Yeah I don’t understand it either. It’s a new tool that should improve over time. Gotta keep pushing forward with progress. Some paths are deadends, but some become the main artery.
We’ll see. I think Steve used the word volatile and I agree. It may feel a little like a rollercoaster temp wise with anomalies leaning cooler the further north you go with more wedging during times of WAA.
The end of the week probably ends up something like…
Wed 39-44…Thu 45-50…Fri 50-55
BDL normal will be near 40°. Compared to what it’s been I think the vibe is going to be warmth. But I don’t really know what you’re talking about by pattern…this week? the upcoming few weeks?
1000hr 2m temps. What could go wrong?
It looks like it wants to be warm in the Great Lakes too, but it’s popping big neg anomalies over Lake Superior. I could see that in the spring, but don’t understand how the lake helps them pull neggies in Jan.
It’s a lousy pattern…even if we sneak cold shots in and average normal. If you hate warmth, just be happy that ridge axis is shaping up more towards the MS valley. Maybe we can luck out, but it’s not great.
You can see some of those convective elements offshore on GYX now. That should back near the coast and then maybe clip Cape Ann and the Cape later as the trough sags south.
Yeah there’s going to be a migrating boundary for a couple of weeks surrounding Christmas. That SE ridge will occasionally flex its muscles and try to advect warm plumes our way, but the axis seems to be enough west that we’re going to be susceptible to late digging shortwaves that cut them off. But you can’t rule out a good warm sector or two sneaking in or at least some DSD days following a wedged day. Deets TBD.
I’m not a radar expert so I’m not sure what exactly is going on at BOX specifically. It doesn’t look like a tree/mtn/blockage issue. If you go up to 2 or 3 it improves a bit.