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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    There's a low level dry slot that noses in for a bit up to the MA border.
  2. dendrite
    RGEM should be as well.
  3. dendrite
    ICON will be more amped.
  4. dendrite
    Juno what?
  5. dendrite
    Yeah I honestly would like to see the early globals going big (even icon soon). I don’t trust most of those random hires models outside of convective season.
  6. dendrite
    3k a lot more SE of the 12k…always gotta be concerned about the 12k being too juiced for a run or so.
  7. dendrite
    925 looks pretty cold
  8. dendrite
    20.8° -SN 1.4” of fluff so far
  9. dendrite
    Last 4 runs of the goofus. More downstream ridging and curling in of that vortmax
  10. dendrite
    Maybe…not sure how much effect it would have on the orientation of the vortmax at that scale, but I guess the more data to initialize in the better.
  11. dendrite
    GFS is a lot more amped and NW. AI is a bit too.
  12. dendrite
    heh…yeah maybe. I still think they tend to broadbrush too much, but maybe it’s a signal if they’re significantly NW with QPF. We need one of those events with a sharp N cutoff to see if they can pin down tight gradients.
  13. dendrite
    Some of these runs look a hair flatter, but they’re finding a way to get more precip NW.
  14. dendrite
    We’re going to be in trouble when NCEP drops all of the models for just the rrfs.
  15. dendrite
    It’s doing some weird troughy things wherever the incremental QPF maxes are.
  16. dendrite
    19.6° -SN Maybe a couple tenths so far
  17. dendrite
    Looks like the goofus will come in a little more amped
  18. dendrite
    You can see how the 12km really curls the tail of the vortmax in at 48hr versus what the icon and rgem do.
  19. dendrite
    Yeah NNE has been fooled by a zonked 12k run late in the game many a time. Looks like the rgem is a tick east.
  20. dendrite
    I mean it’s not like you’d be missing much from either event.
  21. dendrite
    3k not as enthused
  22. dendrite
    Lol
  23. dendrite
    I think there’s too much spacing to really have much effect.
  24. dendrite
    Yeah that late little amplification of the vortmax gives E MA a little boost before it slides east.
  25. dendrite
    My post was true
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