Jump to content

SACRUS

Members
  • Posts

    15,260
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by SACRUS

  1. 1 minute ago, BoulderWX said:

    You can see the western edge moving east on many of the models. Not as expansive of a precip field on the recent Mesos. I’m riding the razors edge here between a significant storm and something more run of the mill

     

    It'll be all about the banding

    • Like 1
  2. 2 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said:

    Some of the models have cut back a bit but it's really noise at this point, this is still a really big storm with 12-20 areawide.


    Deformation banding will gift some with huge totals and rob others - always the case its not such a uniform distribution as the globals and other models show.  QPF in general will be 1-1.4 aread wide ( 8-14 or so) and under those heaviest bands/banding  up to and exceeding 2-2.5 LE and that's where the >18-24 inches totals in those areas the target has been depicted in the Ocean - Monmouth cty and LI/SNE areas.

  3. NYC (Central Park) Snowstorms (Top 40 like the old radio countdowns) we may have a new smash hit coming in the top 15 

     Largest → Smallest

    Jan 22–24, 2016 – 27.5"

    Feb 11–12, 2006 – 26.9"

    Dec 26–27, 1947 – 26.4"

    Feb 25–27, 2010 – 20.9"

    Jan 7–8, 1996 – 20.2"

    Dec 26–27, 2010 – 20.0"

    Feb 16–17, 2003 – 19.8"

    Jan 26–27, 2011 – 19.0"

    Mar 7–8, 1941 – 18.1"

    Feb 5–7, 1978 – 17.7"

    Feb 11–12, 1983 – 17.6"

    Feb 3–4, 1961 – 17.4"

    Jan 31–Feb 3, 2021 – 17.4"

    Dec 19–20, 1948 – 16.0"

    Feb 9–10, 1969 – 15.3"

    Dec 11–12, 1960 – 15.2"

    Mar 3–4, 1960 – 14.5"

    Dec 5–7, 2003 – 14.0"

    Jan 22–23, 2005 – 13.8"

    Dec 21–22, 1959 – 13.7"

    Jan 19–20, 1978 – 13.6"

    Jan 23–24, 1935 – 13.0"

    Feb 11, 1994 – 12.8"

    Feb 19, 1979 – 12.7"

    Jan 12–13, 1964 – 12.5"

    Feb 7, 1967 – 12.5"

    Feb 13–14, 2014 – 12.5"

    Dec 30, 2000 – 12.0"

    Mar 20–21, 1958 – 11.8"

    Mar 18–19, 1956 – 11.6"

    Jan 21–22, 2014 – 11.5"

    Feb 8–9, 2013 – 11.4"

    Jan 25–26, 2026 – 11.4"

    Dec 26, 1933 – 11.2"

    Dec 19–20, 2009 – 10.9"

    Feb 4, 1995 – 10.8"

    Feb 20–21, 1947 – 10.7"

    Feb 16–17, 1996 – 10.7"

    Mar 13–14, 1993 – 10.6"

    Feb 11, 1933 – 10.0"

    Feb 10, 2010 – 10.0"

    • Like 2
  4. 3 hours ago, SACRUS said:


    2/22 00z Summary

    Total QPF NYC
    /
    Total 10:1 Snow NYC c

     

     

    SREF mean: 2.2 /  21
    NAM: 2.8 / 27.5
    NAM 3k: 2.0 / 19.5
    ICON: 1.4 / 13.5
    RGEM: 1.3 / 13.3
    GFS: 1.6 / 16.7
    GFS AI AIGFS: 1.4 / 13.6
    GGEM: 1.5 / 13.8
    GEFS: 1.7 / 17
    UKMET: 1.2 / 11
    EURO AI AIFS: 1.3 / 12.7
    EURO:  1.4 / 12.8  


     

    2/22 00z Summary

    Total QPF NYC
    /
    Total 10:1 Snow NYC

     

     

    SREF mean: 2.2 /  21
    NAM: 2.8 / 27.5
    NAM 3k: 2.0 / 19.5
    ICON: 1.4 / 13.5
    RGEM: 1.3 / 13.3
    GFS: 1.6 / 16.7
    GFS AI AIGFS: 1.4 / 13.6
    GGEM: 1.5 / 13.8
    GEFS: 1.7 / 17
    UKMET: 1.2 / 11
    EURO AI AIFS: 1.3 / 12.7
    EURO:  1.4 / 12.8  

     

    • Total QPF (NYC): 1.65 inches

    • Total Snow (10:1, NYC): 16.0 inches

    • Thanks 1


  5. nyc 10+ snowfalls storms

     

    NYC (Central Park) Snowstorms ≥ 10.0"

    1933–2026

    Feb 11, 1933 – 10.0"

    Dec 26, 1933 – 11.2"

    Jan 23–24, 1935 – 13.0"

    Mar 7–8, 1941 – 18.1"

    Feb 20–21, 1947 – 10.7"

    Dec 26–27, 1947 – 26.4"

    Dec 19–20, 1948 – 16.0"

    Mar 18–19, 1956 – 11.6"

    Mar 20–21, 1958 – 11.8"

    Dec 21–22, 1959 – 13.7"

    Mar 3–4, 1960 – 14.5"

    Dec 11–12, 1960 – 15.2"

    Feb 3–4, 1961 – 17.4"

    Jan 12–13, 1964 – 12.5"

    Feb 7, 1967 – 12.5"

    Feb 9–10, 1969 – 15.3"

    Jan 19–20, 1978 – 13.6"

    Feb 5–7, 1978 – 17.7"

    Feb 19, 1979 – 12.7"

    Feb 11–12, 1983 – 17.6"

    Mar 13–14, 1993 – 10.6"

    Feb 11, 1994 – 12.8"

    Feb 4, 1995 – 10.8"

    Jan 7–8, 1996 – 20.2"

    Feb 16–17, 1996 – 10.7"

    Dec 30, 2000 – 12.0"

    Feb 16–17, 2003 – 19.8"

    Dec 5–7, 2003 – 14.0"

    Jan 27–28, 2004 – 10.3"

    Jan 22–23, 2005 – 13.8"

    Feb 11–12, 2006 – 26.9"

    Dec 19–20, 2009 – 10.9"

    Feb 10, 2010 – 10.0"

    Feb 25–27, 2010 – 20.9"

    Dec 26–27, 2010 – 20.0"

    Jan 26–27, 2011 – 19.0"

    Feb 8–9, 2013 – 11.4"

    Jan 21–22, 2014 – 11.5"

    Feb 13–14, 2014 – 12.5"

    Jan 22–24, 2016 – 27.5"

    Dec 16–17, 2020 – 10.5"

    Jan 31–Feb 3, 2021 – 17.4"

    Jan 25–26, 2026 – 11.4"

×
×
  • Create New...