Yeah that’s the only thing I see too. It even shows a little kink in the isobars there. It did a decent job with the Cape Ann norlun a little while back.
I’m just along for the ride like everyone else at this point. Anyone who thinks they have this figured out is lying. I’d lean consensus considering its track record lately…but yeah, it’s in the back of my mind until it fully caves.
Can’t rule some bands out. NAM is slowly weakening on approach (mslp rising) so the banding may spread out a bit as the stacked lows open a bit. It’ll be a nowcast deal.
Well you’re right I think. Unless the track gets close to the Cape the upper slot should stay offshore. I’m still worried about some mid level dry air up here though.
I felt a little bad for Ray last night when he put out 18-30” or something for S NH and then immediately after the next 2 models took a decent shift SE