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Everything posted by pasnownut
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
officially or just chatter. officially once in last 19yrs unofficially probably 100's. I like Tomlin, and wish him well. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I just tweaked my carb on mine this weekend. The BEAST is ready to eat....even little crumbs. Unfortunately you are rather similar to us SE'rs (piedmont region) w/ your typical winter weather. That said....we feel your pain. Lets hope things get going soon, and for us realists that sprinkle in some optimist for good flavor, later Jan/Feb was supposted to be the end of winter from some early calls, and if the look holds, it may just be the start of the real fun. For how long....dunno, but it has not been a shutout whatsoever, and I'm not complaining whatsoever........yet. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
no offense, but that's your personal take. Mine, not at all the same. I like winter and seeing snow....often. Even if nickels n dimes.....often. Like every other day....often peeps need to be reminded that ones perspective is often based on personal likes/dislikes, and thats just fine. But just cause you feel something and post about it...doesnt make it happen. I rarely post w/ my emotion (well in fun sure), but I think most know that I try to keep my personal feelings/wishes out of what I see or share, and try to use some amateur weenie knowledge into possibilities. We've had a not horrible pattern for weeks now, and yes, it feels wasted to us true snowhounds, but up north has been basically snowcovered since thanksgiving (with the exception of a few small periods/days). -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I dont really "like" what you state, but couldnt agree more. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
as soon as a good hit shows....you'll be back. Just like most of us. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
i do not follow him, but from the sounds of what some of you share, he sounds like he's got the ass of something. Also not sure that his reasoning is the only reasons that it "isnt happening". 50/50 just locks cold in. Verbatim, patter IS cold enough, but as I've suggested a few times over the last week, IMO its move of a split flow kinda thing that NS/SS aren't really synching up. I'm no met, but that's what it looks like to me. Still think we can keep an eye on some smaller stuff. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
lol. Now watch one of these synch up w/ SS and give us a nice event. Tell me without telling me that it cant happen? -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
couple nooners showing NS energy diving down into trough on Friday, and might be something to watch in future runs. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yep, nooner GFS looks like a glorified frontal passage w/ little pop. Enough still coming at us that something can sneak up on us. Nickels n dimes though. Better than 60 and sunny. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
a advisory event could still happen, but not sure much more down here. I'll still be glad to see it snow. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah, the wheels started wobblin last night and looks like NS/SS not playing well together (sounds like the Eagles as well). trough axis little too far east is not helping either. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
im liking the trough axis and see the 500 lp looking a little sharper/neg tilt. this delays the real deal a bit, but might be worth the wait moving forward (if this look continues to hold). gnight all. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
here you go. Fresh off the CTP press. Boy their distain for snow/cold is slightly obvious. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 1035 PM EST Sat Jan 10 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... * Added mention of SNSQs in the wx grids for 14-19Z Sun && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Snow accumulation /and possibly a few squalls/ expected across the western highlands Sunday. A few snow showers could even make it into eastern Pennsylvania Sunday afternoon. Wind picks up behind a broken line of snow showers/squalls. 2) Quieter wx for Mon-Tues. Warmer than normal for Tues-Wed. 3) Still a possibility for a low pressure area to develop later in the week over the Mid-Atlantic. But, many factors are in question. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
6pm Wednesday. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
well boys n girls how happy will the next hour(ish) be? we'll start off by adding the ICON to the thursday party. Mostly northers....but its now popped a SLP and norther 1/2 gets snow. Pops around somerset and traverses pa to Mt. Pocono. as we are almost approaching mid term w/ models it'd be nice to get them all to show something for thursday....or not. Headed out shortly w/ the mrs for some grub. Will check in later. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm just getting started. lol -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
?? Whats the 26th? -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
x2. Us snowhounds gotta stick together. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
your NWS comes outta CTP..... nuff said??? -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That is a nice step towards something. Now 2 majors are showing something and CMC looks like it something wants to pop, but just fizzes out Thur/Fri and waits for sunday to play. Icon is close miss for thursday as NS lags too far behind SS. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I wish your statement didnt have as much truth to it....but....it sure can goof em up. Some of the other majors are showing close misses, and in truth wouldnt take too much to get us into something. Even a couple advisory style events would make many of us happy, especially if we can string a few together in a short timeframe. Snow on snow is my top bar for my love of winter. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Noones taking anything serious...yet. Were just having some fun seeing the potential coming up. I know he's taken some pops on the chops for his posting of maps and peeps taking it to heart. Thats all. Nothing more. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
thats just bombtastic (even if its just for fun). While you cant shovel potential, its sure fun to see and watch how this plays out. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
WWeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee this is gonna be a fun ride. Happy weekend gang. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
09-10 esq..... Been about that long since weve enjoyed back to back warnin level snows.
