SACRUS

A stunning 73 / 53 and blue skies

Core ridge to the north, onshore keeps heat west at bay but near normal between brief  pushes of  hotter air coming east.

Next week looks mainly dry, mon / tue could see come pm storms as the cutoff UL moves SE offhsore of the area

Overall coolest departures since May 12th.  

66 / 52 after a low of 50.  Cool retreats warm spot back to or near 80.  Warmer the next 3 days peaking Sun with the wamer spots touching 90.  Cut off undercuts the norther ridge later Mon - Wed with onshore flow keeping heat west but overall warmer airmass keeps in near normal before burst of heat to close the month.  Trough followed by ridging - overall warmer (above normal) from labor day onwards.  Any heat is brief.  Tropicals may reactivate on the Day 7-10 period, otherwise a drier pattern lingers into labor day.

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 97 (2005)
NYC: 96 (1955)
LGA: 97 (1955)
JFK: 91 (2005)


Lows:

EWR: 53 (1949)
NYC: 53 (1922)
LGA: 57 (1977)
JFK: 50 (1977)

Historical:

1856 - The Charter Oak was an unusually large white oak tree growing from around the 12th or 13th century until it fell during a windstorm on this day in 1856. According to tradition, Connecticut's Royal Charter of 1662 was hidden within the hollow of the tree to thwart its confiscation by the English governor-general. The oak became a symbol of American independence and is commemorated on the Connecticut State Quarter.

1883 - An estimated F5 tornado caused extensive damage to Rochester Minnesota on this day. The enormous roar was said to have warned most Rochester residents, as the massive funnel cut through the north side of town. Over 135 homes were destroyed, and another 200 damaged. Many of the 200 plus injuries were severe, and other deaths probably occurred but not listed as part of the 37 total mentioned. This damaging tornado eventually led to the formation of the Mayo Clinic.

1888 - A tornado swarm occurred in Maryland and Delaware. Many waterspouts were seen over Chesapeake Bay. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)

1893 - Four hurricanes are observed in the Atlantic Ocean at the same time. Over a century would pass, 1998 before four hurricanes would again rage together in the Atlantic.

1918 - A tornado struck Tyler, MN, killing 36 persons and destroying most of the business section of the town resulting in a million dollars damage. (David Ludlum)

1983 - The temperature at Fayetteville, NC, soared to 110 degrees to establish a state record. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Early morning thunderstorms produced severe weather in eastern Iowa and west central Illinois. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 82 mph at Moline IL, and tennis ball size hail at Independence IA. Rock Island IL was drenched with 3.70 inches of rain. Total damage for the seven county area of west central Illinois was estimated at twelve million dollars. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thunderstorms spawned several tornadoes in Iowa, produced wind gusts to 63 mph in the Council Bluffs area, and drenched Sioux Center IA with up to 6.61 inches of rain. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather from Kansas to Minnesota and North Dakota. Thunderstorms in Minnesota produced baseball size hail from Correll to north of Appleton. Thunderstorms in north central Kansas produced wind gusts higher than 100 mph at Wilson Dam. Thunderstorms around Lincoln NE produced baseball size hail and up to five inches of rain, and Boone NE was deluged with five inches of rain in an hour and a half. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1994 - Hurricane John, about 345 miles south of Hilo, Hawaii had winds of 175 mph and pressure at 920 millibars or 27.17 inches of mercury, making it one of the strongest hurricanes ever in the Central Pacific. The 31-day existence made John the longest-lasting tropical cyclone recorded in both the Pacific Ocean and worldwide, surpassing both Hurricane Tina's previous record in the Pacific of 24 days in the 1992 season and the 1899 San Ciriaco hurricane's previous world record of 28 days in the 1899 Atlantic season. John was also the farthest-traveling tropical cyclone in both Pacific Ocean and worldwide, with distance traveled of 7,165 miles, out-distancing previous record holders Hurricane Fico in the Pacific of 4,700 miles in the 1978 season and Hurricane Faith worldwide of 6,850 miles in the 1966 Atlantic season.

Highs:

JFK: 77
EWR: 76
ACY: 76
BLM: 75
PHL: 75
LGA: 75
New Brnswck: 75
ISP: 74
TTN: 73
NYC: 73

17 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

^^ I think it's a cold pool aloft.  Yes.

ULL swinging through just north of NJ. 

Lows today so far coolest since June 1st 

LGA: 59
JFK: 58
EWR:  57
NYC: 57

52 overnight.  62 / 40 now and a gorgeous day as we enter day 2 of this 3 day cool period.   Warming each of the subsequent 3 days Thu - Sat with the warmer spots potentially touching 90 by Sun.  Both GFS and Euro have the trough undercutting the ridge Mon - Wd next week which keeps some onshore flow and clouds and heat west before it comes east by next Thu.  Beyond there warmer overall with heat coming in 1-3 day spurts through Labor day. 

8/21 - 8/22 : Cool
8/23 - 8/25:  warming to above normal
8/26 - 8/28 : nearn normal , heat just west onshore flow from cut off
8/29 - 8/31 : Heat comes east
Beyond : Overall warmer look, heat remaining out wets could come in brief expansion   Ridge west, ridging into E-CA

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eus/02/GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

11PM

EWR: 64
NYC: 65
LGA: 65

Records:

Highs:


EWR: 97 (1983)
NYC: 97 (1955)
LGA: 98 (1955)
JFK: 100 (1983)



Lows:

EWR: 52 (1949)
NYC: 55 (1949)
LGA: 58 (1949)
JFK: 55 (1949)

Historical:

1886 - The 1886 Indianola Hurricane destroyed the town of Indianola, Texas and as such had a significant impact on the history and economic development of Texas. The storm ended the rivalry between Galveston and Indianola as the chief port of Texas. With the abandonment of Indianola and the unwillingness of the former residents to rebuild close to shore, Galveston became the essential Texan port until the 1900 Galveston Hurricane led to the rise of Houston as a major port. It was the fifth hurricane of the 1886 Atlantic hurricane season and one of the most intense hurricanes ever to hit the United States.

1910 - The big blow up of forest fires finally came to an end in Idaho. A record dry August fueled 1736 fires which burned three million acres destroying six billion board feet of timber. The fires claimed the lives of 85 persons, 78 of which were fire fighters, and consumed the entire town of Wallace. The smoke spread a third of the way around the world producing some dark days in the U.S. and Canada. The forest fires prompted federal fire protection laws. (David Ludlum)

1928 - A tornado estimated at F4 intensity initially touched down in Winnebago County, Iowa, moved to Freeborn County, Minnesota, and hit the south side of Austin, MN. Five of the six deaths were in Austin with 60 injuries.

1987 - Half a dozen cities in the Central Plains Region reported record high temperatures for the date, including Pueblo CO with a reading of 102 degrees, and Goodland KS with a high of 104 degrees. Hill City KS reached 106 degrees. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Sheridan, WY, reported a record hot temperature reading of 100 degrees. Evening thunderstorms produced golf ball size hail near Fortuna ND, and wind gusts to 70 mph near Webster SD. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Early morning thunderstorms produced heavy rain in southeast Kansas and northeastern Oklahoma, with up to six inches reported around Tulsa OK. Some roads in the Tulsa area were closed by water 10 to 12 feet deep. Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in northern Oklahoma and southern Kansas. Thunderstorms produced winds gusts to 75 mph in Major County OK, and hail two inches in diameter at Jennings KS. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

61 / 49  60 hour cool period and coolest since May 19/20th as cut off low swings north and east Tue - Thu.  Warmer by Thu and the warmer areas should get back above 80.  Much warmer Fri - Sun with next shot at some heat 90s.  GFS cuts off trough under the ridge building north Mon (8/26) while the Euro keeps the cut off off shore.  GFS would be a cooler and perhaps wetter Mon - Wed and the Euro would continue and push heat into the area.  Beyond there a warmer look overall with main heat west coming eat in pushes.

https://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/img/vis_nj_anim.gif

Records:

Highs:

EWR:  96 (2002)
NYC: 94 (2002)
LGA: 94 (1966)
JFK: 90 (2009)


Lows:

EWR: 54 (1958)
NYC:  55 (1924)
LGA: 59 (1979)
JFK: 53 (1963)

Historical:
 

1788 - A small but powerful hurricane inflicted great havoc upon forests along a narrow track from New Jersey to Maine. A similar storm track today would cause extreme disaster in the now populated area. (David Ludlum)

1890 - An estimated F3 tornado hit South Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania. About 400 buildings were destroyed in the industrial and more impoverished residential section of town. The death toll was 16 and damage was estimated at $400,000.

1896: The famous Cottage City (Oak Bluffs) waterspout occurred off Martha's Vineyard, Massachusetts. The vortex was 3,600 feet high, formed three times, and was well photographed.

1969 - 'Never say die' Camille let loose a cloudburst in Virginia resulting in flash floods and landslides which killed 151 persons and cause 140 million dollars damage. Massies Hill VA received 27 inches of rain. (David Ludlum)

1986 - The temperature at San Antonio, TX, soared to an all-time record high of 108 degrees. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)

1987 - Thunderstorms moving out of southeastern Nebraska spread severe weather into eastern Kansas and western Missouri during the day. Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced hail three inches in diameter at Albion, and high winds which downed a large tent at Waterloo injuring a dozen persons. Thunderstorms in Kansas produced baseball size hail northwest of Topeka, and wind gusts to 80 mph at Fulton. Ten persons were injured in a thunderstorm at Princeton KS, and damage to crops in southern Franklin County KS was estimated at 3.5 million dollars. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Raleigh, NC, reported a record hot temperature reading of 103 degrees. Afternoon thunderstorms in Oklahoma produced wind gusts to 75 mph in southern Pittsburgh County. Thunderstorms in Indiana produced 4.50 inches of rain at Morgantown. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Early morning thunderstorms deluged southeastern Delaware with six to ten inches of rain in four to six hours, with local reports of 13 to 20 inches of rain. Twenty-six major roads were closed or damaged, and fourteen bridges were washed out. Flooding caused nearly four million dollars damage to local businesses. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

Highs:
 

ACY: 88
EWR: 87
JFK: 86
PHL: 86
BLM: 86
LGA: 86
TEB: 85
New Brnswck: 85
TTN: 85
ISP: 83
NYC: 82

 

72/70 cloudy.  Another humid day, shower/storms and warm mid 80s.  Tue - Thu cooler (coolest since late May/early June).    Ridge building east by the end of the week and this weekend.  SOme onshore / weakness off the NE will keep brunt of the heat west again with strong (potential record) heat going north and staying wets of the region.   Flow does come around and should get some to late season heatwave especially west of the city.  Overall looking warmer to close the month.

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eus/02/GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 97 (2002)
NYC: 94 (2002)
LGA: 95 (2002)
JFK: 93 (1955)


Lows:

EWR: 52 (1941)
NYC: 55 (1915)
LGA: 59 (1941)
JFK: 58 (1963)

Historical:

1925 - During the late morning hours a severe hailstorm struck southeastern Iowa completely destroying crops along a path six to ten miles wide and 75 miles long. The hail also injured and killed poultry and livestock, and caused a total of 2.5 million dollars damage. The hailstorm flattened fields of corn to such an extent that many had to leave their farms in search of other work. It was one of the worst hailstorms of record for the nation. (The Weather Channel)

1983 - Hurricane Alicia ravaged southeastern Texas. The hurricane caused more than three billion dollars property damage, making it one of the costliest hurricanes in the history of the U.S. Just thirteen persons were killed, but 1800 others were injured. The hurricane packed winds to 130 mph as it crossed Galveston Island, and spawned twenty-two tornadoes in less than 24 hours as it made landfall. (The Weather Channel) (Storm Data)

1987 - Thirteen cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Orlando FL with a reading of 98 degrees, and Portland ME with a high of 94 degrees. Newark NJ reached 90 degrees for the thirty-sixth time of the year, their second highest total of record. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Twenty-two cities, from the Carolinas to the Upper Ohio Valley, reported record high temperatures for the date, pushing the total number of daily record highs since the first of June above the 1100 mark. Afternoon highs of 102 degrees at Greensboro NC and 105 degrees at Raleigh NC equalled all-time records. Evening thunderstorms in Montana produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Scobey. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thunderstorms over the Middle Atlantic Coast Region and the Upper Ohio Valley produced torrential rains in eastern Virginia during the late morning and afternoon hours. Totals ranged up to twelve inches at Yorktown. Williamsburg VA was deluged with 10.78 inches of rain between 6 AM and 10 AM, with 6.72 inches reported in just two hours. Flash flooding caused nearly twelve million dollars damage in Accomack County VA. Early evening thunderstorms in the Central High Plains Region produced walnut size hail and wind gusts to 80 mph around Casper WY. Thunderstorms produced locally heavy rains in the Yellowstone Park area, causing fifteen mudslides. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

Highs:

 

New Brnswck: 88
TEB: 87
EWR: 86
TTN: 86
PHL: 86
ACY: 84
LGA: 83
BLM: 82
JFK: 81
NYC: 81
ISP: 77

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

Hints that cutoff sticks around longer than progged. 

Not as convinced in the big heat

Agree / seasonal trend keep the strongest heat west, but think we get west/SW flow for a few days.  Another spike in the ridge around labor day.  This week -5 or more departure Tue - Thu - coolest daily dep since May.

Breaks in the clouds into NJ

Some weakness/trouging off the NE coast keeps the core of the heat at bay, but heat pushing east 8/24 - last week of the month and perhaps next spike with ridge Labor day.  Looks like max in mid 90s at this stage with strongest heat west and north.  Should be enough to get a late season heatwave for many.

72 / 69 0.39 in the bucket overnight and yesterday.   Cloudy and humid with scattered storms and showers today.   Some breaks and sunshine and warmer Mon (8/19) with more showers and storms chances as trough cuts off and rotates over northern new england, low to mid 80s.  Tue - Thu cooler with cut off trough 70s for the most part.  Warmer progression by Fri (8/23) as ridge builds east and western heat expands east.  Core of heat goes up and over but hotter final week of the month,  overall. 

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 97 (2015)
NYC: 95 (2015)
LGA: 94 (1944)
JFK: 94 (1978)


Lows:

EWR: 55 (1979)
NYC: 56 (1979)
LGA: 58 (1979)
JFK: 56 (1979)

Historical:

 

1899: Hurricane San Ciriaco set many records on its path. Killing nearly 3,500 people in Puerto Rico, it was the deadliest hurricane to hit the island and the strongest at the time, until 30 years later when the island was affected by the Hurricane San Felipe Segundo, a Category 5 hurricane, in 1928. It was also the tenth deadliest Atlantic hurricane ever recorded. San Ciriaco is also the longest lasting Atlantic hurricane in recorded history, continuing for 28 days. On August 17, the hurricane turned back to the northwest and made landfall near Hatteras, North Carolina on the following day. San Ciriaco remains the strongest hurricane to make landfall on the Outer Banks since 1899.

1915 - A hurricane hit Galveston, TX, with wind gusts to 120 mph and a twelve foot storm surge. The storm claimed 275 lives, including forty-two on Galveston Island, with most deaths due to drowning. Of 250 homes built outside the seawall (which was constructed after the catastrophic hurricane of 1900), just ten percent were left standing. (The Weather Channel)

1946 - An estimated F-4 tornado killed 11 people and injured 100 others in the Mankato, Minnesota area around 6:52 PM. The deaths and most of the injuries occurred in the complete destruction of the 26 cabins at the Green Gables tourist camp, 3 miles southwest of Mankato. A 27-ton road grader was reportedly hurled about 100 feet. Another tornado an hour later destroys downtown Wells, Minnesota.

1969: The music festival, known as Woodstock, should have ended on this day. Jimi Hendrix, the last act to perform, was delayed due to rain on Sunday evening. Jimi Hendrix took the stage at 8:30 am Monday morning.

1969 - Camille, the second worst hurricane in U.S. history, smashed into the Mississippi coast. Winds gusted to 172 mph at Main Pass Block LA, and to 190 mph near Bay Saint Louis MS. The hurricane claimed 256 lives, and caused 1.3 billion dollars damage. Several ocean going ships were carried over seven miles inland by the hurricane. The hurricane produced winds to 200 mph, and a storm surge of 24.6 feet. Complete destruction occurred in some coastal areas near the eye of the hurricane. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Northern and Central Plains Region. One thunderstorm spawned a tornado near Fairbury NE, along with baseball size hail and wind gusts to 100 mph, causing severe crop damage west of town. Ten cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Syracuse NY hit 97 degrees for the first time in twenty-two years. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Fifty-five cities, from the Middle Mississippi Valley to the Middle Atlantic Coast Region, reported record high temperatures for the date. Beckley WV reported an all-time record high of 96 degrees, and Baltimore MD hit 104 degrees, marking their thirteenth day of the year with 100 degree heat. Chicago IL equalled a record with 46 days of 90 degree weather for the year. Thunderstorms produced severe weather from Wisconsin to New Jersey. Thunderstorms in New Jersey produced high winds which gusted to 92 mph at Wrightstown, and blew down a circus tent at Lavallette injuring fourteen persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Morning thunderstorms produced three to six inch rains in Oklahoma, and the Arkalatex area of Arkansas, Texas and Louisiana. Tom OK was soaked with 5.98 inches of rain, and Foreman AR received 5.55 inches. Evening thunderstorms produced high winds in the Wasatch Front of northern Utah. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 66 mph at Salt Lake City, and flash flooding caused up to two million dollars damage to a marina on Lake Powell. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

Highs:

EWR: 82
TEB: 82
LGA: 81
BLM: 80
JFK: 80
New Brnswck: 80
ACY: 79
NYC: 79
PHL: 79
ISP: 77
TTN: 75