SACRUS

06z :

Models 

Mean Total QPF (NYC): 1.49 inches

Mean 10:1 Snowfall (NYC): 15.5 inches

2/21 06z Summary

Total QPF NYC
/ 
Total 10:1 Snow NYC

SREF: 1.8 / 16.9
NAM: 2.3 / 22.5
RGEM: 1.5 / 14.7
ICON: 1.4 / 12.9
GFS: 2.3 / 22
GFS AI AIFS: 1.6 / 15.8
UKMET: 1.0 / 10.4
GEFS:   1.8 / 18.4
EURO:  .09 / 10.1
EURO AI AIFS: 1.1 / 11.1
 

2/21 00z EURO

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

Snow 10:1

2/21 00z EURO AI AIFS

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

Snow 10:1

Im not 100% sure i am navigating the CISP analogs page correct but came up with this list

Just now, Snowpsycho said:

On what forum did Ji and DT go at it constantly. I remember they were like a comedy team. DT was a bully lol. Sorry for the off topic stuff. 

Wright Weather or Eastern - good ol days

1 minute ago, David-LI said:

That's insane GEFS snow totals. I don't think I have ever seen that on an ensemble.

Not in the 48 - 60 hour range , not that i can recall

3 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 00z Summary

Total QPF NYC / Total 10:1 Snow NYC

SREF:  1.5 / 14.1
NAM: 2.3 / 22.3
ICON: 1.8 / 16.7
RGEM: 1.0 / 9.2
GFS: 1.9 / 19.1
GFS AI AIGFS: 1.6 / 16
GGEM: 1.4 / 13.5
UKMET: 1.0 / 11
GEFS: 2.1 / 20.5

Updated with the GEFS mean QPF / snow 10:1

2/21 00z GEFS

Total QPF Mean 2/22 - 2/23-24

Now 10:1

UKMET

3 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 00z Summary

Total QPF NYC / Total 10:1 Snow NYC

SREF:  1.5 / 14.1
NAM: 2.3 / 22.3
ICON: 1.8 / 16.7
RGEM: 1.0 / 9.2
GFS: 1.9 / 19.1
GFS AI AIGFS: 1.6 / 16
GGEM: 1.4 / 13.5
UKMET: 1.0 / 11

Updated with UKMET

2/21 00z UKMET

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23 - 24  (expected more)

Snow 10:1

ukmet 979 off delmarva

Tea time with the UKMET runing to 30 now

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

CMC gets the low down to 966 

 

3 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 00z Summary

Total QPF NYC / Total 10:1 Snow NYC

SREF:  1.5 / 14.1
NAM: 2.3 / 22.3
ICON: 1.8 / 16.7
RGEM: 1.0 / 9.2
GFS: 1.9 / 19.1
GFS AI AIGFS: 1.6 / 16
GGEM: 1.4 / 13.5

Updated with the GGEM

3 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

do you have the numbers from 18z? sorry to bother u Sacrus

2/20 18z Summary

Total QPF NYC 2/22 - 2/23-24

SFRE F: 1.0
NAM: 2.3
RGEM: 0.6
ICON: 1.2
GFS AI AIGFS:  1.5
GFS: 2.2

2/21 00z GGEM

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24



Snow 10:1

GGEM 

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 00z Summary

Total QPF NYC / Total 10:1 Snow NYC

SREF:  1.5 / 14.1
NAM: 2.3 / 22.3
ICON: 1.8 / 16.7
RGEM: 1.0 / 9.2
GFS: 1.9 / 19.1
GFS AI AIGFS: 1.6 / 16

Update GFS / GFS AI AIGFS

2/21 00z GFS AI AIGFS

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

Snow 10:1

2/21 00z GFS

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 00z

Snow 10:1

GFS AI

For reference

2/21 00z RRFS  (planned to replace HRR / Fv3 at some point)

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

Snow 10:1