Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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I’ll join you.
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We’d be in the 60s easily Christmas Eve, at least it wouldn’t be be a grinch storm for southern and eastern SNE. No snow to melt. All 3 ensemble suites as of now agree that storm will cut by a good amount. We may have to wait til after Christmas for a real chance if that holds.
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Preliminarily ... a medium impact partial Miller B, Friday
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Love that +NAO at -1.5SD
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Ya jinxed it! I don’t think anyone in Fairfield county saw more than 2” besides one 3.3” report on the Litchfield county border
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Lol … yes most guidance have some cittters but we have 2 more chances after Friday for snow. Next mid next week then just before Christmas. I’m 100% sure all 3 storms aren’t locked in on tracks and results and upper air pattern will be increasingly more favorable as we approach Christmas and after with plenty of cold over or near us.
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A net gainer of 3-6”+ would be lovely . My longitude may help back here…
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3.0”
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Been coming down nicely for an hour over an inch easily.
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Problem is it won’t be widespread. Most people that follow us live on shore so we always stay conservative for them. New map is 4-6” hills 2-4” elsewhere and 1-2” shore.
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All 18z guidance beefed up pretty nicely. There should definitely be a solid band of several inches. I’d favor Litchfield and Hartford counties for that.
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6-12 beers at the GTG
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Follow up wave next Saturday too, showed that at 12z
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ends up LBSW... Just some light to moderate snow in southern CT..
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GFS looks amazing at surface through 135.... Heavy snow in CT low bombing and scooting east off Atlantic City
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They are based out of NJ and will always be conservative. While a coating to an inch is the most likely outcome for the shore. Parts of Easton (especially the hills) may definitely see 3"+ depending on how the banding sets up..
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We were bound to get nam’d
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and then theres this threat ..... 24-36 hours of 55-95 mph gusts for the cape yikes...
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EURO is 12-24" over a good part of interior SNE destroys Kevin to Ray Gets to CNJ then pushes back ESE and stalls at BM in the 970s while it crushed interior SNE... wow
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ya a loly over Seymour Ya they will bust low there’s a lot of elevation just inland a few miles. The valleys on the shore will struggle to accumulate though unless we get heavy rates like hrrr shows.
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He’s saying you agree with his map
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It’s about 25 miles NE of 18z
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ORH: 12/1 - 12/15 last 22 First half of Decembers 2000 - 4.7" / 2001 - 9.0" / 2002 - 11.8" / 2003 - 21.5" / 2004 - .3" / 2005 - 15.9" / 2006 - .4" / 2007 - 12.3" / 2008 - .6" / 2009 - 11.2" / 2010 - 0.00" / 2011 - .3" / 2012 - .8" / 2013 - 11.5" / 2014 - 1.3" / 2015 - 0.00" / 2016 - 5.2" / 2017 - 7.7" / 2018 - 0.00" / 2019 - 23.1" / 2020 - 9.6" / 2021 - 1.3" 8 of last 22 Decembers under 1" at ORH - for Dec 1-15 Average Dec 1 -15: 6.75"
