We reach climo min temps in another few days to a week depending on proximity to water. December felt long to me, but I will say that I blinked and it’s now the 2nd half of Jan.
Tomorrow’s 12z GFS at 384hr will be the first Phil prog.
Yup. There’s some sinkholes down the road here too. They had a cone blocking one the other day and when I drove by it yesterday the cone was shattered so someone got swallowed in it.
Well every run and model is flopping around with timing and intensity. The only thing consistent is there’s some good cold shots in the extended. I’d probably lean toward a cold shot that’s on par with the typical coldest of a winter. Up here that would probably be a day that’s like +10/-15. But that’s just spit balling.
It’s way too far out for that. Toss those fantasy maps from yesterday though. We’re not getting double digit below 0s at 18z. lol
If you really want something shattering we’re going to need to be slamming -35C 850s into NE. I don’t trust those d13 uber shallow arctic airmass progs advecting in on NW flow over the mtns.