dendrite
-
Posts
72,369 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by dendrite
-
Still decent for the Cape/Islands
-
Can’t wait for the forum to crash while I post cirrus obs
-
Same diff
-
I’ll go SE
-
GFS AI a tick nw
-
Less confluence than the nam but not sure it’s any improvement over the globals.
-
I feel like that nam shitstreak helps the convergence on Saturday but is more detrimental for the following bigger system.
-
I was going to post it but 84hr nam synoptics is usually beer.
-
More in line with globals now
-
That thing is always in a world of its own like the rufus.
-
NAMs slicing and dicing.
-
Only ACATT would cheer on overcast on a precipless day in late Feb.
-
Enjoy your clouds and emo crayons
-
GWDLT
-
Sure, but by definition a KU is an extreme event. Put all storms on a bell curve and we “define” KUs as those storms well above that +2SD threshold. Everything has to come together to reach those upper limits.
-
Edited my post more. I’ve said it before…I think of the systems and their “energy” as bodies in spacetime…the more potent or massive they are the more they bend the spacetime. Small bodies have less pull on massive bodies but can still affect their trajectory if they’re close enough.
-
Happens in a lot of systems I mean it’s just different shortwave interactions…some tend to fuji/rotate around each other, sometimes it’s a kicker, sometimes it’s a phase which initially usually starts as fujiwara.
-
Ukie has the biggest shitstreak…it’s the most south. GFS clear it east and gets that more potent trailing s/w to dive enough south to fuji kick the system north a bit too. So my take is keep improving SE Canada and try to give it all more of a boot north. But the odds aren’t very good of anything substantial up here.
-
Sunny chilly start up here. Min 13.9°
-
Idk..I think without a trailing s/w to boot this north there’s enough of a rotting block remaining to limit the northward extent of this before it’s mostly LBSW. It’s just curling up at too far south of a latitude otherwise.
-
Ukie has a nice shitstreak backing in
-
Wait…are we looking for ways to snow or a way to boot it OTS?
-
Why? It’s the only model giving SNE a big event. We need to kick the system more north.
-
Sometimes there’s model wide failures in depicting features. There’s still time for that given the mess out west. But yeah, every 6hrs of near status quo won’t get us there.
-
