Sey-Mour Snow

Southern Illinois to central Ohio to south of Long Island. Only about 300 miles south of Chicago.

Gfs pretty much exact same output as 12z.. great for all of ct.. guidance honing in an a max near Granby up onto mass of 8-12”…

From upton disco… Forecast snowfall totals have been largely unchanged for NYC and Long Island and nudged up slightly across the Lower Hudson Valley, Southern CT and interior northeast NJ due to the increasing confidence given the aforementioned trend in the secondary low. Widespread Advisory level snow looks likely across the Lower Hudson Valley, Southern CT and interior northeast NJ with 3-5 inches. Would not be surprised to see this upward trend continue. yet they took numbers down from the 4-6” they had overnight? Makes zero sense

Ya no doubt after 12z we will struggle to add anything .. lol upton advisory for only 3-5” here .. we usually get the upton reverse jinx so we should be good for 6-10” based on their forecast

I think once the sun comes up we can forget about accumulations with borderline temps for many. However, Many areas out in CT should exceed 10:1 ratios during the peak with heavy snow falling between 10pm and 6am so no effects of the March sun to worry about. Also most guidance has temps between 23-28 for the duration of the heavy precip just inland. The driest guidance has about ..4-.5” qpf with the wettest about .8-1.0” qpf. With a bit of ratios between 10-15:1 during the thump I think it’s a fairly easy widespread 6”+ for much of CT. Also looks like great lift in the snow growth zone on hi res data. Just my two cents.

Definitely still a good thump for SW 2/3 but about 15% cut back from 00z.. still a solid 4-6”+ away from the NE corner .

HRRR, 3km nam, and href look very thumpy with impressive rates between 9pm and 3am

Forum is on a budget? purchased it from $1 emoji dot com ?

We put this out this morning.

Ya it was somehow worse out east while being a bit better out west. I hope everyone can cash in for a uniform 4-8” across SNE when all is said and done.

I don’t think anyone in southern CT has a problem with the EURO solution verbatim.

Timing differences bc of map availability but we get an idea where the axis is.

Ya the .3” was great 1.2”’ now in the last 11 weeks. We should double to triple our season total Monday night hopefully

No doubt we have gotten some great events in the 8-16” range and over performed in many. Just missing the big ones that you guys have gotten out east. But no lack of the widespread 8-16” events we’ve had one every single year.

You were threatening to steal his snow lol

Patience grasshopper , there’s still a way to several inches for us.. it’s just the gfs , I’d rather have euro on our side now.

If that stayed all snow it’s a hell of a thump though ..

Least snowy for all of southern ct and it’s not even close.

Here’s the 12z eps mean and 50th percentile compared to 00z

Wow what the hell , we take in western CT that would change me to Sey-mour Jack.

Bad snow growth may limit up there, but temps are pretty cold for the bulk of the precip.. Several inches seems likely from the northern 3rd of CT on up..

Better example of mean vs 50th percentile.

Either you are drunk, high, both, or this is a burner account.