SACRUS

Clearing out now.

1 minute ago, ILoveWinter said:

What are the chances we continue the below freezing streak at CPK over the next few days? High forecasted for 31 tomorrow and 32 Tuesday. 

 Will be close Mon - Thu - each could get to or exceed freezing just as easily as staying below, especially Tue/Wed.  EWR and New Brunswik will likely go above one, two or each of these days.

Month dep

EWR: -2.8 (30.1)   / 2.28 LE / 16.1 snow
 

Day light: 10H07M   gained about 52 minutes since the winter solstice and gaining more then 2minutes a day 

Rise: 7:06
Set: 5:14

I see the DST debate again increasing but as has been the case, it'll likely remain unchanged and DST will commence in 35 days.

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 68 (1989)
NYC: 67 (1989)
LGA: 66 (1989)
JFK: 64 (2012)


Lows:

EWR: 1 (1935)
NYC: -2 (1920)
LGA: 3 (1961)
JFK: 4 (1961)

Historical:

1893 - Thunder and lightning accompanied sleet and snow at Saint Louis MO during the evening hours, even though the temperature was just 13 degrees above zero. (The Weather Channel)

1916: Seattle, Washington, was buried under 21.5 inches of snow, their most significant 24-hour snowfall. A total of 32.5 inches of wet snow accumulated over three days. The Seattle cathedral dome collapsed under the snow's weight.

1920: Atmospheric pressure builds over New England to extreme levels. Barometer in Portland, Maine reads 31.09 inches of mercury (1053 mb), the highest February sea-level pressure ever recorded in the Eastern US. Hartford, Connecticut hits 31.06 inches of mercury (1051 mb). The Eastern US record was set the previous day (January 31, 1920) in Northfield VT at 31.14 in, though it was the same air mass. The mercury dropped to -45° at Pittsburg, NH. The City data comes from Christopher Burt's list of extreme pressures for US Cities (Ref. WxDoctor) (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) (Ref. US Barometer Records by State)
The highest air pressure ever recorded in the US was 31.85 inches in mercury (1078.56 millibars) in January 31, 1989 in the city of Northway, Alaska. (Ref. Bob Swanson, USA TODAY's assistant weather editor, November 24, 2005)

1935: Minimum temperature for Washington, DC for the date 6°F (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1947: January 30th through February 8th, a great blizzard occurred in Saskatchewan, Canada. All highways into Regina were blocked. Railway officials declared the worst conditions in Canadian rail history. One train was buried in a snowdrift over a half-mile long and 36.7 feet deep.

1951 - The greatest ice storm of record in the U.S. produced glaze up to four inches thick from Texas to Pennsylvania causing twenty-five deaths, 500 serious injuries, and 100 million dollars damage. Tennessee was hardest hit by the storm. Communications and utilities were interrupted for a week to ten days. (David Ludlum)

1951: An ice and sleet storm began in late January and ended on February 1st rendered many roads impassable. Electricity and telephone service was disrupted.

1951 - The temperature at Taylor Park Dam plunged to 60 degrees below zero, a record for the state of Colorado. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)

1955: Seen first as a "well-defined cone-shaped funnel" over the Mississippi River, this F3 tornado cut a path from Commerce Landing to Clark in northeastern Mississippi. This tornado killed 20 and injured at least 141 individuals. Most of the deaths were in a plantation school. The following is from Thomas Grazulis, "Significant Tornadoes 1680-1991" book: "Despite the fact that a funnel was seen, that heavy objects were thrown long distances, and that the tornado was in a forecast box, the event was not officially called a tornado. A survey team state that since all debris was thrown in one direction, the event should not be listed as a tornado."

1969: Across central and eastern South Dakota contained a variety of winter weather causing many problems. Glazing due to heavy fog and drizzle periodically formed on utility lines causing numerous broken power lines. Periodically, strong winds caused widespread blowing and drifting snow resulting in many closed roads. Snowplows would open the roads and often drifting snow would close the roads again. Frequent uses of pusher type snowplows piled banks of snow 20 to 30 feet along the roads and it became impractical to open roads with this type of snowplow. Several rotary snowplows were flown in from military air bases outside of the state to open some of the roads in the eastern part of the state. Numerous school closings occurred during the month due to snow blocked roads. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1982: A winter storm struck the Niagara Frontier and western southern tier of western New Your beginning on January 31st and continued through this date. Precipitation fell as a mixture of rain, freezing rain and snow. Winds gusted as high as 61 mph. Most of western New York's schools closed on the first as glazed highways and the high winds made driving extremely hazardous. Buffalo International Airport shut down most of the day due to ice accumulations up to an inch on the runways. The high winds caused local whiteouts and extreme cold wind chills. Thousands of area homes were without power as ice coated power lines throughout the area. There were numerous reports of traffic accidents including a tractor trailer that was blown off Route 219 in Orchard Park and six tractor trailers jack knifed and slid off the Southern Tier Expressway. The Father Baker Bridge, Fuhrman Boulevard, and the Skyway were closed because of icy pavement and zero visibility. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1985 - Snow, sleet and ice glazed southern Tennessee and northern sections of Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama. The winter storm produced up to eleven inches of sleet and ice in Lauderdale County AL, one of the worst storms of record for the state. All streets in Florence AL were closed for the first time of record. (1st-2nd) (The Weather Channel)

1987 - A storm in the Pacific Northwest produced wind gusts to 100 mph at Cape Blanco OR, and up to six inches of rain in the northern coastal mountain ranges. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thirty cities in the eastern U.S. reported new record high temperatures for the date, including Richmond VA with a reading of 73 degrees. Thunderstorms in southern Louisiana deluged Basile with 12.34 inches of rain. Arctic cold gripped the north central U.S. Wolf Point MT reported a low of 32 degrees below zero. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - While arctic cold continued to invade the central U.S., fifty-four cities in the south central and eastern U.S. reported new record high temperatures for the date. Russell KS, the hot spot in the nation with a high of 84 degrees the previous day, reported a morning low of 12 above. Tioga ND reported a wind chill reading of 90 degrees below zero. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Thunderstorms associated with an upper level weather disturbance produced severe weather across the eastern half of Texas during the late afternoon and evening. Four persons were injured at Waco TX where thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 80 mph. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 97 mph at Cotulla TX injuring two other persons. Golf ball size hail was reported at Whitney and northeast of Whitsett. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1996: Arctic outbreak pushes sub-zero cold from Washington State to East Coast. Duluth, MN -39°, International Falls -45°, Des Moines, IA -26°, La Crosse, WI -36°, Spokane, WA -24° were all February records. All time lows at Glasgow, MT -38°, Tower, MT ties the all time state record low at -60°. (Bob Ryan's 2002 Almanac) (Ref. Wilson More Information)

2002: A very large storm moved across the Great Lakes and lifted northeast to the St. Lawrence Valley. Dealing with the aftermath of this same system residents across the Ohio Valley had an ice storm for several days across parts of Illinois, Indiana and Ohio. Totals were a half to one inch thick downing trees and power lines. Around one million people were left without power across the three states. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2003: NEXRAD radars across Texas and Louisiana captured the tragic images of the debris field from the Space Shuttle Columbia which disintegrated as it re-entered the atmosphere over Texas. Debris fell over a huge area, possibly from California to the Gulf of Mexico. Some of the densest debris fall was reported in the town of Nacogdoches, in eastern Texas. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2011: Chicago IL - Feb. 1st and 2nd : Blizzard only started on the 1st Chicago receives a 20.2 inch snowfall in the blizzard of 2011 making it the third worst storm since snow records began in 1886 in Chicago (125 years). (See Feb. 2, 2011 for much additional information.)

2011 - One of the most significant events of the 2010-2011 winter season affected a widespread region from Texas to the Midwest and Northeast from February 1st to 3rd 2011. The system produced widespread heavy snow with blizzard conditions and significant freezing rain and sleet to other locations. Snowfall amounts of 10 to 20 inches were common from northeast Oklahoma to lower Michigan. The storm produced 20.2 inches at Chicago, the third heaviest snowfall in the city since their records began in 1886, along with a peak wind of 61 mph. Kansas City received just under 9 inches of snow. The high temp was 17 degrees.

Pull that storm 300 miles NW and we got it made

9 / -1 off a low of 6 .  Flurries from what could have been.  Cold overall with some areas touching or pushing past freezing Mon - Wed.  Flurries snow showers Wed then again on Sat with reinfocing arctic clipper.   Euro has moderation in the 2/11 - 2/14 period and the GFS / others keep it cold. Looks mainly dry this week outside some snow showers/light snow Wed / Sat.  Longer range focus on the 2/11 - 21/3 period on GFS/Euro.

2/1 - 2/9 : Overall cold below to much below coldest 2/7 - 2/9
2/4 , 2/7 :  Snow showers / light snow
2/10 - 2/13 : Perhaps some moderation near normal
2/14-15 - beyond :  Overall cold.

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 64 (1947)
NYC: 63 (1947)
LGA: 61 (1974)
JFK: 58 (1974)

Lows:

EWR: 1 (1948)
NYC: -1 (1920)
LGA: 2 (1948)
JFK: 3 (2019)

Historical:

1888: A snowy January left 54 inches of snow on the ground in the lower elevations of Northfield, VT. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1893: The temperature dropped 40 degrees in five hours during a blizzard at Park Rapids, MN. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1905: The minimum temperature for the date is -2°F. in Washington, DC. (Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1911 - Tamarack, CA, was without snow the first eight days of the month, but by the end of January had been buried under 390 inches of snow, a record monthly total for the U.S. (The Weather Channel)


1916: The maximum temperature for the date in Washington, DC is 71 °F. (Washington Weather Records - KDCA)


1918: January 1918 is the all time coldest month on record in Washington with an average temperature of 23.6 degrees Fahrenheit. January 1940 the average temperature was 24.9 degrees Fahrenheit .  January 1977 the average temperature was 25.4 degrees Fahrenheit, which made it Washington's coldest month since 1940. (Ref. Washington Weather Records) The maximum snowfall total for any month in Richmond is January 1940 with a total of 28.5 inches. (Ref. Richmond Weather Records)

1920: Northfield, Vermont: The highest barometric pressure observed in the contiguous forty-eight states: 31.14 inches mercury. The cold high pressure would be followed by a major winter storm just three days later that paralyzed the region. (Ref. Wx.Doctor)(Ref. Wilson Wx. History) (Ref. US Barometer Records by State)

1934: New Hampshire lowest temperature was set on Mt. Washington, NH at -47 °F today. (Extreme Weather p. 54, by Christopher C. Burt)

1936: The village of Amenia, also in North Dakota, registered a maximum temperature of only 10°F for the entire month of January, perhaps the lowest MONTHLY maximum temperature ever measured in the lower 48 states. (Extreme Weather p. 64, by Christopher C. Burt)

1937: A major Oregon snowstorm dumped 25 inches of snow at Salem, OR and 16 inches at Portland, OR. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)


 

1949 - The temperature at San Antonio, TX, plunged to a record low of one degree below zero. Helena MT reached 42 degrees below zero. (David Ludlum)

1950: Seattle, Washington experienced their coldest temperature on record with a reading of zero degrees.

1957: A freight train was trapped by near record snow in Colorado's Cumbres Pass. Subsequent work and rescue trains were trapped by avalanches approximately 60 crew were involved. Heavy snows, high winds, ground blizzards hurt rescue efforts by Army snow weasels and helicopters. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2012 Accord Pub. 2011, USA)

1966 - A blizzard struck the northeastern U.S. When the storm came to an end, twenty inches of snow covered the ground at Washington D.C. (David Ludlum)


1966: A blizzard struck the northeastern U.S. When the storm came to an end, twenty inches of snow covered the ground at Washington, DC. (David Ludlum, p. 10)  Behind the storm and cold front, arctic high pressure brought extreme record cold from the Tennessee Valley, Mid-Atlantic to Florida. Chattanooga, TN tied their all-time record low with -10°. Locations that reported daily record lows included: Bristol, TN: -15°, Knoxville, TN: -7°, Oak Ridge, TN: -7°, Nashville, TN: -2°, Asheville, NC: 1°, Greensboro, NC: 3°, Raleigh, NC: 3°, Charlotte, NC: 4°, Roanoke, VA: 4°, Baltimore, MD: 4°-Tied , Lynchburg, VA: 5°-Tied, Columbia, SC: 10°, Norfolk, VA: 10°, Charleston, SC: 15°, Savannah, GA: 16°, Wilmington, NC: 17°-Tied, Jacksonville, FL: 20°, West Palm Beach, FL: 32°, Miami, FL: 35° and Key West, FL: 47 °F. (Ref. Wilson - Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link)
Virginia Winter Weather Summary • Roanoke Winter Statistics Snowiest Month = 41.2 inches in Jan. 1966 Average Snowfall = 22.9 inches. (Ref. Virginia Wx. History)

1977: Very cold Jan mean temperature of 25.4° a -10.2° departure coldest since 1940- Two very strong cold fronts during the month. January 1977: The Bicentennial Winter was the coldest seen on the East Coast since before the founding of the republic. In Northern Virginia, the snow began on January 4, just as the Carter Administration was moving into town. New storms dropped a few more inches every few days to put a fresh coating on the streets that were just clearing from the previous storm and give a clean look to the piles of dirty snow that were accumulating along roadways and in parking lots. The Tidal Potomac (salt water) froze solid enough that people could skate across it near the Memorial Bridge. The average temperature for the month of January in Washington was 25.4°F, which was the coldest since 1856 when the temperature averaged 21.4 °F. The normal January average temperature for Washington is 34.6°F (about 9° warmer). Roanoke averaged only 23.6°F, Richmond 25.3°F, and Norfolk 29.2°F (all 12° below normal). The prolonged cold wave caused oil and natural gas shortages. President Carter asked people to turn thermostats down to conserve energy. Washington did not see heavy snow like the Great Lake region did that winter. The cold winds blowing across the warm lakes brought 68 inches of snow to Buffalo, NY. Washington recorded 10 inches of snow in January, Richmond 11 inches, and Roanoke only 9 inches. Little to none fell the rest of the winter ending it well below normal. The cold wave penetrated into the South and on January 19, snowflakes were seen in Miami, Florida!(Ref. Virginia Wx. History) (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1979: A winter storm that started on the previous day and ended on this day spread 2 to 4 inches of rainfall in 24 hours over much of coastal Southern California and two inches of snow in Palm Springs. Snow fell heavily in Palm Springs, and 8 inches fell at Lancaster. All major interstates into Los Angeles were closed. Snow drifts shut down Interstate 10 on both sides of Palm Springs, isolating the city. 

1982 - A snowstorm struck Missouri, Illinois and Indiana. Twenty-five inches of snow at Greenville IL, located east of Saint Louis, paralyzed the community. The storm left 4000 motorists stranded for two days. (David Ludlum)

1987 - A storm in the Pacific Northwest produced wind gusts to 85 mph in Oregon, and nearly two inches of rain in twelve hours in the Puget Sound area of Washington State. Ten inches of snow at Stampede Pass WA brought their total snow cover to 84 inches. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thirty-one cities in the central and northeastern U.S. reported new record high temperatures for the date, with many occurring during the early morning hours. Temperatures in western New York State reached the 60s early in the day. Strong northerly winds in the north central U.S. produced wind chill readings as cold as 60 degrees below zero in North Dakota. (National Weather Summary)

1989 - The barometric pressure at Norway, AK, reached 31.85 inches (1078.4 mb) establishing an all-time record for the North American Continent. The temperature at the time of the record was about 46 degrees below zero (The Weather Channel). Severe arctic cold began to invade the north central U.S. The temperature at Great Falls MT plunged 85 degrees in 36 hours. Valentine NE plummeted from a record high of 70 degrees to zero in just nine hours. Northwest winds gusted to 86 mph at Lander WY, and wind chill readings of 80 degrees below zero were reported in Montana. Sixty-four cities in the central U.S. reported record highs for the date as readings reached the 60s in Michigan and the 80s in Kansas. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1990 - High winds in Montana on the 28th, gusting to 77 mph at Judith Gap, were followed by three days of snow. Heavy snow fell over northwest Montana, with up to 24 inches reported in the mountains. An avalanche covered the road near Essex with six feet of snow. Snow and high winds also plagued parts of the southwestern U.S. Winds gusted to 54 mph at Show Low AZ, and Flagstaff AZ was blanketed with eight inches of snow. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)


1991: The month wrapped up as the wettest ever at Apalachicola, FL and Lake Charles LA with 20.80 and 14.29 inches of rain respectively. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1994: It was the coldest month ever in Caribou, ME with an average temperature of -0.7°, breaking the old record of 1.3° set in January 1857. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

1995: All time monthly rain records in CA in January 1995. Gibraltar res. 34.80 inches, Santa Barbara 21.9 inches, Santa Maria 11.8 inches and Red Bluff 20.9 inches. (Bob Ryan's 2000 Almanac)

1996: Virginia Winter Weather Summary • Roanoke Winter Statistics - Greatest Snow = 22.2 inches in Jan. 1996 (Ref. Virginia Wx. History)

1997: Marquette, MI measured 91.7 inches of snow for the month, the city's greatest monthly snowfall on record. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2004: Parish, New York: A three-day snowstorm (28th - 31st) dumps 86 inches of snow on Parish, located about 25 miles north of Syracuse. (Ref. Wx.Doctor)
 

Down to 3 here  7 / -4 currently.   Cold overall with brief moderation to or abover freezing in areas Mon - Tue - Wed.   Clippers bring reinforcing cold shots and potential light snow later Wed - Thu morning , Fri - Sat.  Some show clipper deepening once off the cost Saturday which could enhance snows in LI/SNE (well see). 

1/31 - 2/1 :  Stong cold much below avg
2/2 - 2/4 :  Below normal but may crack freezing or mid 30s in areas 
2/5 - 2/ 7 : Colder / clipper - potential light snow, Watch for enhanced snows Fri night / Sat eastern areas
2/8 - 2/13 :  Cold overall - long range storm risk 2/11 - 2/13 timeframe
2/14 - Beyond : overall cold / Below normal 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 66 (2013)
NYC: 64 (2006)
NYC: 64 (2006)
JFK: 62 (2006)


Lows:

EWR: 3 (1935)
NYC: -1 (1873)
NYC: -1 (1873)
JFK: 7 (2019)

Historical:  

1936 - Birmingham, AL, established a single storm record and 24 hour record with 11 inches of snow. (29th-30th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1966: The Blizzard of 1966 impacted New York and paralyzed the region. The train service was disrupted. Numerous highways, the New York State Thruway from Albany to the Pennsylvania state line, and the Buffalo Airport and other airports throughout western and central New York were closed. The Syracuse-Oswego area's hardest hit, where Bob Sykes, a meteorology professor at the State University of New York at Oswego, reported a whopping 102.4 inches! Some schools in Orleans County were closed for the entire week following the blizzard. Economic loss from the storm was estimated at $35 million. Winds gusting to 60 mph and temperatures in the teens, and heavy and blowing snow created severe blizzard conditions.

1977 - The great "Buffalo Blizzard" finally abated after three days. The storm added a foot of new snow to 33 inches already on the ground. Winds gusting to 75 mph reduced visibilities to near zero, produced snow drifts twenty-five feet high, and kept wind chill readings 50 degrees below zero. The blizzard paralyzed the city, and caused 250 million dollars damage. (David Ludlum)

1987 - A winter storm brought more heavy snow to the North Atlantic Coast Region, with 13.6 inches reported at Hiram ME. January proved to be the snowiest of record for much of Massachusetts. Worcester MA reported an all-time monthly record of 46.8 inches of snow. (National Weather Summary)

1988 - Strong southerly winds, gusting to 53 mph at Kansas City MO, spread warm air into the central U.S. Nineteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Snow and strong northwest winds ushered cold arctic air into the north central states. The temperature at Cutbank plunged from 54 degrees to a morning low of 7 degrees below zero. (National Weather Summary)

1989 - The temperature at McGrath, AK, dipped to 62 degrees below zero, and Fairbanks reported a reading of 51 degrees below zero, with unofficial readings in the area as cold as 75 degrees below zero. The massive dome of bitterly cold air began to slide down western Canada toward the north central U.S. Strong southwest winds ahead of the arctic front pushed the temperature at Great Falls MT to 62 degrees, and gusted to 124 mph at Choteau MT, overturning trucks and mobile homes, and a dozen empty railroad cars. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1990 - A major winter storm produced heavy snow from Indiana to New England. It was the biggest storm in two and a half years for eastern New York State. Snowfall totals in the mountains of Maine ranged up to 20 inches at Guilford and Lovell. Other heavy snowfall totals included 17 inches at Utica NY, and 19 inches at Bethel VT, Ludlow VT, and New London NH. The storm claimed three lives in eastern New York State, and four lives in Vermont. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

2002 - One of the driest Januarys on record in Iowa was broken up by a winter storm that produced snowfall across the state from January 30-31. The snow was heaviest across southern and southeastern Iowa, where storm total accumulations ranged between 11 and 13 inches along and south of Chariton�s line through Ottumwa to Wapello and Burlington. The highest reported totals were 13.2 inches at Leon and 13.0 inches at Bloomfield and Fairfield.

2002: One of the driest Januarys on record in Iowa was broken up by a winter storm that produced snowfall across the state from January 30-31. The snow was heaviest across southern and southeastern Iowa, where storm total accumulations ranged between 11 and 13 inches along and south of Chariton’s line through Ottumwa to Wapello and Burlington. The highest reported totals were 13.2 inches at Leon and 13.0 inches at Bloomfield and Fairfield.

2005 - A significant ice storm struck parts of northern Georgia on the 30th-31st. Ice accretion was as great as 2 inches in Monroe county, located southeast of Atlanta. Power outages in the area at the height of the storm affected nearly 320,000 homes and businesses.

Down to 4 here now to 12 / 5.   Sub 20 high today, olver cold into the beyond with some moderation perhaps to or above freezing for some Mon - Wed before next reinforcing shot of cold with arctic front / clipper in the Thu / Fri timeframe with next stronger cold 2/6 - 2/8.  Another system pegged for the period of 2/11 - 2/13-14 period.  

ICON

RGEM

SREF as well

00z offers little help at the onset for any snow flakes

NAM

22 / 5 split today.  Colder tomorrow.  Weekend storm sleeps with the fishes.  Next up clipper Thu 2/4 -Fri 2/5. Overall cold continues a bit moderation next week perhaps to / above freezing Tue-wed-thu. 

18z missed

RGEM

For those scoring at home 

18z misses

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12z crap misses round up:

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12z GGEM Total QPF

Still hope for some light snow as forecasted Northern/northeastern extent of precip is usually further NW of QPF.