Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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It moved east with the low bombing in Eastern Indiana compared to Western Indiana about 150 mile shift.. Winds not as impressive as GFS -
This is what you want for a KU along the East Coast. Pattern now looks far from that.
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Man it looks warm from Dec 29 to early January.
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Ya my stripes look pretty sharp for Christmas Time.
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Think the melts are bad now wait til we see Jim Cantore playing in 3 feet of thunder snow on Christmas Eve Eve with zero visibility and a -30 wind chill in Central Illinois.
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Well the only good thing about that statement is that it’s not winter yet and the models have no idea what will happen more than 7 days out so we have that going for us.
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Your Welcome
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GFS is a pretty epic solution for the Great Lakes. A truly severe Blizzard that stalls. 15-30" over a 300-600 mile wide area - with 60-70 mph gusts - Wind chills 20 to 40 below zero the last half of the blizzard.. A truly life threatening dangerous Blizzard.
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Sucks that it will be another mild and green Christmas week. However, those that are happy and healthy and blessed with family enjoy it! You never know when that will change. Our community had a horrible loss this week when a father with a wife and 3 young ones died within 7 weeks of cancer diagnosis. I am definitely going to make a concerted effort to enjoy the family and holidays more than ever this year. Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays everyone, hope you can enjoy!
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This mostly looked like a cutter. Besides a 24 hour favorable trend Wednesday into Thursday AM. Signs were there early on in ensembles.
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You can sip pinas here outside in shorts on Friday.
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Ya pattern looks horrendous after Christmas with pacific warmth flooding the US. Woof - this is worse than those years when it was 60-70 in December bc there wasn’t any expectation. This is to be has to be up there with the worst weather December we’ve had. Teased with tons of potential for one 1-5” Light snow event that melted within a week in SNE.
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Merry Grinchmas everyone
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Preliminarily ... a medium impact partial Miller B, Friday
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
0.00 .. 0.00 last 6 hours … hopefully another 0.00 overnight -
Next weeks pattern looked the same it’s always 10-15 days out.
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Great read about the splitting of the energy to our north being what we need for the favorable solutions.
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Ya same thought.
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I know I kid. Wish I still had access to WSI for those clusters lost access from my old job last year when they updated the site. Also WSI is the first to load data. I agree just a wait and see approach hopefully a track just inside the BM.
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Good to see. That 66% cluster looks strong as well. Too bad the pope said you suck at forecasting I don’t know if I can believe you.
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Edit option 4: could cut to Buffalo. Right now after last nights guidance most likely. 1. Hugger or track over SNE 2. bench mark track 3. Track over Buffalo 4. ots I’m sure the order of this will change at least a few more times in the next 2-3 days.
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Preliminarily ... a medium impact partial Miller B, Friday
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
850’ at Oxford/Waterbury airport. Most guidance had 3-6” there.. oops
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So if 50 members showed rain and 1 showed a 51” blizzard. You’d want the mean to be 51” of snow?
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That’s bc some members cut and not all qpf is snow.
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Those are the weenie maps from storm vista that are always 2-3x too high. The mean for the storm is 4-6”..
