Jump to content

michsnowfreak

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    18,414

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by michsnowfreak

  1. michsnowfreak
    See my above post- almost EXACTLY what I was trying to say! I have lots of trees in my yard, drive a fuel efficient vehicle, work from home, recycle...I do my part. And I frankly could not care less about a warming planet. I have 4 distinct seasons regardless of ENSO or anything else. This year I have had wind chills to -40F and heat index to 105F, air temp from -10F to 98F. Most years have a similar range. Much like the east coast with its noreasters, its fascinating to see how often and how many ways the Great Lakes influence weather. If ALL of that is overshadowed by "but we are warming 0.5F per decade"....well, tell me youre not a weather enthusiast without telling me.
  2. michsnowfreak
    I agree with that, especially forecasting-wise. But I was more referring to it in past tense. Everytime anyone brings up this past winter's cold, like clockwork, the post gets dissected by the same few discussing warmth in the west/CONUS/globe etc. It really seems that a few of the warmistas have that chip on their shoulder. You should be able to use the words cold/snow WITHOUT prefacing "yes i know the worlds getting warmer" every single time. I was a weather observer before I had the internet, and I knew my local climate data history before I know how to read a single model map. Ive always thought it was cool to look into trends of local weather, and living in a place with extreme seasons, it's neat to see subtle trends that dominated decades past and how theyve changed for the better or the worse. I dont care if last winter was an inferno in the entire world, I will remember what happened here, and here it was a cold, white winter. Glittery snow for months straight gets an A+ for scenery/feels, but there is zero doubt in mind that the cold pattern that dominated the region was PROHIBITIVE to heavier snowfall here. So yes, Im saying if I wanted more snow in last years pattern, I actually needed it warmer. And of course the same rings true for the opposite. If its a colder CONUS winter, it wont mean a damn to me if I get a mild winter.
  3. michsnowfreak
    Good post. 99% of weather enthusiasts dont care what the temp ranking was in the Conus or the world...they care what happened in their area. The combination of a cold winter in the east and a record warm winter in the west in '25-26 brought some posters to ignore their own weather and concentrate on places elsewhere to a level I've never seen in 24 years on weather forums.
  4. michsnowfreak
    Its absolutely gorgeous. The past 2 winters here were nearly all powder. Here's the thing...powder is my absolute favorite. Its beautiful and last winter seemingly every night the snow glistened like diamonds. But I realized that even though I was getting my favorite powder, I missed a good wet snow. The winter of 2022-23 was the last time we had lots of paste snow. Below are 3 different 2023 snowstorms.
  5. michsnowfreak
    There was lots of snow left in the mountains when I went to Alaska last month! The last flakes of the season at Detroit were May 2nd. So if we can squeeze out early flakes in October, there will only be 3 calendar months in 2026 I don't see snow of some kind.
  6. michsnowfreak
    Interesting to see a map of 1877-78. I knew the core of warmth was in the upper midwest, because while it was certainly a mild winter at Detroit, it wasnt nearly as extreme as in Minneapolis. Ive mentioned it before, but the 1875-1882 period had a very odd "every other year" pattern locally of very cold winter followed by very mild winter. 1875-76, 1877-78, 1879-80 & 1881-82 were all warm winters overall. I have no idea how ENSO played into it outside of 1877-78. 1877-78 at Detroit (using present-day departures): Nov: 39.2F (-2.0F)....Snow 1.0" (-0.9") Dec: 38.1F (+6.8F)....Snow 1.9" (-7.0") Jan: 27.3F (+1.5F)….Snow 23.1” (+9.1”) Feb: 29.2F (+1.2F)….Snow 17.4” (+4.9”) Mar: 41.3F (+4.1F)…Snow M (est 1-2")) Apr: 53.4F (+4.5F)…Snow 0 (-1.5”) Huge storm Jan 31st (14.8"). The winter followed a somewhat similar path as other strong Ninos in that there were some very good winter blasts but the warmth won out. And realistically, thats the best formula to run a strong Nino in the north. You want that roller coaster up and down, helps with some good storms and assures you get some arctic blasts with the warm spells. Way better than mundane, stagnant 40s every day.
  7. michsnowfreak
    I literally did not step foot outside today because I know it would give me a headache.
  8. michsnowfreak
    Air absolutely choked with smoke. The smell is shockingly intense.
  9. michsnowfreak
    Kind of funny that the record warm low for July 14 is warmer at Marquette (76) than it is for Detroit (74)
  10. michsnowfreak
    Much like the last heatwave, temp somewhat underperformed here. DTW hit 94, the NWS forecast was 99.
  11. michsnowfreak
    Is that your first time hitting 100? I haven't seen 100 since 2012. How warm did it get in your house?
  12. michsnowfreak
    Not sure of its legitimacy, but I saw 105F in Big Bay. The next highest yoop numbers were a few 102s as you mentioned.
  13. michsnowfreak
    Thats all good points. I feel like the excess moisture is a huge thing. The assumption that El Nino always means dry has been failing in recent years, especially with stronger Ninos. Really thinking we get some good wet paste storms this year.
  14. michsnowfreak
    I dont care if Nino peaks at 5.0...I really only care about the weather in my backyard. I mean, most weather weenies do. Any early thoughts for Michigan? Ive been thinking 2015-16 is a decent starting point but I've also been looking more into 1877-78.
  15. michsnowfreak
    When last winters cold was becoming imminent is when I first remember the bizarre slew of posts in different languages to say it wouldn't stay cold. When snowman cant find an English tweet to say warm is when winter lovers knew it was game on.
  16. michsnowfreak
    1997-98 had a cold November with multiple snowfalls. It was definitely a front loaded winter.
  17. michsnowfreak
    Its probably a good idea to invest in a window air conditioner. They aren't that expensive and even on days when it just hits 80 you can turn it on for a bit. I rarely ran my AC the last 3 weeks of June. I had it set to 80 when I was in Alaska and then when I got home I turned it off the next 2 weeks. Turned it back on ahead of the June 30-July 3 heatwave and havent had it off since.
  18. michsnowfreak
    Do you not have any AC?
  19. michsnowfreak
    If you looked at radar, you can see how the storms were retrograding in from Lake erie and moving at a snails pace. A much smaller and more short-lived one hit me yesterday and dropped 1.54" in 2 hours.
  20. michsnowfreak
    I get that this is super generalized, but "favorable" is vastly different depending on latitude. Do you mean deep winter? or merely seeing snow? The Great Lakes/New England absolutely get snow in unfavorable patterns. I give it about 80% chance that you or I see snow on more than 30% of days this winter. But if were talking more deep winter ala last year, thats when a 30/70 seems more realistic.
  21. michsnowfreak
    ohhh the irony.
  22. michsnowfreak
    During the past winter which was cold in the Great Lakes/Northeast and record warm in the southwest/west, we heard an unprecedented amount of discussion about the West & CONUS as a whole rather than the actual cold where most here live. It will be interesting to see if this continues this winter since average to cold anomalies are forecast in much of the south/central outside the north/northeast.
  23. michsnowfreak
    Retrograding downpours this evening. We got 1.54" rain the last 2 hours. Total for the day 2.32".
  24. michsnowfreak
    The cansips has been hellbent on cold. Im sure its too cold, but it has not changed much. Cfs changes all the time but it too has gotten colder. Nothing is screaming winter long torch.
  25. michsnowfreak
    Yup. It doesn't mean its not hot out (a shame we have to preface that everytime so certain people dont freak), its just recognizing climo. Since records began in 1874, Detroit has hit 100+ the following years: 1878 1887 1911 1918 1930 1931 1933 1934 1936 1939 1941 1946 1952 1953 1955 1977 1988 1995 2011 2012 Thats it. It was an incredible stretch from 1930-1955, when 11 of the 26 years hit 100+. Only 9 years of the remaining 127 years did so.
×
×
  • Create New...