Sey-Mour Snow

GFS and Canadian both colder on next weekends system .. That has potential to trend colder as well as we get that quick PNA ridge between the 29th and 31st

Exactly

It's going to be a last minute thing, can we get the high to tick better and thus colder.. Right now the area from 84 to the pike is has the most at stake could be a few inches of snow then a glaze over to drizzle.. Any trends weaker and east with the high would mean mostly rain .. If we can get that high stronger and more west then more are in the game for 3-6" then a glaze.. CNE is best in this set-up, my gut is that the high trends east and weaker with time .. EPS is most bullish on a few inches for you .. GEFS and GEPS are mostly rain to the pike.. The waves after that look like mostly rain as well for most of us .. Then we await Jan 30th

Man if we don't have that system to track on the 30th ... This forum will be the worst we have ever seen heading into February looking at the 11-15 lol .. EPS isn't as bad but just an epic torch with no end in sight on GEFS and GEPS

Already a few members with lows in the vicinity of the benchmark for 10 days out there would be more but there's timing differences obviously .. That signal has pretty much been there since day 15 ..

18-19 started the rat stretch.. we had a fluke night march storm to get us out of the teens that year for snowfall. Then 20/21 had the 3 week epic 40” Feb stretch for that winter .. other than that non stop rat winters since 18/19 .. this will be 5/6 well below average for me since building my new house which was a snow jinx

3rd biggest snowfall of the season today at .7” will look like deep winter for 7 days at least.. 5.4” on the season .. 1” ahead of last years pace at this time - last year didn’t pass 5” until Feb 28th .. now we await the January thaw to end somewhere around Feb 7-11 based on long range ensembles and weeklies. I remain naively optimistic that we can thread the proverbial needle a few times before then.. why not

Verbatim it would be several inches in S CT extended out to 60 hours , but it's the HRRR at 48 hours at happy hour so it is what it is..

I've never seen 25" fall from a storm.. Most is 18-20" quite a few times. Unfortunately I was working in Norwalk for every flake of Nemo in Feb '13 when my area had 40" ...

The southern CT snow hole has taken the place of the RI snow hole of the past .. You hate to see it, but it's real..

1050 MB over Montreal on GFS .. Euro 1035 and slides east a bit .. just need to get some overrunning

Cold high still there

Big improvements at 500mb, let’s see if the other guidance trends better

GFS / NAM / GEM/ RGEM tantalizing close for the biggest snow of the year for the south coast.. verbatim at least a few inches of fluff .. 3-6"+ not too far south .. EURO the furthest South would still get a few fluffy inches probably. Hopefully we get another bump NW or two to get more into a few inches .. Advisory snow would be a win ...

Still there, even stronger this run just about 50 miles SE of 00z..

We will get ours one day. I know it. There was a time when SWCT was hot, now we are not.. it comes in waves.

Freezing rain and some sleet mix here in Seymour. 23.9 degrees

yes it's about an hour behind with sleet line

Based on reports I've seen looks like Ginxy to PVD to Taunton to Weymouth widespread 3-5" already on the ground with an hour or two of heavy snow left especially just north of that line ..

All sleet here 1.2” final snow.. 23.3 degrees

Ah ok thanks for clearing that up .. Glad to see the salt helping out with the snow covered highways and accidents on the shoreline.. Check the cams - CT DOT - and Statewide road social accounts for verification..

Honestly your general idea of this winter is an A+ for me the general ideas were correct and it's going as planned .. you can't do much about being a few degrees off here and there and not getting snowstorms to work out.. The threats and favorable periods were highlighted and generally verified .. February looks to start amazing on long range guidance which is nice to see.

It ain't over until Kevin sings

Puking on the 95 corridor east of Milford from New Haven on east .. 95 snow covered which is hard to do

Can we stop with the why are schools closed? What did you want? Everyone to go into school at normal time only to freak out about the snow picking back up with icing imminent, then they call an early dismissal last second, you have to leave work and rush to get them while buses are driving through the hills at 12pm with moderate sleet and freezing rain falling with temps in the 20s? Ya that woulda been a great idea..