dendrite

Yeah temps will bump up somewhat near or at fropa when we start mixing out. It may not mean much though since dews will start dropping too.

I assume they just left the ceilings and augmented in the 1/8sm. But yeah, with 70mph gusts and heavy snow and blowing snow I’d guess the ceilings should be obscured. lol

BUF gone wild KBUF 291954Z 24027G62KT 1/8SM R23/2000V4500FT +SN BLSN BKN008 BKN013 OVC020 M03/M05 A2934 RMK AO2 PK WND 22062/1945 SLP941 P0000 T10331050 $

For our region I think it was. Most have been at or under 1/8” radial. Lurker didn’t have a lot of ice there…looked like about 0.1” radial. You have to separate out what was forecast from what we received. The forecast I saw last night had nearly a half inch of ice at MHT and CON and social media weenies were losing their minds about the grid collapsing. There’s been no accretion since sunrise outside of 1500’+ elevations. We’re just rotting at 32-33° as usual. Now don’t get me wrong…it’s a high end mess out there with all of the liquid on top of icy surfaces. I don’t think there’s enough in the trees to cause an issue with freeze up and winds…maybe some isolated outages at most. It has the look of ice that will break up and rain out of the branches when the winds pick up a bit. I wish we could just get 2-3 hours of a saturated 36-38 to expose some of the dirt and rocks in my driveway. At least we got a nice drink for the drought.

I drove up to Lyndon with my father during it to work on my shitbox 87 Cavalier that died in the LSC parking lot before break. I remember the Lakes Region looking like a disaster area from 93…mostly from about here through the woodstock area. We gradually lost ice through the notch until it looked like mostly just wet trees on the other side toward Cannon.

If you don’t like the weather in New England just wait 5 months.

Yeah I forgot to put mine out after melting down the inch of snow the other day. I got it out there at 1230am after it had already started pouring. It hasn’t budged from 32.3-32.4 here for over an hour. The gutters froze up so I have water pouring over them and water getting into parts of the basement. Hopefully we can get into the upper 30s for a bit so the driveway can melt out otherwise it’ll be unwalkable for awhile.

So latent heating works both ways. Everything trying to melt now is acting to help cool the air. I always think of it as like a conservation of thermal energy. The ice is trying to go to a higher energy state now (solid to liquid) so it needs to gain heat for the phase change…hence it’s “taking” it from the air around it. That’s why we tend to rot at 32° so often or frequently see isothermal 0°C layers aloft. So even though the diabatic heating quickly warmed us up to 32°, the melting now is trying to help us stay there. So we’ll see how long the wedge can hold now before the cold fropa blows through later.

I expected worse there

Even near 32° it’s essentially done without the dp drain. The driveway is a skating rink and the birches are nearing the ground, there’s not much radial ice. Wintry scene though.

Beer? There’s a few people maybe at 1500’ with a little more accretion, but most are sitting at the 32° ice water bath.

00z HRRR had 29° at MHT at 7am.

Meh

Definitely some sag to the pines and birches, but it’s a run of the mill icing event. I’m actually surprised how early the accretion shut off even way up into NNE. We’re still in a drought so hopefully it keeps pouring.

This is going to end up being a major nothingburger. WTTTE

Already 32°

29.5° Driveway is icy, but a lot of standing water too.

29.3° -ZR

We still usually run moist lapse rates under the inversion. The 1k hills are almost always colder in icing setups.

I think you will get some decent icing. 1k way up there will give you an advantage over most of the population in NH. I could see you pulling 1/3” radial.

It’s a 3hr burst of +ZR which will limit accretion. After 12z everyone starts rotting AOA 32°. I don’t care what a weenie algorithm of “fzra qpf” shows.

Overblown. Cope.

We deal with the overblown icing products every icing event. There will probably be spotty outages in the hill towns and here-north, but I’d be surprised at anything widespread. A half inch of accretion is a lot of ice. Heck this is only 5/16” radial.