SACRUS

12 minutes ago, North and West said:

Checking in at halftime of my older son’s game; what is the storm actually doing at this moment versus what the models have shown? Thanks.

I’ll hang up and listen.


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1/24 16z RAP

Snow between 4 - 6 am

Can we run the old ETA and ECM for the E+E rule?  Throw in the KFS and JMA for old time sake.

1/24 12z GEFS

Total QPF

Total snow /sleet (10:1)

1/24 15Z HRRRRR gets snow in between 3 and 5 AM

1/24 12z UKIE

Total QPF:

Total Snow (10:1)

UKIE

1/24 12z UKIE

FWIW RAP - seems to always be the coldest in these situations

15Z

QPF

Sow (10:1) 

15z RAP still snowing at 6PM FWIW

12z GFS

QPF

Snowfall

Heavy snow by 1:00 with sleet into far southern NJ

Snow by 4AM

1/24 12z GFS 

1/24 14z RAP has snow starting around 4/5 AM

1/24 12z ICON

Total QPF

Total Snow / Sleet (10:1)

12z ICON

1/24 12z ICON 

12z RRFS 

Total QPF

Total Snow

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

Yea it’s gonna replace it eventually, but it’s still unknown if it’s good or not it’s a prototype at this stage still I believe? 

Yes but the core is based more on the GFS systems