SACRUS

sun and clouds se wind 84 / 75

Next contestant on the Tropics is ripe

Wind : 6 MPH 134° (SE)

DT: up to 77

79 / 76 and cloudy with a strong SE wind and some areas of rain.   Debby and the remnants working through with the heaviest rains focused into PA with a line of storms and showers as the front clears through overnight.   A 5 -6 day dry out with pleasant summer weather near normal for this time of the season with trough and weakness into the EC and ridge out west.   Next weekend we watch the tropics in the Atlantic and other waves in the Caribbean and Gulf.   Heat cappes west till after mid month with a hotter last 1/3 of the month once any tropical systems work out.

Add this one to the classics

Records:

Highs:

EWR:  101 (2001)
NYC: 99 (2001)
LGA: 98 (2001)
JFK: 99 (2001)


Lows:

EWR: 56 (1989)
NYC: 54 (1903)
LGA: 59 (1989)
JFK: 58 (1989)

Historical:


1874: Swarms of Rocky Mountain locust invaded Denver, Colorado. Millions were seen cruising through the air. The insects were picked up by a thunderstorm gust front and carried into the city. The grasshoppers ravaged crops in surrounding counties for the last month.

1878 - The temperature at Denver, CO, soars to an all-time record high of 105 degrees. (The Weather Channel)

1881 - A cloudburst and flash flood occurred at Central Springs, CO, and Idaho Springs, CO. (David Ludlum)

1882 - An August snowstorm was reported by a ship on Lake Michigan. A thick cloud reportedly burst on the decks covering them with snow and slush six inches deep. Snow showers were observed at shore points that day. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1983 - The temperature at Big Horn Basin, WY, reached 115 degrees to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Thunderstorm rains in eastern Nebraska sent the Wahoo River and Ithica River above flood stage. Thunderstorm rains in western Iowa sent the Nishnabotna River over flood stage. Up to seven inches of rain deluged the Council Bluffs area Friday evening and Saturday morning. Thunderstorms produced 4.4 inches of rain in three hours Friday evening, along with golf ball size hail. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thunderstorms developing along a slow moving cold front produced severe weather from central Kansas to southern Wisconsin late in the day. Thunderstorms in Iowa produced hail three inches in diameter at Vinton, and produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Donohue and near Mount Pleasant. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - A total of ninety-nine cities in the central and eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Alpena MI with a reading of 40 degrees. Mount Mitchell NC was the cold spot in the nation with a morning low of 35 degrees. Early evening thunderstorms around Las Vegas NV produced wind gusts to 116 mph. The high winds damaged or destroyed about eighty- two aircraft at Henderson Sky Harbor Airport and McCarran International Airport, causing fourteen million dollars damage. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

2007: A tornado bounces across Staten Island and Brooklyn, New York, ripping off roofs and damaging dozens of buildings. The EF-2 twister hop-scotched through Brooklyn's Bay Ridge and Sunset Park neighborhoods around 6:30 am.

Pesty sheet rain

6 minutes ago, NCPOW said:

What direction do they take and could they impact the NE?

06GFS recurves but way out there,Euro would imply risk to Carolinas

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Tropics are really waking up now 

Euro and gfs both have storm threats in the Atlantic next week Aug 15 - Aug 22

68 / 67 light rain and cloudy.  More of the same the next 12 hours with showers, light rain.   Debby goes west tomorrow, warm humid flow gets us back to the 80s.  Sat should see clearing and may be the warmest day of the week.  Great stretch of weather overall, near normal dry and lower humidity on a N-NNW flow.   Heat capped out west through mid month.  Beyond there , warmer and more humid flow and potential heat coming east, along with additional Tropical threats.

8/8 - 8/10  Debby's remnants, 
8/10 - 8/16 : Near normal, dry
8/17 - beyond : warmer more humid, tropical risk, heat potential 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 100 (2001)
NYC: 104 (1918)
LGA:  99 (2001)
JFK: 96 (2001)


Lows

EWR: 57 (1948)
NYC: 57 (1994)
LGA: 61 (1975)
JFK: 59 (2004)

Historical:

1904 - A flash flood near Pueblo, CO, washed a train from the tracks killing 89 passengers. A bridge, weakened by the floodwaters sweeping through the valley below, gave way under the weight of the train dashing all but the sleeping cars into the torrent drowning the occupants. Rail service was frequently interrupted in the Rocky Mountain Region and southwestern U.S. that summer due to numerous heavy downpours which washed out the railroad beds delaying trains as much as five days. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1918 - Philadelphia, PA, established an all-time record with a high of 106 degrees. New York City experienced its warmest day and night with a low of 82 degrees and a high of 102 degrees. Afternoon highs of 108 degrees at Flemington NJ and Somerville NJ established state records for the month of August. (The Weather Channel) (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)

1924: A tornado caused estimated F4 damage moved southeast from south of Osseo, WI to Black River Falls, WI. One person was killed as a home was leveled and a boy was killed running to the storm cellar near the start of the path. Two people died as farm homes were swept away near the northeast edge of Black River Falls. Damage totaled $200,000 as 50 farms were hit and buildings were unroofed in the town of Northfield. The tornado followed the present route of Interstate 94.

1980: Hurricane Allen bottomed out at 899 millibars (26.55 inches of mercury) while moving through the Yucatan Channel in the southeastern part of the Gulf of Mexico. Allen was the second lowest pressure ever recorded in the Western Hemisphere up to that time. Allen's winds at the time were sustained at 190 mph.

1984 - El Paso, TX, normally receives 1.21 inches of rain in August. They got it in forty-five minutes, with four more inches to boot, during a storm which left Downtown El Paso under five feet of water. (The Weather Channel)

1986 - A rare outbreak of seven tornadoes occurred in New England. One tornado carved its way through Cranston RI and Providence RI causing twenty injuries. Rhode Island had not reported a tornado in twelve years, and three touched down in 24 hours. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1987 - Morning thunderstorms drenched Goldsboro, NC, with 3.37 inches of rain. Late morning thunderstorms in Arizona produced dime size hail, wind gusts to 50 mph, and two inches of rain, at Sierra Vista. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - A dozen cities in the central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Waco, TX, with a reading of 107 degrees. The record high of 88 degrees at Marquette, MI, was their twenty-third of the year. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Nebraska, Minnesota and Wisconsin, with wind gusts to 81 mph reported at McCool, NE. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Forty cities in the central U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Valentine, NE, with a reading of 40 degrees, and Belcourt ND with a low of 37 degrees. Martin SD was the cold spot in the nation with a morning low of 30 degrees. Unseasonably hot weather prevailed over Florida and Washington State, with record highs of 100 degress at Daytona Beach, FL, 101 degrees at Walla Walla, WA, and 103 degrees at Hanford, WA. (The National Weather Summary)

1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

The stronger than modeled WAR wins again. 

From anther round of heavy rains to being warm sectored and tonado watch

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Newark hasn’t had an August high of 73° or lower since 2020 and a high in the 60s since 2017.
 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2023	75	0
2022	78	0
2021	78	0
2020	73	0
2019	74	0
2018	73	0
2017	69	0

75 so far fo their high. misty cloudy onshore flow keeping it lower liekly.

Perhaps Sat is mostly dry and salvable

2 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The GEFS weeklies are a little more bullish than the EPS weeklies for some more mid 90s potential from late August into early September. But the last time Newark saw a 100° reading after August 20th was in 1993. The only times we are able to see cooler temperatures these days is with heavy rains and strong blocking. We got both this time. This was one of the strongest -EPO blocks we have seen this time of year.

 

EWR has only hit 100 or more on two days in Sep 9/3, 9/4 (1954, 1993)  Came close in with either 99 or 98 in 18,15, 10, 83 most recently.  

4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Debbie will effectively end up pulling the trough was has been over the Midwest this summer into the East going forward. Another case of summer heat getting interrupted by a tropical system. We have seen this many times in the past with 100° heat right before a tropical system and then less intense heat after.

We'll see if the ridge tends more east once past the 16/17th as Jun/Jul and a warmer / humid progression evolves.  Next week looks marvelous with a imuch  needed dry out if it evolves as forecasted.

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Big slowdown in 90° day counts forecast as we actually see a very comfortable stretch of temperatures coming up into mid-August. Continuing to look like we may have seen the last of the 100° heat this summer. The combination of onshore flow and wetter pattern prevented a repeat of the record type of heat we saw during the 2010 El Niño to La Niña transition. 
 

 

 

Looks heat free for the next 10 days or more.  Perhaps a similar progression from early periods in Jun and Jul before western heat pushes east north first, as we close the last 7 - 10 days of Aug.   Or it could see a day or two of low 90s and if the wetter pattern resumes with any future tropical influences.

Western track has kept the focus of the remnants of Debby west into PA, saving additional flooding Fri into sat. Mos of that additional 1 - 1.75 comes later today and Thu (tomorrow AM)

Monthly rainfall totals

TTN: 5.54
LGA: 4.03
ISP: 3.94
NYC: 3.54
EWR: 3.53
JFK: 2.47

73/71 cloudy,  4.10 in the bucket.  Cloudy onshore  SSE flow keeping it in the 70s with scattered showers. Last time the temp didn't reach 80 was Jun 28th for many.  Thu the same as Debby slowly drifts north.  Fri Debby/remnants are centered into VA and heading NNE through C/E PA keeping the brunt of additional rains focused into PA.  Sat will dry out and clear up, warming back near normal.  Sun (8/11) begins a stretch of very nice , drier, near normal allowing the area to dry out. Looking mainly dry and sunny.  Heat capped to the west through mid month.  Warming and next potential heat after 8/17 and beyond.  

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

 

2024:

PHL: 30 (Apr: 1 ; May: 1 ; Jun: 9 ; Jul: 14 ; Aug: 5  ; Sep: )
EWR: 31  (Apr:  ; May: 1 ; Jun: 11  ; Jul: 14; Aug: 5 ; Sep: )
TTN:  26 (Apr:  ; May:  ; Jun: 8 ; Jul: 13  ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: )
LGA: 20  (Apr:  ; May:   ; Jun: 6; Jul : 9 ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: )
ACY: 22  (Apr:  ; May: 1 ; Jun: 7 ; Jul: 10 ; Aug: 4 ; Sep:  )
TEB: 28 (Apr:  ; May: 1 ; Jun : 8  ; Jul: 14  ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: )
NYC:  20 (Apr:  ; May:  ; Jun: 6 ; Jul: 9 ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: )
JFK: 5 (Apr:  ; May:  ; Jun: 2; Jul:  1; Aug: 2 ; Sep:  )
ISP: 6  (Apr:  ; May:  ; Jun: 1 ; Jul: 4  ; Aug: 1; Sep: )

New Brunswick: 28 (Apr:  ; May:  ; Jun: 8; Jul:  15 ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: )
BLM:  18 (Apr:  ; May:  ; Jun: 7 ; Jul: 7 ; Aug: 4 ; Sep: )

89 Degree Days:

New Brnswck: 2
ACY: 5
EWR: 6
PHL: 4  2
TEB: 1
LGA: 3
NYC: 5
JFK:  3
TTN: 1

 

Highs:

 

EWR: 94
TEB: 93
BLM: 93
TTN: 92
New Brnswck: 92
PHL: 91
LGA: 91
NYC: 90
ACY: 90
JFK: 87
ISP: 84