Yup…windblown sugar. We can pound with deep ESE flow, but those are few and far between with snow the dominant ptype. Usually there’s a positive V component feeding in colder/drier/downsloping air here otherwise.
I’ve been seeing the extra screw zone on qpf in the CRV in Mass. I haven’t looked at it too much yet, but with that shitstreak attempt into Maine I’m a little worried about some low to mid level dry air feeding in up here.
There’s a lot of little features acting on this and how the cyclogenesis evolves will be interesting in and of itself. The trend has definitely been to curl this in tighter and that following s/w was modeled better by the GFS yesterday. It’ll be fun to sit back and watch it play out.
The more progressive and booted northward we can get this the better. H5 really isn’t wrapping fully up until it’s near the BM now. I want PVA slamming into MVY.
It was headed that way and it still found a way to curl in…we’ll see. We’re trending nw but would anyone honestly be surprised if the gfs makes the SE tick for a model compromise?