SACRUS
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Posts posted by SACRUS
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Euro total QPF storm
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25-40% sleet
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Snow starts to arrive betwen 3am - 8am Sunday
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2 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:
It’s only our to hour 54 from what I can see and a lot of people are asleep lol. But ya the EURO AI would bring some sleet to the area around hr 93-96
it didnt seem like much with the snow 10:1 at over 11 inches in 1.1 QPF
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1 hour ago, SACRUS said:
1/22 00Z QPF - NYC
ICON: 1.5
GFS: 1.2
GFS AI AIGFS: 0.9
GGEM: 1.2 (50% sleet)
UKMET: 1.2 (90% snow)
GEFS *mean: 1.1
Euro AI AIFS: 1.1Updated
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1 minute ago, KeithB said:
How is this compared to the previous run or two?
1 minute ago, KeithB said:How is this compared to the previous run or two?
Looks fairly consistent to me
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euro 00z ai aifs yotal QPF storm

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GEFS total QPF mean storm

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56 minutes ago, SACRUS said:
1/22 00Z QPF - NYC
ICON: 1.5
GFS: 1.2
GFS AI AIGFS: 0.9
GGEM: 1.2 (50% sleet)
UKMET: 1.2 (90% snow)
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UMET 1/22 00Z Total QPF - storm

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Ends after here (monday 5-6 PM)

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Still going at Monday PM

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1 minute ago, SBUWX23 said:
CMC isn't my favorite model but it's still a potential solution. One thing the CMC and rgem were consistently over amplified in past years at this range.
GGEM (CMC)
Common biases
Over-deepens coastal lows
Track often too far north or west
QPF inflation → snow maps run hot
Can be noisy run-to-run





























Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
in New York City Metro
Posted
Updated