Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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3 run trend of the 500mb trough digging is noticeable since 00z on EPS valid sunday 12z -
I thought the same thing... weird.. I think bc it's a bigger hit down here, less posters?
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Pretty bad run to run consistency from every piece of guidance now. If we can just get the gfs and euro to lock in now that would be great.
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Definitely a nod towards gfs with snow most of Sunday
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Thats a great run for CT
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Another tick se almost directly over the BM now at 989
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Trailing vort noticeably stronger on euro early on lets see if that gives a gfs type solution (just wishcasting here I know) I agree, please EURO throw us a bone towards GFS..
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He's due good for him.. Hope he gets a 20 spot .. Hopefully the West CT folks will be next this season..
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Weenie run with 1.5-2.5" liquid in EMASS.. it's steady for CT just cold enough for most .
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wow a pounding for extreme east MASS all the way back to about you..
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A track just south of Long Island will generally bring mid level warmth to the south coast not much of a surprise .. NAM is on the northern envelope right now, its like 25 south of the twin forks.. RGEM similar track, more intense.. If we get that track locked in a lot of the south coast is cooked after a wet few inches..
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That may be the payoff for us on the line ..
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idk why I'm analyzing the NAM but ya ENE had another 3 hours of 1-2" per hour on that NAM run great run for NE mass and south east new hampshire woulda been widespread 18-24"+ up there.. Sucks for southern CT but its the NAM would love to see GFS tick south
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Def a tick SE on 6z eps, love to see it, keep the ticks south coming for us southerners. Good luck everyone back to work til 12:30 will be watching for updates on the phone..
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I get where you are coming from and I'm not concerned about inland CT. Just the shore to my hood before the horrible 00z euro the shore was already very borderline .. Most of our clients and following is on the immediate shore so we have more at stake.. The CT shore i can see 0-2" or 6"+ of paste .. But you inland guys are still looking great for 6"+
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Great map.. Along the lines I"m thinking right now
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Lol I knew that was coming.. Plenty of reason for caution down here.. I'm one of the furthest southwest posters on this forum.. Like I said NE CT still looks great.. SWCT much different story..
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ya it's 100% related to that dry slot .. 18z and 00z both had the dryslot
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Looking at 00z euro soundings theres a warm layer at 800mb up to central CT.. the 6z euro was much colder aloft luckily ... let's hope that 00z run was a blip ..
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I'm only 12 miles as the crow flies from the shore.. So I have a lot less wiggle room .. glad to see 6z euro beef up and tick se with the warming aloft .. also I think a lot of that warming comes with a potential dryslot, need to keep heavier rates in most of CT , I could see snow growth being putrid if it ticks back north..
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Kevin and ginx area is still in a solid spot .. We cant take anymore north ticks for most of interior CT, CT shore is most likely cooked, my area is cooked next with one more tick.. Problem is GFS is the coldest and snowiest now for CT, and its been playing catch up .. Let's hope for a reverse trend at 12z ..
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We need the tics SE starting 12z or its game over.
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If you are using snow maps you want to use Kuchera down here mid levels are torched they are much less than 10:1 ..
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Wow congrats CNE, that was abrupt and violent. I don’t think that was a fluke as latest WPC 4”+ odds line up well with the north trends overnight.
