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Sey-Mour Snow

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. I agree ensemble storm tracks have been extremely volatile this year. Need to wait this one out until we get multiple cycles of consistency
  2. Faster and less interaction no run to run continuity yet. Much worse for most . We will get something vastly different at 00z I assume
  3. Ya I bet the fact that it comes out first is a big reason why its even looked at and talked about .. If it came out at the same time as GFS and Canadian I bet it would be forgotten.. Having it come out during the dead time can satisfy a weenies craving to get NAM'd or in this case i- CON'd pun intended
  4. Same.. would feel great RT 2 north.. Still can go south as Will said, glancing over things slower seems it would favor south.. some of the bombs on EPS are faster and farther north.. Would be nice to get a regionwide event from Greenwich CT to Maine .. But that's asking a lot I know
  5. LOL I can proudly say I've never had to refresh my webpage waiting for the ICON model to load. Although I hear it's slightly better this winter.. @ORH_wxman what are your thoughts on the ICON's performance recently?
  6. Keep in mind that’s only half the storm bc 6z only goes out to 144
  7. I've been on the time period since day 16.5.. but seriously that timeframe makes sense but I don't care what any op says until later next week.. Need a well timed PNA spike and the NAO to start decaying not overwhelming .. That time period may be SNE's best shot if the 12-13th does what I think it will
  8. Legit chance you get 10 weenies on that one .. It's day 12.. Need a legit PNA spike to bring something north as we've been saying for that timeframe..
  9. LBSW on 18z 975 SE of BM ..Such a thread the needle .. it's actually mostly rain for south coast..
  10. Deep interior favored on GEFS and EPS with this one.... for now.. Will be a ton of waffling around the next 6 days.. Definitely a thread the needle look with not much cold to be found, 6z gfs shows you how to get it done. Will need a bomb with the perfect track to get a good event. Some pretty big timing differences on GEFS and EPS anywhere from Monday to Thursday AM also about 25% of the members are really amped..
  11. Still looks fine, it’s a bit “troughier” out west but that’s what you need for the storms. Just don’t want the mega trough out in the PAC NW.
  12. If you take a look at the indies there’s actually more like the op a ton of interior northeast hits and a few at the coast.
  13. Verbatim there’s a ton of cold and a great airmass, it cuts west before transferring so the mid levels warm south of the pike and a ton of mixing. All we can take out of this run is that it has a juicy storm again
  14. Exactly plus with that subtropical moisture feed I think we will be fine.
  15. I’m thinking they may be the same person? Kinda odd to have two people so similar in posting style to just randomly pop up and start mass posting
  16. Cosgrove already alerting the masses for PD3 .. but seriously things do look very favorable for something big in that time period… lets hope it’s a uniform snowfall for all .
  17. Well ya not the greatest set up with that low in Canada on that 18z run . 60 more gfs cycles to lock it in. I’m sure we will get a few warmer runs and a few SECS runs
  18. LMAO that is one of your worst posts ever. You have been better lately.. You literally picked the only bad frame that storms gives your area 6" + and CNE 12-18" of clown snow..
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