Here’s the 500mb vortmax that is inducing the inverted trough. You can see the “kinks” in the isobars it’s causing (the actual trough) as the PVA induces pressure falls.
It’s the same type of way we get our inverted troughs. But it’s perfectly situated so that it moves southward over Lake Michigan. The extra instability from the warm lake waters is making this locally heavier than it would’ve been otherwise. And yeah, then the low level flow aligns along the long length of the lake and we get the LES streamer behind it for a short time.
The last month has averaged a hair AN, but we haven’t had anything absurd since the first week of October. Of course everyone know’s my opinion about the new normals, but we don’t need to go there after Friday.
There’s an inverted trough that swings through there N to S. The mesos initially push a convective band (horizontal to the flow) southwestward through the city and then behind that it aligns into a typical LES streamer where it slowly shifts east from the city to IN. But I agree with Scoot. I think the heaviest is more east toward the IN/IL border. But it should be pretty cold on the west side of the LES with NW sfc flow.
Thank your boy Elon. The app on the forum that allows it requires the twitter domain in the pasted URL. If you manually change the link from x.com to twitter.com before pasting it here it will work.
We’ve been on Johnwow to apply a fix on that for awhile, but he arrives less frequently than winter.
Let’s handle one thing at a time. You are allowed 41mb of space here. Each post cannot exceed 2mb. I can change that for all members, but noobs would be freaking out when they start running out of storage after a few images.
Iphone? Post it as a smaller file. You don’t need the full iphone quality.
A lot of people post here and they all get free storage. It’s not unlimited.