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michsnowfreak

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Everything posted by michsnowfreak

  1. michsnowfreak
    Weeklies below avg every week here. SE ridge definitely appears to have been overdone.
  2. michsnowfreak
    Lol 5 days ago this was a raging SE ridge
  3. michsnowfreak
    Please also include eastern lower MI on those maps
  4. michsnowfreak
    Blizzard ongoing in the western U.P. of MI. Between a synoptic dump and lake effect The western UP will easily see 2-3+ feet of snow. Jealous is an understatement. Snow squalls will hit the entire state of MI, with accumulations ranging from a dusting to 18" depending on location. Winds gusting 45-55mph. Lake snow warnings also up in upstate NY. The gales of November are roaring and winter has arrived. Coming to New England shortly.
  5. michsnowfreak
    It's probably gonna be amazing scenery in the western UP. Heavy wet snow clinging to everything then it freezes up then fluffy drifty lake snow. 2-3 feet possible near Ironwood. Always not fair when a lake belt gets slammed with synoptic snow first. So jealous!
  6. michsnowfreak
    The orientation of temp departures this November is absolutely nothing like the top 3 warmest novembers. DTW finished in the top 20 warmest in the top 3 warmest conus Novembers, and will finish this November colder than avg.
  7. michsnowfreak
    Thank you Don. I knew todays run was colder, which is why I said that to spartman. You don't ever look at the cfs weeklies (or any weeklies) and speak in absolutes. They change all the time.
  8. michsnowfreak
    Now post todays.
  9. michsnowfreak
    There was talk of underestimating the SER. If trends continue it was grossly overestimated.
  10. michsnowfreak
    Figured I'd start the thread. While the Winter Solstice is still 4 weeks away, met winter starts in a week. Its been quiet since many of us saw out first snow and taste of winter November 9-10, but now wintry potential is showing up in multiple extended forecasts. So it's time!
  11. michsnowfreak
    Nearly all of that 2000 snow fell on December 30 though. For the record @MJO812 im certainly not saying it doesn't snow in NYC in nina decembers. Just that it's snowier than normal further north. NYC can often be on a gradient line. Plus add in the fact that those northern places already average more to begin with, and you can come up with quite a contrast by months end.
  12. michsnowfreak
    Who wants to start the Winter medium/long range thread?
  13. michsnowfreak
    Good snowfall pattern stretching from the upper midwest and Great Lakes into new England, with poorer snow chances in the midatlantic and points south is, again, classic Nina December.
  14. michsnowfreak
    The last week of November actually got colder on the weeklies. And has for several days. Though I know youre concentrating on December. I know the Mid-Atlantic may not like it but those weeklies with the cold to the Nw and warmth to the SE would be a great storm track for the Great Lakes.
  15. michsnowfreak
    People post from different regions so different effects are expected. Plus the select group of posters who always/only look for warm will be looking and scouring social media for whatever they need to to mitigate any cold. But overall appears that in typical nina fashion, the already cold north will have colder anomalies and the already warm south warmer ones. In other words big temp gradients, at least at times.
  16. michsnowfreak
    Im sure he was referring to his location. I see no warmth at all in MI in the means. Doesn't mean there won't be a mild day or two.
  17. michsnowfreak
    I posted something similar a while ago, but was able to update it with the newest Fall pic. Looking into my backyard. Always feel lucky to have 4 seasons, and it's really neat to see it in a picture form. I didnt have a good spring Pic, had to use one from last May, but now I think I want to do a comparison shot every year.
  18. michsnowfreak
    This map is a great one to show why snowlovers in the Great Lakes always prefer nina over nina.
  19. michsnowfreak
    Agree to the bolded 100%
  20. michsnowfreak
    Not sure if it matters but those were 500mb temps, not surface temps. That said, November 1950 saw an incredible shift in temps. At Detroit, November 1st saw the all-time November high temp of 81°, to this day the only time 80 has been seen in November...then 7° on November 24th.
  21. michsnowfreak
    Warm for who, Florida?
  22. michsnowfreak
    Funny thing is 2016-17 had a very good December. It was the rest of the winter that was mild.
  23. michsnowfreak
    In Michigan we get more winter than the east coast and we get it noticeably earlier. I would never be worried about a winter if I wasn't seeing lots of snow on models by the start of December. If anyone SERIOUSLY (and not trolling) is jumping off a ledge on the east coast in mid November...Just wow. Especially when so many have pointed out many good signs.
  24. michsnowfreak
    I know what youre saying. But honestly December looking pretty good. Haven't said that in years.
  25. michsnowfreak
    What was the approximate snowfall totals downtown/on the lakeshore? I know it had to be more than ORD.
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