SACRUS

QPF Maps 2/22 - 2/23-24

ICON:




GFS:




GFS AI AIGFS:


GGEM:



UKM

UKMET

UKMT

Total QPF

UK rain to hvy snow

 

GGEM total QPF

2/17 00z GGEM:

00z Summary

2/22 - 2/23-24

ICON:  0.00 QPF
GFS AI : 1.5 - 1.7 QPF - rain
GFS:  1.1 - 1.8 QPF -  >10 inches snow 
GGEM: 1.2 - 1.9 QPF - >11 inches snow
UKMET: 1.0 - 1.9 QPF - >11 inches snow
 

00z gfs

2/17 00z GFS

Today's splits

EWR: 41 / 30* (1)
NYC:  39 / 29 (-2)

Historical Storms of note

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 74 (1954)
NYC: 71 (1954)
LGA: 69 (2023)
JFK: 64 (2023)


Lows:

EWR: 0 (1943)
NYC: 1 (1888)
LGA: 2 (1943)
JFK: 5 (2015)

Historical:

 

1898: A series of wildfires swept through South Carolina on February 16-17, 1898. Unconfirmed reports indicate that 14 people were killed, numerous homes and sawmills burned, and up to 3,000,000 acres of forest land were charred from Aiken County, S.C. to Chatham County, N.C., and east to Marlboro County, S.C. There were probably a dozen wildfires raging at the same time driven by a 40 mph wind.

1899 - Washington D.C. received 1.26 inches of rain in six hours atop a snow cover more than 30 inches deep making it the soggiest day of record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)

1903 - The temperature at Pokegama Dam MN plunged to 59 degrees below zero to establish a state record. (David Ludlum)

1903: Pokegama Dam, Minnesota saw three straight days with low temperatures 50° below zero or colder, including 59° below zero on the 15th. The minus 59° established a state record for the lowest measured temperature in Minnesota. Pokegama Dam held the record until February 2nd, 1996 when the temperature fell to 60° below zero at Tower. 


1926: Binham Canyon, Utah: A deadly avalanche, Utah's worst, demolishes 14 miner's cottages and a three-story boarding house. Thirty-six are killed and 13 injured. (Ref. WxDoctor)

1930: Eureka CA reported an all-time record high of 85 degrees, a record which lasted until September of 1983. (The Weather Channel)

1936: The temperature at McIntosh SD plunged to 58 degrees below zero to establish a state record. (David Ludlum)Both North and South Dakota would go on to set all-time heat records in the summer of 1936. 121° in Steel, North Dakota on July 6th. Gannvalley, South Dakota had 120 °F on July 5, 1936. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2012 Accord Pub. 2011, USA)
 

1943 - Record cold prevailed in the northeastern U.S. The mercury plunged to 43 degrees below zero at Concord NH, and to -39 degrees at Portland ME. The morning low of -32 degrees at Falls Village CT established a state record, yet the afternoon high that day was 20 degrees above zero. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1943: Record cold prevailed in the northeastern United States. The mercury plunged to 37°F below zero at Concord, New Hampshire, and to -39 degrees at Portland, Maine. The morning low of -32°F at Falls Village, Connecticut, established a state record. The Connecticut record low was tied on January 22nd, 1961, when Coventry fell to -32°F.

1958: The greatest snowstorm of the mid 20th century struck the northeastern United States. The storm produced 30 inches of snow in interior New England, including more than 19 inches in 24 hours at the Boston Airport. The same storm produced up to three feet of snow in the Middle Atlantic Coast Region, with 14 inches at Washington DC, and 15.5 inches at Baltimore MD. The Poconos had 36 inches and the Catskills got 30 inches. The storm resulted in 43 deaths and 500 million dollars damage over the Middle Atlantic Coast States. (David Ludlum)


1962: Asheville, NC recorded a temperature of -23° for the coldest reading ever in North Carolina outside of the mountains. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1971: The weather was changeable in NW Pennsylvania. Along a 1-mile stretch of I-80 in Venango County, 9 accidents occurred due to icy roads. In Sharon, an unusual wake-up call for a man when he was “knocked” from his bed when lightning hit his house. A fire also resulted. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA)

1974: Record snowfall occurred at Lakelse Lake, British Columbia Canada as 46.5 inches fell over 24 hours. This record was broke 2/11/1999. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1987 - A winter storm produced snow and ice in the Ohio Valley and the Appalachian Region. Snowfall totals in Virginia ranged up to 14 inches around Farmville, while Granville NC reported eight inches of sleet and ice. Freezing rain in eastern North Carolina caused extensive damage to power lines. Gales lashed the coast of Virginia and North Carolina. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Santa Ana winds in southern California gusted to 50 mph in the Rancho Cucamonga area. Quiet weather prevailed across the rest of the nation. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - A surge of arctic air produced all-time record high barometric pressure readings of 31.08 inches at Duluth MN, 30.97 inches at Chicago IL and 30.94 inches at South Bend IN. Readings of 31.00 inches at Milwaukee WI and 30.98 inches at Rockford IL tied their all-time records. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed across the southeastern U.S. Highs of 81 degrees at Athens GA, 87 degrees at Charleston SC, 85 degrees at Macon GA, and 86 degrees at Savannah GA were records for February. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Strong thunderstorms developing ahead of an arctic cold front produced severe weather across the southeastern U.S. between mid morning on the 15th and early evening on the 16th. Thunderstorms spawned thirteen tornadoes, including one which, prior to dawn on the 16th, injured eleven persons near Carrollton GA. There were also 121 reports of large hail or damaging winds. A late afternoon thunderstorm on the 15th produced baseball size hail at Jackson MS, and prior to dawn on the 16th, a thunderstorm produced high winds which injured four persons at Goodwater AL. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989: A surge of arctic air on February 16-17th produced all-time record high barometric pressure readings of 31.08 inches at Duluth, Minnesota, 30.97 inches at Chicago, Illinois, and 30.94 inches at South Bend, Indiana. Readings of 31.00 inches at Milwaukee, Wisconsin, and 30.98 inches at Rockford, Illinois, tied their all-time records. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed across the southeastern U.S. Highs of 81 degrees at Athens, Georgia, 87 degrees at Charleston, South Carolina, 85 degrees at Macon, Georgia, and 86 degrees at Savannah, Georgia, were records for February.

1990
The biggest winter storm of the season hit the Pacific Coast Region. In northern California, snow fell along the coast, and two-day totals in the mountains ranged up to 67 inches at Echo Summit. Snowfall totals in the mountains of southern California ranged up to 48 inches at Green Valley, with 46 inches reported at Big Bear. Up to two feet of snow blanketed the southern Cascade Mountains of Oregon, and 20 to 35 inches were reported in the northern Cascades of Oregon. Up to ten inches of snow blanketed Seattle WA.
(The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1998: Annandale - Barcroft Hills Weather Center had a spring like thunderstorm with 1.73 inches of rain. (Ref. Annandale Weather Records)

2003: The 5th largest snowstorm at Annandale-Barcroft Hills Weather Center in the last 23 years with a total of 15.8 inches and was the most snow since January- 6-8 -1996 when 18.1 inches was recorded. This MAJOR storm had a 2/15/2003 snow total of 1.3 inches, 2/16/2003 snow total of 13.0 inches, 2/17/2003 snow total of 1.5 inches. Yet another 7.7 inches of snow would fall before the month was over. (Ref. Annandale Weather Records)
Feb. 14th-18th: A complex storm system produced copious amounts of snow and sleet across the region. Nicknamed the President’s Weekend Snowstorm of 2003, it ranked in the top 5 of all-time regional snowstorms. The storm took a heavy toll on residents, structures, transportation systems, emergency responders, businesses, livestock, and travelers. Roads were covered by deep snow and sleet and were nearly impassible. Emergency personnel and those needing emergency transport had to be taken to their destinations in 4 wheel drives or military vehicles (see article “Loudoun and Fauquier Counties’ Finest Assist the National Weather Service during Snowstorm”). Heavy accumulations weighed down on buildings and several structural collapses occurred.
Ref. (NWS Ranking for Storms between 1956 and 2011) This is the 4th Worst Snowstorm(Ref. Wilson More Information on This Snow Storm)

2014: Chicago February 17, 2014 at 4:15 PM Oak Park had heavy snow today and a rumble of thunder too. I know thunder was reported in the area. Oak Park had 5-6 inches and it is still snowing lightly. Midway Airport has had 72.2 inches for the season as this afternoon. O’Hare is the official station for Chicago is now 5th all time! (Ref.WGN-tv By Meteorologist Tom Skilling)

33 / 29 cloudy.  Hope to see some clearing later today as it looks to be sun-less  much of the week.   Overall near / above avg  and wetter week ahead.    Next weekend and the period into the 23/24th looks interesting, before then, warmer and wetter with showers and light rain Wed - Fri.  

2/16 - 2/21 : Warmer - above avg overall / wetter (2/18 - 2/20)
2/22 - 2/24 : Period to watch for next system
2/25 - beyond : Overall near / below avg


 

About 1.5 here in Monroe, NJ  21.4 on the season

Today's split

EWR: 42 / 28 (0)
NYC: 40 / 32 (0)

Daylight:

10H:41M
 

Surise: 6:50 AM / Sunset: 5:31 PM

Roughly equivalent to 10/25

We've gained 1H26Mins from the winter lull

Wetter week ahead 

Midway mark 14 days / 2 weeks Dep

EWR: -7.6 (0.03)
NYC:  -8.4 (0.008)
LGA: -8.1 (0.003)
JFK: -8.3 (0.01)

Records:

Highs:

EWR:  76 (1949)
NYC: 73 (1949)
LGA: 74 (1949)
JFK: 64 (1954)


Lows:

EWR: -7 (1943) 
NYC: -8 (1943)
LGA: -7 (1943)
JFK: 5 (2015)

Historical:

1895 - A big Gulf snowstorm produced six inches at Brownsville TX and Mobile AL, 15 inches at Galveston TX, and 24 inches of snow at Rayne LA in 24 hours. Snow fell at the very mouth of the Mississippi River. Houston TX received 22 inches of snow, and nine inches blanketed New Orleans LA. (David Ludlum)

1936 - The temperature at Parshall ND plunged to 60 degrees below zero to establish a state record. On the 6th of July that same year the temperature at Steele ND hit 121 degrees, also a state record. (David Ludlum)

1982 - An intense cyclone off the Atlantic coast capsized a drilling rig killing 84 persons, and sank a Soviet freighter resulting in 33 more deaths. The cyclone produced 80 mph winds which whipped the water into waves fifty feet high. (David Ludlum)

1987 - A storm crossing the central U.S. produced severe thunderstorms which spawned tornadoes in Louisiana and Mississippi. Tornadoes injured four persons at Pierre Pass LA, three persons at Tangipahoa LA, two persons at Lexie MS and two persons at Nicholson MS. Thunderstorm winds gusting to 100 mph killed one person south of Sulphur LA. Jackson MS was drenched with 1.5 inches of rain in ten minutes. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Low pressure brought heavy snow to parts of Michigan, with eleven inches reported at Rogers City. A cold front crossing the Northern Rockies produced wind gusts to 74 mph at Livingston MT, and created blizzard conditions in Idaho. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thirty-seven cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. The afternoon high of 80 degrees at Atlanta GA was a February record. Highs of 79 degrees at Chattanooga TN, 84 degrees at Columbia SC and 85 degrees at New Orleans LA equalled February records. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Snow, sleet and freezing rain along an arctic cold front prevailed from the north central U.S. to the Northern Atlantic Coast Region. High winds created near blizzard conditions in southern Wyoming, closing Interstate 80, while up to eleven inches of snow fell across central Minnesota.

1990 - Heavy snow also blanketed the Northern Atlantic Coast States, with ten inches reported at Buffalo NY and Mount Washington NH. Freezing rain over southern New England knocked out electricity to more than 10,000 homes in the western suburbs of Boston MA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

2000: Amarillo, Texas, set unusual temperature records today. The high of 82 degrees smashed the old daily high of 76 degrees set in 1921. Likewise, the morning low of 41 degrees broke the old high-low record of 40 degrees, established in 1921.

2004 - Up to 11 inches of snow fell in areas south of Nashville, TN, causing power outages and producing hazardous driving conditions. The Weather Doctor

37/ 27 clouds from the system that will mainly miss.  Rain already into SPA.  Overall above avg this week but 3 o4 of the 5 days may see some precip.   Perhaps some will get to or exceed 50 Tuesday wit enough afternoon clearing.  Clouds and light rain Wed - Sat.