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Everything posted by michsnowfreak
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Spring 2024 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Im not sure, its not as easy for me to find Canadian data as US data lol. -
Cfs will literally change 100+ times before then.
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Average last freeze is: 150-year avg: April 24th 1991-2020 avg: April 21st Dont have an exact stat on last frost, but if you go by frost with temp of 37F or lower, then the avg last frost is: 150-year avg: May 10th 1991-2020 avg: May 7th Detroit finished 18th least snowy since 1880 with 23.5" (for reference, you are using the mid 1930s, this would be the 15th least since 1935). Definitely a winter to forget, but cant say we werent due for an unusually low snow year. It happens.
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From the 20s and dry air to 80 and humid in 3 days.
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Timing is important. Record lows the first 2/3 of April are generally in the teens, then they jump to the mid to upper 20s the last 3rd of April. This year trees are about 10 days ahead of normal so last nights conditions (temps 20s, dews upper teens to low 20s) can really harm fruit trees. Its not so much an issue with potted plants because nobody should have planted anything yet. Though we did not have anything to show other than a trace on the 21st this year, frequency of post-April 15th snow has been at an all time high the last ~15 years.
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What does showing the coldest Aprils on record (1874 over 10F colder than avg) have to do with noting the unusual nature of this mornings cold? The record low was missed by 2F and again, as pointed out, the dewpoints were unusually low. Im well aware of the planting guidelines (they say Mothers Day, not Memorial Day) but theres little you can do with trees established in the ground. This marks the 5th consecutive year that the last freeze was later than avg 2024 (Apr 25) 2023 (Apr 26) 2022 (Apr 29) 2021 (May 1) 2022 (May 13) *only May 10, 1966 saw a colder temp so late in the season than the 27F on May 9, 2020).
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I covered my apple trees. Not an easy feat lol. If it happens next spring I may just run the sprinkler. DTW got down to 28F, missing the record low (26- 1892) by 2F. White Lake got to 23F. What was unusual about this is that most late spring frosts/freezes have dews near the temp, but we saw temps in the 28-29F range while dews were 20-22F. Very unusual, albeit brief, for late April.
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I just stayed home for the eclipse. 99.6% totality imby. It was really neat to watch. Totality would have been awesome, but still, no regrets, and i dealt with no traffic into Ohio lol.
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Yeah, that's definitely futility. This season, Detroit ranks 18th least since 1880.
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Off and on snow showers today, Detroit Tigers Opening day. It honestly seems like it snows every other year on opening day.
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Where does this season rank in Torontos entire period of record?
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Had a heavy grauple and sleet shower this afternoon that whitened the ground briefly, 0.1", however, it melted quickly. Popcorn showers dotted the area today
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4/2-4/3 Significant Late-Season Snowstorm (WI/MI)
michsnowfreak replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
What was your deepest snow this season? -
4/2-4/3 Significant Late-Season Snowstorm (WI/MI)
michsnowfreak replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Beautiful. The storm sure was a dud outside of the higher elevations/huron mountains (and even there, much lower than forecast). -
4/2-4/3 Significant Late-Season Snowstorm (WI/MI)
michsnowfreak replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Jan 12, 2024 DTW 1.04" precip, 4.6" snow, temps 33-34 White Lake NWS 0.70" precip, 7.5" snow, temps 31-32 -
4/2-4/3 Significant Late-Season Snowstorm (WI/MI)
michsnowfreak replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
What's your seasonal total this year and your annual average? -
4/2-4/3 Significant Late-Season Snowstorm (WI/MI)
michsnowfreak replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Definitely frustrating to see the models so off on placement for so many days, but the sting is definitely less in spring. -
After a cold winter of 1944-45, the inferno was on in March. The original Morch if you will. Oftentimes following a cold winter, spring vegetation is late, but the green up was record early in 1945 and freezes in April and May pretty much destroyed most fruit crops in the midwest that year.
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Spring 2024 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to IWXwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It doesnt matter if its cold or warm or anything in between. Its all about skycover that day. -
March 2024 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to HillsdaleMIWeather's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
On January 12th, DTW saw 1.04" precip and 4.6" snow, and that was all snow except the last 0.04". It's like walking through mashed potatoes. -
50 Year Anniversary of the Super Outbreak
michsnowfreak replied to HillsdaleMIWeather's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Where is that photo from? Its incredible! -
March 2024 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to HillsdaleMIWeather's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Its a ridiculous description to begin with. When has Mansfield EVER had continuous snowcover Dec-Mar? It has nothing to do with "anymore". Their decade with the most Dec-Mar snowcover days (1"+) was the 1970s, which averaged 51 days out of a possible 121. Thats less than half. The 2000s & 2010s were steady with snowcover, seeing more than the 1980s-90s, on par with the 1960s, and more than the 1950s (data gets sketchy before 1949). Two winters is not ground zero for a change in climate. You seem to be fascinated with Toledo snow stats lately too. So I decided to look up some stats myself. Toledos snowiest winters (since 1886) #1 is 86.3" is 2013-14, breaking the previous record by 13.2". 7 of the top 20 snowiest have come since 2003. 2 of the top 20 least snowy have come since 2003 (the last 2 winters) Winters with the highest snow depth (since 1893) 03.) 2020-21 (18") 06.) 2014-15 (15") 07.) 2000-01 (14") 09.) 2013-14 (13") 13.) 2008-09 (12") 2009-10 (12") 2010-11 (12") So in 132 years of record, 6 of the top 15 peak snow depth winters have come since 2009. -
March 2024 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to HillsdaleMIWeather's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Just the usual standard model clown maps making a real good storm into an epic one lol. There were a few ensemble runs where every ensemble mean had 30"+ at aberdeen -
March 2024 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to HillsdaleMIWeather's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Crazy. Cant talk futility until April in the upper Midwest, and March in the rest of the midwest IMO. Certainly doesnt make up for a shitty winter, but the snow blitz of March 21-26 has plummeted Minneapolis from 2nd least snowy winter to 24th least snowy, and Im sure the ranking will be even lower. At Detroit, 12.7" of the seasons 23.5" fell in a 9-day stretch Jan 11-19, but thanks to that, as Ive mentioned, we are just at 18th least snowy, and easily could fall out of the top 20 with a small April snowfall.