Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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Ya we have coating to 1" south of 84 .. 1-2" north to the pike that should do it .. although it does look like SE New England to the beaches could sneak in a lucky inch of snow before the rain .. almost all guidance likes the band producing a stripe from New London County into Rhode Island and the Islands overnight
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ya, what a joke, we knew it would happen with no support.. Looks like we got into Feb 10+ before a real wintry threat emerges .. -
Horrific trends on this one overnight, with EURO and GFS pretty similar on a primary into Cleveland
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Not a big deal for New England yes but still 1-2" of snow/sleet for many North of 84, probably a slick AM commute ..
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This is for January only correct?
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A lot of thundersnow in that , that and Feb 2021 were the the last great storms for me with 4” one hour and a ton of Thunder snow .. I think around 15” I’m sure 4 seasons has the map
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What the heck is going on in here? Using geese as a tool for your long range winter forecasts makes you a great long range forecaster? I’d try to find a better example. Unless you are kidding I hope lol
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Pretty loud signal for day 6-7, but makes sense as Tip was saying... EPS has a mean over south tip of Delmarva , hugs NW of BM then scoots East of BM, some very strong lows in there.. 4-6" mean for SNE is pretty wild for day 6-7...
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How much did he pay you to say that?
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Or worse for some, Euro is wrong on both and we go 35- 45 and drizzle Friday and then whiff Monday .. I'd rather 65 and sunny if we are going to melt the pack might as well torch..
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Almost looks like a spring time bowling ball, nothing really impressive .. not really sure how it gets so strong near the benchmark on the euro.. closer look vort goes right under Long Island and "tries" to get its act together.
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There is interest in that period for Sunday night / Monday but it's a thread the needle , not much cold to work with.. Then a fropa maybe next Tuesday/Wednesday with a brief visit from the Polar Vortex possibly..
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ya ok , I think Kevin and then Ray were talking about Sunday night in Kevins post that you responded to
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You talking about tomorrow night? I wouldn’t say Sunday night into next Monday is pike north or 1-2 spot 3 at this moment. All guidance is a miss south of us except euro ..
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Just some perspective here on how horrible last January was even compared to this one down here which is below normal snow wise.. January 2023 - 0.9" snow 38.7 average temp - 8 days below 40 for a high and the lowest max was 33.8 Through Jan 21, 2024 - 5.9" of snow .. 29.5 average temp - 11 days below 40 out of 21 .. 7 days below 30 for a high
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That's Friday's verification compared to Friday's forecast.. Forecast for tomorrow is Coating to 1"
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Ya Euro is locked in on low to mid 60s.. GFS and Canadian still keep us in 30s to near 40. But they have it warmer near 50 on Saturday
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I’ll be ready for some yard work Friday!
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2nd run in a row showing this
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1-2” from 84 to the Pike. Not much precip to work with
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Back to current affairs. Euro is a bit more enthused with next Sunday/Monday threat.. Gfs was a bit too far south.. Not a bad spot to be 7.5 days out.. Looks like a thread the needle as cold air will be an issue.. Also guidance has trended a bit too far east with the eastern trough for the Jan 30/31 threat. Let's see if that can move back west with time..
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GEFS still like the general 3-4 day window of the 27th-31st for storminess and snow threats. With what would be 2 threats one the 27-28 and another the 30-31st .. Nothing before or after that window for SNE , With CNE and NNE having some opportunity this coming week..
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It can still trend colder next week and not snow here .. Trends aren't your friend .. Pike north is in the game, not us.. Focus on the last 3-4 days of January.
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Fixed it for you
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Ya I'm over next week ( you have a better shot than I do for a sloppy few inches) , my interest is in next weekend into the 30th-31st could be 2 threats in there .. PNA spike plus some Arctic highs moving into favorable spots for us ..
