SACRUS
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83 / 53 what a gorgeous day,
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Storm timing on models cruel for 4th of Jul fireworks but suspect its more isolated/scattered (N+W)
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Nudge that west and the focus of the rain would favor PA/HV also a cut off low meandering offshore a few days.
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Storms firing - brunt of storms chances Fri - Sat , then again Tue As BW pointed out Florida style heat/humidity and popup soakers
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76 / 63 partly cloudy. Warmer regime moving in with higher humidity creeping up. Mid / upper 80s in the warmer spots ad the ridge expands northeast. Overall warm / hot and humid with rain storms chances the next 7 - 10 days with a ridge into the SW - trough into the MW / and the Western Atlantic Ridge nosing higher heights along the east coast with a humid tropical flow. 7/3 - 7/11 : Warm-hot (at times) humid and rain / storm chances 7/12 and beyond : western / rockies ridge ejects pieces of stonger heat east.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 102 (1966) NYC: 100 (1966) LGA: 101 (1966) JFK: 101 (1966) Lows: EWR: 56 (2001) NYC: 56 (2001) LGA: 58 (2001) JFK: 56 (2001) Historical: 1833 - An unusually large New England tornado, one half to three quarters of a mile wide, went from Salem Pond to Norton Pond, VT, and then into Canada. It prostrated nearly everything in its path. (The Weather Channel) 1833: The following is from the "History and Description of New England" published in 1860: "On the 2nd of July, 1833, this town (Holland, Vermont) was visited by a violent tornado, which commenced on Salem Pond in Salem, and passed over this place in a northeasterly direction. It was from half to three-quarters of a mile wide and prostrated and scattered nearly all the trees, fences, and buildings in its course. It crossed the outlet of Norton Pond and passed into Canada, and its path could be traced through the forests nearly to Connecticut River." 1843 - An alligator reportedly fell from the sky onto Anson Street in Charleston, SC, during a thunderstorm. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Thunderstorms in Colorado produced hail as large as golf balls northwest of Kiowa, which accumulated to a depth of twelve inches. Hail two and a half inches in diameter was reported at Black Forest. Hail damaged 900 acres of crops south of the town of Wiggins. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Twenty-six cities in the eastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. The morning low of 47 degrees at Roanoke, VA, broke the July record set the previous day. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the south central U.S., with 158 reports of large hail and damaging winds through the day. Evening thunderstorms in northeastern Texas produced softball size hail which caused more than five million dollars damage at Allen, and wind gusts to 90 mph at Dallas, which injured eight persons and caused seven million dollars damage. Winnfield LA reported 29.52 inches of rain in six days, for a total of 62.50 inches for the first six months of the year. Midland, TX, reported an all-time record high of 112 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 2001: In Michigan, frost and freezing temperatures were observed in some locations with Grant dropping to 29 degrees. Muskegon reported their coldest July temperature on record with 39 degrees. Other daily record lows included: Lansing: 38, Muskegon: 39, Flint: 40, Youngstown, Ohio: 40, and Grand Rapids, Michigan: 43 degrees.
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Highs: NYC: 86 PHL: 86 New Brnswck: 85 PHL: 85 EWR: 85 TEB: 84 LGA: 83 ACY: 83 ISP: 82 JFK: 82 BLM: 81
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July 4th the past 30 years (highs)
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Partly cloudy and warm upper 80s to 90s, by the evening a piece of energy is triggering storms to the west and north, perhaps some scttered / isolated showers into the evening - not ideal but looks overall 85%- 90% like a great fourth. Good luck and enjoy.
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Sharp contrast between the 23 / 24 Junes. Keep the SI stats coming - perhaps a happy median from the NYC / EWR readings.
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Ridge west/ trugh MW, ridging into the east coast. Warm/humid with more chances for rain/ wetter
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74 / 54 sunny and another gem on tap. Low - Mid 80s, warmer spits to the upper 80s. A bit warmer tomorrow s ridge builds in mid / upper 80s, perhaps a stray 90 in the warmer spots. $th of July mainly dry but some scattered storms later in the evening. Ridge west, trough into the MW, and Western Atlantic Ridge keeping heights elevated along the East coast with a humid southerly/SW flow. Overall warm - hot with chances for storms and increased rainfall. Cut off low under the Atlantics ridge meander offshore. Hotter day Sun (7/7). Clouds will limit heat when storms fire but chances of near/low 90s in the period. 7/1 - 7/3 : Dry, warm near normal 7/4 - 7/11: Warm - hot, humid - storms almost daily 7/12 - beyond : Overall warm, could see piece of western heat eject east
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Records: Highs: EWR: 100 (1963) NYC: 100 (1901) LGA: 97 (2018) JFK: 102 (1963) Lows: EWR: 52 (1943) NYC: 52 (1943) LGA: 56 (1988) JFK: 56 (1988) Historical: 1792 - A tremendous storm (a tornado or hurricane) hit Philadelphia and New York City. Many young people were drowned while out boating on that Sunday. (David Ludlum) 1911 - The high of just 79 degrees at Phoenix AZ was their coolest daily maximum of record for the month of July. The normal daily high for July 1st is 105 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1979 - It snowed almost half a foot (5.8 inches) at Stampede Pass WA, a July record. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Lake Charles LA was drenched with a month's worth of rain during the early morning. More than five inches of rain soaked the city, including 2.68 inches in one hour. A thunderstorm in the southern Yakima Valley of Washington State produced high winds which downed trees up to six feet in diameter. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Twenty-six cities in the north central and northeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Lows of 48 degrees at Providence RI, 48 degrees at Roanoke VA, 49 degrees at Stratford CT, and 48 degrees at Wilmington, DE, were records for the month of July. Boston MA equalled their record for July with a low of 50 degrees. Five inches of snow whitened Mount Washington NH. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Showers and thunderstorms associated with the low pressure system which was once Tropical Storm Allison continued to drench parts of Mississippi, Louisiana and eastern Texas. Late night thunderstorms produced 12.58 inches of rain at Biloxi, MS, in six hours, and 10.73 inches at Gulfport MS. Flooding in Mississippi over the first six days of the month caused 55 million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2002: San Antonio, Texas recorded 9.52 inches of rain on this day to set a new record for its greatest rainfall for the entire month of July.
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Highs: EWR: 84 ACY: 84 New Brnswck: 82 JFK: 82 PHL: 82 BLM: 81 ISP: 81 NYC: 81 TTN: 81 TEB: 80 LGA: 79
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Think the 10th was a 0 departure they may lump in as a (-) I have 4 (missed the -1 on the 12th.)
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Only 3 below average daily avg at EWR in June, the rest at or above normal
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Great stats, Don thanks for sharing. 8 90 degree days?
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Monthly rain: EWR: 1.75 EWR: 1.71 LFA: 1.67 TTN: 1.44 JFK: 2.95
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Thnks, Don - Can you post your top 5 June ?
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Jun Dep: EWR: 77.5 / +4.7 LGA: 76.1 / + 2.7 NYC: 75 / +2.9 JFK: 73.8 / +3.5
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Current progression of 7 days - believe those increase with storms over the weekend. MW continues the soaking.
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71/ 56 and sunny. Great stretch of weather the next 72 hours, low to mid 80s, mostly sunny / partly cloudy and low humidity. Ridge builds back in by Wed - warming up. Fourth looks mainly dry and scattered storms later - think its more isolated/ Could be cloudy, otherwise near/ low 90s. Ridging along the east coast keeps a more warm-hot / humid flow from Fri (7/5) into the coming extended weekend and next week - When its not cloudy, it heats up quickly, but chances for rain . 18 - >20C by Fri and the weekend would make 90s easy with sunshine Later next week more humid southerly flow keeps it overall warm but continued storms chances. 7/1 - 7/3 : Dry and gorgeous stretch 7/4 - 7/8 : Hot, Humid - storms chances - when sunny heats up quick (potential heatwave) 7/0 - beyond : Overall warm - humid and rain chances - tropics could enhance mid month
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Rainfall here 1.54 New Brnswck: 1.62 JFK: 0.54 EWR: 0.40 NYC: 0.18 LGA: 0.12
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Records: Highs: EWR: 103 (2021) NYC: 99 (1964) LGA: 100 (2021) JFK: 99 (1964) Lows: EWR: 55 (1940) NYC: 53 (1919) LGA: 57 (1996) JFK: 56 (1988) Historical: 1886 - The second destructive hurricane in nine days hit the Apalachicola-Tallahassee area. (David Ludlum) 1900: The combination of high winds and the presence of wooded fuel-filled cargo helped to spread fire on the Hoboken Docks in New Jersey. The fire began when cotton bales caught fire and spread to nearby volatile liquids. The fire killed at least 300 people and was seen in New York City. 1942 - The temperature at Portland, OR, hit 102 degrees, an all-time record for that location. (The Weather Channel) 1972 - The entire state of Pennsylvania was declared a disaster area as a result of the catastrophic flooding caused by Hurricane Agnes, which claimed 48 lives, and caused 2.1 billion dollars damage. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Hot weather prevailed in the Pacific Northwest, with readings above 100 degrees reported as far north as southern British Columbia. Yakima, WA, reported a record high of 100 degrees, while temperatures near the Washington coast hovered near 60 degrees all day. Thunderstorms prevailed from southwest Texas to New England. Thunderstorm winds gusting to 100 mph at Gettysburg, PA, killed one person. High winds and large hail caused more than five million dollars damage to property and crops in Lancaster County, PA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms in eastern Kansas drenched Worden with 12.21 inches of rain, and a wall of water two to four feet deep swept through Lone Star, KS, flooding every home in the town. Up to ten inches of rain was reported southeast of Callaway, NE. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 75 mph at Winfield, KS. Seventeen cities in the north central and northeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Duluth, MN, with a reading of 36 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Winnfield, LA, reported 22.52 inches of rain in three days, and more than thirty inches for the month, a record for June. Shreveport LA received a record 17.11 inches in June, with a total for the first six months of the year of 45.55 inches. Thunderstorms also helped produce record rainfall totals for the month of June of 13.12 inches at Birmingham AL, 14.66 inches at Oklahoma City, OK, 17.41 inches at Tallahassee FL, 9.97 inches at Lynchburg, VA, and more than 10.25 inches at Pittsburgh, PA. Pittsburgh had also experienced a record wet month of May. (The National Weather Summary) 1999: Mount Baker, Washington closed out a record snowfall season both for the United States and the verifiable world record as the seasonal total from July 1, 1998, to June 30, 1999, finished with 1,140 inches.
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Highs: EWR: 91 PHL: 90 TTN: 88 TEB: 88 LGA: 88 (* erroneous reading of 100.9) New Brnswck: 87 ACY: 86 NYC: 85 BLM: 86 JFK: 83 ISP: 83
