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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    Congrats Ray that run.
  2. dendrite
    Actually I may take that back…beta Pivotal version put me on the 6z run. 12z is looking similar to 6z aloft. Maybe a little more amplified.
  3. dendrite
    I think the ICON will tick south based on the plains phasing
  4. dendrite
    Wish the 3k went out further…it was looking more realistic.
  5. dendrite
    GC is a special place.
  6. dendrite
    We are due for the gfs and euro to flip their positions. Let’s get the gfs way SE and then the euro way NW to cause even more confusion.
  7. dendrite
    Would Ray be okay with this as long as he beats you and DIT?
  8. dendrite
    There could be a small area of it in the transition zone (assuming midlevels are this warm near the NH border), but it’s probably nbd.
  9. dendrite
    We can just lock this run in if you want.
  10. dendrite
    Def south and less amped, but still a ways to go for most of SNE. Maybe a Krafty finish?
  11. dendrite
    Canines lifting their legs up on the weed
  12. dendrite
    I think the NAM looks south…later/less phasing in the plains. We’ll see
  13. dendrite
    Certainly could. I expect SN to start here…maybe some light accums. 3k is all snow for Gene.
  14. dendrite
    I got a little sunburn on my face last Saturday!
  15. dendrite
    I think what they’re saying is we really don’t know
  16. dendrite
    1-11” for PWM Good luck with your prep.
  17. dendrite
    0.5”-10” for IZG lol
  18. dendrite
    This is how much the euro AI changed in 36hrs to the current 6z run
  19. dendrite
    NAM is still very amped. Nice model battle. Back to bed.
  20. dendrite
    Idk what we’re even arguing anymore. I had been saying the GFS was likely overdoing the amplification the past couple days. But the gfs and ec were polar outliers and guess what? They’ve been slowly meeting in the middle. But I don’t recall the GFS being the NW extreme a common occurrence.
  21. dendrite
    This. The GFS was regularly a shredded POS well offshore right until 24-48hrs out and we never even worried about it.
  22. dendrite
    The mean has been pretty consistent, but yeah, this is a hell of a way to get there.
  23. dendrite
    The 12z op had 0.20” to HFD and ORH. The AI has barely had precip anywhere in the region until recently. I’ve been okay with the EPS and AI ens. But I’d like to see more consistency from the ec ops before riding anything.
  24. dendrite
  25. dendrite
    Looks like some kind of convective mesolow. That’s like 50kt sustained.
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