinking for best analog for jan 7? Reminds me of a mini Jan 96 lite
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Of course that’s an option on the table. 50/50 right now. Glad we have something to track at least.
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The storm may ride straight through Hartford and rain to CNE. The storm may bury us all, and it may miss us to the south. But the temp anomalies Saturday have nothing to do with it.
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Dude you are adding some much other BS into this. I’m not saying it’s 100% going to snow. Go back and read the whole thread. I swear some of you lack reading comprehension and social skills. The map he posted has no value towards the storm l, and I just proved it. That is my ONLY argument period now get over it.
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You are making this conversation more complicated now. The conversation was only about his map showing temp anomalies next Saturday for a snowstorm on Sunday. That has no relevance on the outcome of the storm. I’ll play his game though. Here’s the gfs temp anomalies next Saturday then the next day 10-25” of snow across much of that area.
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North you meant I believe. But yes I agree , some dont understand meteorology it seems
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I have to respectfully disagree with you, the antecedent airmass has nothing to do with the precipitation outcome in this case with that synoptic setup. High pressure is in the perfect spot to funnel in cold air. The messier solutions you see on the Euro are because of the fact that the European guidance hugs the coast . It’s as simple as a favorable track will lock in the cold and most likely bring snow.
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A perfect track for SNE, a few ticks south of 12z.. PA gets buried with 15-25”
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You are right you posted two maps with no context that mean absolutely nothing in regards to forecasting this threat just bc the pretty colors fit your view. Happy new year.
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Did I post the 2m temps or did you? You are certifiably crazy .. Who on earth posts Day 6 2m temp anomalies before the storm, it makes zero sense. You cannot win this argument man get a life. We have had 30 degree temp anomalies the day before a snowstorm, what is your point? The simple point is that if the storm takes a favorable track it will snow. Posting Saturday's anomalies bring no forecasting skill to this forum.
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You are showing temp anomalies Saturday for a Sunday storm? Grasp for straws much? That map will change 100 times and is only dependent on storm track.
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Temp anomaly maps don’t show much the day before a modeled snowstorm
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Eps has the PV split again
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Long range continuing to improve as well after the 1/10 storm .
