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dendrite

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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    HRRR is likely overdone. N ORH county jack with the max axis to the NH/MA border by Ray is my call.
  2. dendrite
  3. dendrite
    HRRR looks good
  4. dendrite
    Precipitating overcast in December. lol Will we even hit 100Wm^-2 during the day?
  5. dendrite
    Taking over for the nam when they shut it down.
  6. dendrite
    Kidding aside…consensus would’ve worked well when you start blending in the extremes like the euro/nam. It was just really stubborn until the end.
  7. dendrite
    Ride it
  8. dendrite
    We’re really narrowing those goalposts now. 2-12” for IZG.
  9. dendrite
    Shocking, not shocking
  10. dendrite
    Euro ticked north/warmer
  11. dendrite
    At 48hr it is way behind the other models with the moisture advection at 925.
  12. dendrite
    Pretty wild battle.
  13. dendrite
    Biggest euro run of the afternoon is running
  14. dendrite
    Steffi graphcast
  15. dendrite
    there you go
  16. dendrite
    Yeah was pushing 1” last check…0.8”ish.
  17. dendrite
    He’s been looking more like Jerry lately.
  18. dendrite
    Nice run. Yes please. That would probably last on the ground until Xmas eve.
  19. dendrite
    Ens are still more nw. For whatever that’s worth.
  20. dendrite
    12k nam is the yin to the ec op yang. Everything else is near consensus.
  21. dendrite
    With the way the games have gone for the faves so far this week the Giants may beat the Pats. lol
  22. dendrite
    I’ll take the 3k solution. But I’d even take half rain for 2” QPF for the well.
  23. dendrite
    Well it does say experimental. It’s a forecast based on probability and confidence and the confidence just isn’t there right now. But yeah, I’m not sure how helpful 1-12” is.
  24. dendrite
    OK I think the range may be taking the 25th and 75th percentile on amounts. You can eyeball what that would be in the percentile columns.
  25. dendrite
    The answer probably lies somewhere in the raw data, but I’m not finding a consistent algorithm in my head.
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