Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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1st bad run in a while for next week on the gfs.
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Hell of a cold front Friday. From near 60 to wind chills in the teens in 6-8 hours .. yikes.
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Lol oops shoulda looked at satellite. Looks like clearing entering NW CT.
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Misty and cloudy here. check out 12z hrrr gets to 65-70 before the rain moves in around 2-4pm tomorrow. It’s really a damn shame the rain has to come and ruin what could have been widespread 70s.
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We will see ensembles don’t necessarily agree on mild temps the last 7 days of the month.
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Busting 5+ degrees milder today so far. 50-55 across our area.
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I agree with dendrite on Saturday, though Sunday could def over perform 50-55 of things play out right.
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It’s gfs vs euro. Euro is later with it and thus a bit warmer. Also I’m looking more at CT for mid to lower level clouds and rain moving in after midday. In my experience these always moved in faster. FWIW NAM brings in rain earlier like gfs too for CT and WNE.
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Looking great on ensembles check out the indies on the charts
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Ya looks like tomorrow is a real gem 55-60+ mostly sunny.
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Still looking like clouds and PM rain will limit Thursday warmth potential especially in CT. Still think 58-65 likely but not the 70 potential we had.
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What’s going to happen to all these winter is canceled permanently and we are now the new southern mid Atlantic people when we eventually get another epic winter?
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Lol NYC , Beer already? And BDL north of you averages a whopping 1.4” per November which means it doesn’t snow most Novembers. They probably get a good advisory every 3-4 years and a warning once a decade.
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Don’t make it extra dramatic by including November, it’s completely normal for it not to snow in November.
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We average like one advisory snow every 10 years in November .
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56 feels amazing here.
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Looks like EPS is much warmer at surface, almost every member well into 60s
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Timing clouds which will bring rain 96 hours away isn’t that hard of a forecast. If the modeled rain moves in from west to east after just midday that will limit the ceiling of the warmth out west, still may be able to torch out east though. GFS brings in rain about 3 hours earlier as well. Something to watch in terms of ceiling of warmth.
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Days 10-15 are pretty wintry on GEFS
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Yes please!!!
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Most likely yes. However, GEFS would offer some wintry hope, eps not so much.
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GEFS definitely colder earlier. 500 mean on both in weenie range. Last day temp mean on eps vs 5 day temp mean on GEFS .
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At least the radar is lighting up in Montana this evening.
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The temps verbatim on that are very cold. And it looks like it would continue to push east. But it’s weenie range so need to hold or better that look the next 4-5 days to really consider it.
