mahk_webstah

I mean, I'm not a met but doesn't that imply some chances with systems coming under the trough and getting forced south by th blocking in the north atlantic? wouldn't that give us chances, though it is clearly not a perfect pattern.

I think late Dec 2007 was very good in NNE, yes? I didn't move here until the following year. Late December with cold air nearby is a good bet for many of us. I think that 2007-08 winter didn't feature a lot of big storms, but light and moderate ones were frequent. I've learned not to like some of the patterns that the MA and SNE like.

Point taken. It still seems like there are more misses these days and model gyrations. It is not just the maps because you help us see reality. The Euro no longer dependable, gfs kinda new. It all just seems less can be counted on from models these days although maybe it is the bias that comes from paying attention more. It wouldn’t surprise me though that the pace of climate change fooks with the analogue data; Tip has talked about this. I’m not a scientist so can’t provide any reliable analysis. But if the Mets don’t feel the models are worse with these storms, then you are probably right since you work with them every day.

Or the pattern might look different in a day or two..,.as has been happening

You’re missing my larger question. I don’t know the model verification scores on specific storms but it seems busts are more frequent last couple. I realize it could be some sort of bias at play but it seems it’s been a bustorama latelu

Is there any data to support this? Maybe Tip has an idea.

Is it my imagination or is that happening more often lately with storms?

Effin pos is what this is

Next

But the chickens are safe

I will send you a private message about backs. I know some thing about them. It’s just I’m looking at the radar now and the echoes have not gotten any worse it looks like there’s some potential but the snowfall rates here have gotten worse. So that says to me that maybe we’re getting a north northeast wind or some thing that’s causing us to dry out a bit. I’m not optimistic at all, at least about snow

That’s what it looks like in radars. No good band setting up here despite a storm track that should be good for us. We’vI really struggle a lot in these coastal’s lately.e I really struggle a lot in these coastal’s lately.

Maybe 1.5 here. Not too impressive yet. It hasn’t really settled in like a good storm usually does at some point where the rates don’t vary that much visibility get to a quarter mile and It just starts piling up. We are not there yet and I hope we can get there. Wind is really starting to crank though

Thank you. Sometimes it’s torture watching to see where the bands set up and stick around

Fingers crossed that we get a nice band to consolidate up here. All the bright banded snow is in sne now.

Because I’m about a half an inch ahead of you but I don’t think I end that way

And so it begins

Before we built our house up here we weren’t sure we were going to do it so we found this old stonemason, crusty old Yankee, who can’t even barely bend his knees but does amazing stonework. It’s basically a riding and drinking cottage now; We leave a nice bottle of whiskey in thereWe leave a nice bottle of whiskey in there

10 miles north concord nh 20 minutes after full changeover

Making up for lost time fast. Really snowing hard and sticking

Fully changed over at 11:45. Nice flakes and sticking on the mulch. Boscawen NH

My God it’s not easy to get the snowblower hooked up to the Kabota. But it is done and the changeover is happening but taking a long time. But the radar just looks awesome with the heavy echoes in Massachusetts expanding north

I’m Noticing the wind is picking up a bit. It’s a weird change over coming from sort of south west and west to north east in East

Changeover definitely in process here. 37° and splats all over the windshield. Looks like it’s gonna take a while and probably a heavier echo turnover. Should be to you soon Bryan

In Concord and splats on the windshield though temp is 37-38. Still mostly rain but getting splattier