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jaxjagman

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Everything posted by jaxjagman

  1. jaxjagman
    This looks like a persistent NINO into spring possible early summer,so we in general would see a more early spring than later severe threat,dont mean it can't happen,but the odds of it are reduced
  2. jaxjagman
    LOL
  3. jaxjagman
    Mean while in Central and East China
  4. jaxjagman
    Here was the SOI back into Dec before our cold shot and the SOI today,who know if it turns out as before,surely shouldnt be as cold if it does turn cold 5 Feb 2024 1007.06 1009.90 -36.41 -0.02 -3.85 4 Feb 2024 1008.30 1009.40 -28.05 0.94 -3.66 3 Feb 2024 1007.67 1007.55 -22.19 1.65 -3.51 2 Feb 2024 1006.85 1008.15 -29.01 2.20 -3.36 1 Feb 2024 1007.27 1008.65 -29.40 3.19 -3.02
  5. jaxjagman
    The map you quoted me at is the wind reversal.To be a major SSWE you still need the temps at 10hpa to rise around 25 degrees,this is probably the easiest site to read the temps,there is nothing happening right now as the temps look steady the last couple days https://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/clisys/STRAT/
  6. jaxjagman
    Just shows the potential for a SSWE https://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/clisys/STRAT/readme.html
  7. jaxjagman
    The mean has been pretty consistent with bringing the MJO into around phase 8 today and is even just as consistent the last few days with the stopping point.It's having a hard time in the WP.yesterday it was fairly clustered by day 5,not as much today
  8. jaxjagman
    thats pretty wild
  9. jaxjagman
    In the past few years parts of Nashville to the north of it has been like a tornado magnet,we havent had one here since 2020.Best area of severe though has always been along the TN/MS/AL border But yes,home insurance has certainly spiked up.
  10. jaxjagman
    Cold soccer season is not fun.I remember those days when my kids played
  11. jaxjagman
    This updates in our afternoon each day.But the ensembles are pretty clustered D5 going back into the WP,then by D10 about to be or getting into the WH so we might have to wait until the last week of Feb to get colder it seems like to me
  12. jaxjagman
    Hudson anyone
  13. jaxjagman
    Could be the kiss of death for early severe which was what i was thinking could happen
  14. jaxjagman
    Sports has gotten out of control in all areas because of money and the fans are the ones that are paying for it Baseball look at how the Dodgers found a way to exploit the Ohtani contract,Hes getting paid a annual salary of 2M$ plus deferred payments of 68M$ between 2033 TO 2043 so they can just try and win a championship. Look at the NFL,they are now trying to make this into a international and PPV game.Look at all the price hikes some teams are doing starting next season is just insane.Plus the Super Bowl,for a 20 person suite you pay between 1.4M$-2.5M$, for up to 20 people that is insane,price of a beer$20,if you wanna a hot dog its only $12.75..lmao Now to college sports what are the rules?The NCAA has been corrupt now for decades.It seems the BIG-10 and SEC are getting pissed off and maybe had enough and formed a advisory group together this week,but its hard to read between the lines what is going on.But NIL ,shoot some college players soon will be able to retire before even leaving college if not already The sports world has become Insanity for fans,it's suppose to be entertainment not a business not for you morage your house to watch a game,its out of control !!
  15. jaxjagman
    Couple members show a split
  16. jaxjagman
    The Mean looks much better today instead of aiming towards the Maritime long range,its more headed into the IO.Its going back into the WP(PHASE6) D5,then its pretty clustered going into the WH by D10,some odd ball are showing the GFS.As of day 20,break out the darts
  17. jaxjagman
    That's really a considerable spread as we head past the Mid month of Feb,sometimes tho as we all know the GFS can pull a rabbit out of its hat in the long range,not often but it does happen
  18. jaxjagman
    Not sure about the GFS,it seems to be hinting at bringing back a +EAMT and the MJO stays into the WP a bit longer.But there is some feedback problems it seems but its been showing this the last couple runs but dont have much of any support.Just about every model i look at shows the MJO going into the WH mid month
  19. jaxjagman
    Definite some colder signs,upcoming.Not sure about the NAO,GEFS looks slightly +ve
  20. jaxjagman
    Yeah and the WWB by the Mean takes it back into the WP for a brief time,starting to have my doubts it gets cold around the mid month,not real cold anyways
  21. jaxjagman
    Mondays and Thursday,no need to apologize
  22. jaxjagman
    Maybe because its still Sunday
  23. jaxjagman
    This is actually pretty nice the GEFS and EPS are on the same page,you can look at Carvers map above and the pattern should be something similar to his maps around mid Feb
  24. jaxjagman
    Quite a few more members today showing the MJO into the WH as we are into Feb.Mean doesnt seem to have a whole lot of support
  25. jaxjagman
    It still amazes me how the pattern looks so similar to 2021.I had to rub my eyes,check it over and over and over to make sure i had the right dates,even the MJO into the IO almost did the same thing into Jan around the same exact time frame
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