77/73 as clouds have moved in from the SE to NW. Rain to about Barnegat Lt House and moving north quickly. Widespread 2 - 4 inches of rain from the cut off ULL that became Fay. Well modeled on the Euro from last week. Once we clear fay humid and steamy weekend and if enough sun more 90s and fuel for some storms sat and sun. Mon - Tue we clear out the trough but still in a very warm airmass. By 7/15 a very strong ridge will anchor into the Mid West and push heights and heat into the northeast. First push of heat peaks with upper 90s and some century mark r Thu - Sat (7/16 - 7/18) ahead of a front by next Sun (7/19). Ridge looks to rebuild ad Western Atlantic Ridge builds west again in the 7/20 - 7/24 (way out there) period. ECM and GFS have 850 temps >16 through 7/20, before brief cool down to 12c - 14c air, followed by high heat 7/21 and beyond the long range forecast. Believe EWR, LGA, PHL, JFK will approach and perhaps exceed 100 a few times in the overall period, recent rains may hinder the park and other areas. Flow looks solidly W / SW but still need to watch fairly consistent storms. Night time lows could rack up some upper 70s and 80 degree minimums. Have to see if we evolve for like 2013 / 2017 where heat fizzled by the second week of August or we follow more 2016/ 2012 where August continues hot.