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dendrite

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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    Yeah there’s going to be a migrating boundary for a couple of weeks surrounding Christmas. That SE ridge will occasionally flex its muscles and try to advect warm plumes our way, but the axis seems to be enough west that we’re going to be susceptible to late digging shortwaves that cut them off. But you can’t rule out a good warm sector or two sneaking in or at least some DSD days following a wedged day. Deets TBD.
  2. dendrite
    1.5-2” would be a win up here for this when it was looking like flurries 36hrs ago.
  3. dendrite
    Yes but only if we sacrifice Jan and Feb.
  4. dendrite
    Rockport could get some sneaky good amounts if the more convective elements of that norlun swing through there. 3k nam is 4-6” there.
  5. dendrite
    Right around 1/2” new But yeah, a heavier -SN
  6. dendrite
    Looks like the inverted trough is firing up along the NH/ME border.
  7. dendrite
    Yeah that was my thinking…some filtering algorithm due to clutter.
  8. dendrite
    I’m not a radar expert so I’m not sure what exactly is going on at BOX specifically. It doesn’t look like a tree/mtn/blockage issue. If you go up to 2 or 3 it improves a bit.
  9. dendrite
    You’re near the radar. That’s not a real hole.
  10. dendrite
    24.2° -SN
  11. dendrite
    “Tries” That’s probably 2-4”/3-5” with ratios.
  12. dendrite
  13. dendrite
    A norlun band offshore merges in over the cape at the end.
  14. dendrite
    3k nam tries to jack up here.
  15. dendrite
  16. dendrite
    I need a few of these.
  17. dendrite
    These are the manual created maps. The others are generated by text probabilities.
  18. dendrite
    Calculated some Cobb snow estimates from the 12z gfs and nam (respectively) CON 0.0/0.1 PWM 0.1/0.4 BOS 0.9/1.1 ORH 0.7/0.5 PSF 1.9/0.7 EWB 3.5/3.7 HYA 0.8/3.7 BDL 0.7/0.3 HFD 3.2/1.0 HVN 1.3/2.5 GON 1.3/3.4 PVD 2.1/2.9
  19. dendrite
    I think it’s the low probability of a little weenie norlun I mentioned. That may explain the shape too.
  20. dendrite
    Did mekster draw this?
  21. dendrite
    It seems to be overdoing the low level moisture on the northern edge. There will probably be some radar echoes even up here, but not much reaching the ground. Some of the mesos have a little inverted trough enhancement in coastal NH/MA on the tailend as the H5 low/vortmax moves into the region.
  22. dendrite
    I heard he’s been picking up frequent shipments from 2kft in SVT.
  23. dendrite
  24. dendrite
    He even shaved the mole right off. Ruthless.
  25. dendrite
    I’d toss the AI QPF this close in. It always seems to broadbrush the QPF…like trying to paint the molding in your house with a mop.
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