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Everything posted by NorthShoreWx
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Nice. That'll have some staying power, even this early in the season. Total LE here from Sunday through Tuesday was 0.49". Temperatures weren't the only problem.
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February 1978 was one of relatively few forecasting successes on big northeast snowstorms prior to 1980. I was in HS and remember being wound up about that storm by the prior Friday. I had an indoor track meet in the Nassau Coliseum all day on Saturday 2/4 and brought a portable radio so I could keep track of what was going on. There are old case studies you can find about the successes in modeling that storm well in advance. I think the model was called LFM or something like that. It might even be a pre-historic ancestor of the GFS.
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1.5" here, all from Monday night. It snowed during the day also but not much and shut down quickly once when it was about starting to glaze over things. Only 0.15" LE after 9AM Monday, so ratios Monday evening were probably at least 12:1. Total LE for the entire event was only 0.49" going back to Sunday morning, so if it was a couple of weeks later and a little colder this still would have been a fairly minor event here.
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I'm on a SAR team. Surprised we didn't get called out for that. 1.5" in Smithtown. It snowed for a long time but mostly quite light.
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Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm
NorthShoreWx replied to Zelocita Weather's topic in New York City Metro
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Down to 32 with light to moderate snow. Smithtown NY
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Hardly wasted any here. Last time I checked, storm total LE was 0.34" Probably less than 0.1" (all non-accumulating snow) since then. That's going back to Sunday morning!
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Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm
NorthShoreWx replied to Zelocita Weather's topic in New York City Metro
NAM has SLP getting down to 966 east of Boston. -
Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm
NorthShoreWx replied to Zelocita Weather's topic in New York City Metro
I figured if it did anything, we were ready for snow, but we were dry for hours. It looks great out there now and we are starting to get a coating, but this band could easily pivot west of us fairly quickly...or die out while another one buries us in subsidence. Temp now 34. -
Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm
NorthShoreWx replied to Zelocita Weather's topic in New York City Metro
Boundary level. The temperatures near the surface / lowest level of the atmosphere. I forget how high that goes. Maybe 950mb, maybe not that high. -
Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm
NorthShoreWx replied to Zelocita Weather's topic in New York City Metro
Moderate snow here now. Looks pretty cool with the gusty winds, Not sure how long it lasts. Temp is 35 -
Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm
NorthShoreWx replied to Zelocita Weather's topic in New York City Metro
35.7 -
Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm
NorthShoreWx replied to Zelocita Weather's topic in New York City Metro
You're a little west of me. If that shower moving west holds together, you'll probably see snow too. -
Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm
NorthShoreWx replied to Zelocita Weather's topic in New York City Metro
Finally getting some precip and it is light wet snow. I can't swear there isn't an ice pellet, but I don.t see any. -
Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm
NorthShoreWx replied to Zelocita Weather's topic in New York City Metro
Watching an inch of snow fall in Scranton over 30 hours has been endlessly fascinating. -
35 here now. Alternating between dry and very dry. If we get some precip in here, I think we are ready to snow along the north shore.
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Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm
NorthShoreWx replied to Zelocita Weather's topic in New York City Metro
I had to read that twice. For a moment I thought this was the NE forum. -
The Nam forecast soundings I looked at last night and this morning were all over this. Showed a warm nose this morning with the mid levels cooling to an isothermal sounding for a couple of hours resulting a a turn to snow right around when it did and mixing back before 3pm (right on schedule there's more sleet than snow here now). I was actually having my doubts about a flip to snow after 12 noon, but the model had it right. Back down to 32 here with a sleet/snow mix. Everything is covered, including the street.
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2PM Smithtown Moderate Snow, 33F. Coating on the non paved surfaces as well as the colder paved surfaces.
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Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm
NorthShoreWx replied to Zelocita Weather's topic in New York City Metro
Light snow continues in north Smithtown. We have a light coating on some of the colder surfaces (i.e., bare dirt in planting beds, etc). -
Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm
NorthShoreWx replied to Zelocita Weather's topic in New York City Metro
Light snow in Smithtown as of 1:10PM. 34F Had light rain / sleet earlier -
Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm
NorthShoreWx replied to Zelocita Weather's topic in New York City Metro
Shirley is farther north than Hempstead. The difference isn't great but neither are the snowfall differences across one line on that map. As for the "warm tongue" I usually attribute that to differences in how the models resolve land vs water. Even the high res models aren't perfect. -
November 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NorthShoreWx replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
The primary low is dishing it out in the upper midwest. and ... DLH has "plow cams": https://www.weather.gov/dlh/weatherstory -
Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm
NorthShoreWx replied to Zelocita Weather's topic in New York City Metro
My friend's poodle does that ... and it's fat!