This GYX analysis leads me to agree with the Euro, and the fresh cold air makes me wonder if more of us do well than just the fortunate up here.
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Overview: Canadian high pressure briefly builds in on Wednesday, supplying us with fresh cold air ahead of our next storm system which will impact the area Wednesday night through the first half of Thursday. This system is expected to bring significant amounts of snow, especially across the interior with a rain/snow mix across the south and coastal locations. Some mixed wintry precipitation is also likely, mainly across the interior. Low pressure departs to our east on Thursday night with more tranquil weather returning for Friday and the upcoming weekend. A cold front approaches on Monday, possibly resulting in scattered snow showers. Impacts: Plowable snowfall is likely on Wednesday night into Thursday across the region, with the most significant amounts across the interior. In addition, some mixed wintry precipitation is likely, which will assist in creating hazardous travel conditions for the Thursday morning commute. Gusty winds are also possible, especially along the coast. Forecast Details: Canadian high pressure will build across southern Quebec on Wednesday, which will help to supply New England with a fresh cold airmass ahead of our next storm system which will be moving across the Tennessee River Valley. This storm system will be at the base of a deep 500 mb trough axis, which will be extending all the way down to the Gulf Coast. This trough will move east towards the U.S. East Coast on Wednesday night with the parent low moving across the eastern Great Lakes as a new low begins to form offshore of the Mid-Atlantic region. These two systems will then phase into early Thursday with the coastal low becoming the primary circulation as it rapidly intensifies near eastern New England. A front end thump of moderate to heavy snowfall is expected for all areas Wednesday night as a surface warm front moves northward. The latest ensemble guidance indicates probabilities of 50 percent or greater for at least 6" of snowfall from the coastal plain north with gradually lowering probabilities across southern NH and coastal ME. Winter Storm Watches will likely be needed for much of the region but since we still have ongoing headlines in effect, will wait until future forecast packages. While changes can be expected, warmer air is likely to intrude across at least southern NH and coastal ME during the day on Thursday as the low tracks near the region but across the interior, mountains, and north the cold air is likely to linger through the day. As a result, rain is likely to mix with the snow south of the