It’s a lousy pattern…even if we sneak cold shots in and average normal. If you hate warmth, just be happy that ridge axis is shaping up more towards the MS valley. Maybe we can luck out, but it’s not great.
You can see some of those convective elements offshore on GYX now. That should back near the coast and then maybe clip Cape Ann and the Cape later as the trough sags south.
Yeah there’s going to be a migrating boundary for a couple of weeks surrounding Christmas. That SE ridge will occasionally flex its muscles and try to advect warm plumes our way, but the axis seems to be enough west that we’re going to be susceptible to late digging shortwaves that cut them off. But you can’t rule out a good warm sector or two sneaking in or at least some DSD days following a wedged day. Deets TBD.
I’m not a radar expert so I’m not sure what exactly is going on at BOX specifically. It doesn’t look like a tree/mtn/blockage issue. If you go up to 2 or 3 it improves a bit.