mahk_webstah

I think some are tired but I bet some posts will start showing up with 0z runs.

I think GYX wants to get people's attention after today. Unusual to have an aggressive numbers before a watch or warning. I am less optimistic after all of our recent luck. So I say 6-8 for me and then dry slot or drizzle. Wednesday A 30 percent chance of snow after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 31. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Wednesday Night Snow before 4am, then rain and snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 26. Breezy, with an east wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. Thursday Rain and snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain before 7am, then rain likely, possibly mixed with freezing rain between 7am and 1pm, then a chance of rain after 1pm. High near 38. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

1) several models at various times kept showing strips of high qpf across the area from me-Brian-Jeff. 2) And WPC qpf numbers were solid for several days. 3) for me the clincher was the radar presentation yesterday. classic coastal redeveloper look loaded with moisture.

I wonder how much contamination they got for that brief period this morning. Maybe they hit 18?

I've been tracking closely with Brian all day. Earlier I seemed to be 1/2 inch ahead, but at 11.5 my driveway was snowblown and I lost a clean area. And is snowed hard for a while after. So 15, maybe 15.5 here. On the ground between 15-20 in open areas and 18-22 in the woods. We transform. The qpf in CON was tremendous but your buddies at WPC had a pretty large area of around 1.25, which is why I thought it would overperform. Now onto Wednesday-Thursday and what could be an epic run for a few of us. I really hope you guys get into this soon - board is so much better when you are all weenie-ing out, like you started doing this afternoon.

the signs were there...

Where there is no changeover, it’s a strong low so 10-15 on the table but probably further n and w than I

Well will be interesting to see if you need to make some lane adjustments.

You on a shift for Wed? I was pessimistic but it looks like its happening. Thats a lot of snow for us in 6 days. 7 + 15 +8-12?

It just keeps redeveloping.

That's so awesome! The dog in my pics was a 4 month old when we had our 28" Dec 2020 storm. She went crazy.

Hopefully you redevelp and rot like back here. We are still going decently and I thought it would be doen a while ago.

I watched this during the night and all day, and that is what I observed. The WAA push was good and it was sw-ne. then this morning it was more s-n and then later in the morning and midday there was a bit of push back to the nw, and the band has rotted and reformed for a few hours. I don't ever recall being in the pivot but I was today

I'm on a roll with my successful Yiddish storm thread, and now my Kevin-like call for big lollis. We might be to 15 now, but if not, in the next 30 minutes. Still accumulating here with blowing and low viz.

For up here it would be "The Trifecta Storm", but not for most of you lol.

I think we just had more moisture here from the early push, and then got mid level deformation at rates of 2-3/hour at times. That tends to be higher ratio I think. My last measure was about 3 hours ago at 11.5 when we then cleared the driveway. I'm estimating between 14-15 due to how hard it has snowed during that time.

The one that’s one through Concord was quite intense and that’s heading down to. Maybe merges that one on the North Shore..

And it’s not done. Not the 2”/hour stuff but steady moderate and accumulating.We probably break 15. Viz 1/4

This GYX analysis leads me to agree with the Euro, and the fresh cold air makes me wonder if more of us do well than just the fortunate up here. .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Overview: Canadian high pressure briefly builds in on Wednesday, supplying us with fresh cold air ahead of our next storm system which will impact the area Wednesday night through the first half of Thursday. This system is expected to bring significant amounts of snow, especially across the interior with a rain/snow mix across the south and coastal locations. Some mixed wintry precipitation is also likely, mainly across the interior. Low pressure departs to our east on Thursday night with more tranquil weather returning for Friday and the upcoming weekend. A cold front approaches on Monday, possibly resulting in scattered snow showers. Impacts: Plowable snowfall is likely on Wednesday night into Thursday across the region, with the most significant amounts across the interior. In addition, some mixed wintry precipitation is likely, which will assist in creating hazardous travel conditions for the Thursday morning commute. Gusty winds are also possible, especially along the coast. Forecast Details: Canadian high pressure will build across southern Quebec on Wednesday, which will help to supply New England with a fresh cold airmass ahead of our next storm system which will be moving across the Tennessee River Valley. This storm system will be at the base of a deep 500 mb trough axis, which will be extending all the way down to the Gulf Coast. This trough will move east towards the U.S. East Coast on Wednesday night with the parent low moving across the eastern Great Lakes as a new low begins to form offshore of the Mid-Atlantic region. These two systems will then phase into early Thursday with the coastal low becoming the primary circulation as it rapidly intensifies near eastern New England. A front end thump of moderate to heavy snowfall is expected for all areas Wednesday night as a surface warm front moves northward. The latest ensemble guidance indicates probabilities of 50 percent or greater for at least 6" of snowfall from the coastal plain north with gradually lowering probabilities across southern NH and coastal ME. Winter Storm Watches will likely be needed for much of the region but since we still have ongoing headlines in effect, will wait until future forecast packages. While changes can be expected, warmer air is likely to intrude across at least southern NH and coastal ME during the day on Thursday as the low tracks near the region but across the interior, mountains, and north the cold air is likely to linger through the day. As a result, rain is likely to mix with the snow south of the

This is getting real

Steve like pics and dogs and Kevin likes a good clean line

Is it trending to holding a cold air and longer? In my mind I’ve been thinking that we would get a 6 inch front and dump and then some sleet and rain. But we’ve been trending just cold enough up here now lately

Raking the roof now in anticipation of another dump, and then water, which freezes it to the roof. I’m doing a ton of shoveling today and clearing in anticipation of Wednesday.

Yikes. We have friends who have been raising them for years and they get quite attached to some of the older ones. They develop personality.

We pivot. We puke. We rot.