mahk_webstah

Weekend looks decent up here

I’ve tempered my expectations for the weekend, but still envision scenario of more than 6 inches of snow probably ending as sleet or freezing rain. won’t have my fantasized 30 inch snowpack by Monday but I might by next weekend. And by next weekend, perhaps that snowpacked extends all the way down through southern New England and the central and northern mid Atlantic. sometimes these types of situations tick back towards what they were originally showing, and it wouldn’t surprise me if we see a bit of that over the next couple of days

Happy to see so many members inside the BM and going fully into the GOM. The 50-50 isn’t in an overly suppressive spot

EPS as bad as op?

?

Well Saturday would be fun with lots of snow around

You’re not a negative person at all as far as I can tell. You are open minded kind, and welcoming

Can you take the family on a mini snowcation?

I was hoping this last storm would change the mood more. I mean, I realize the models have been trending badly, but we have totally different experiences right now. Up here is deep winter with somewhere between 15 and 18 inches of beautiful powder on the ground. And down there, the frustration just keeps continuing. All this affects how we’re feeling about the winter and for me at this point if we finish with Climo snow and temps, this has been a pretty good winter .

I think we know the deal on this storm by 18 Z for the most part, allowing for ticks. I think for the weekend we have to get to tomorrow and I admit the trends don’t look great.

If it’s only the Canadian, it won’t happen. We need to let this play out until tomorrow.

Is it really that bad?

Let’s go with win Philly Central

I look at them, I read Gray, I find my underground projections are often on target, and obviously I weigh this forum the most heavily

Feels great eh? You might be far enough north and inland to get a few inches on Thursday.

The KU comes next week I’d think. Well, at least a pattern that has a strong chance to produce one. That could be the one where we are on the fringes up here. In the meantime, we just pile it up. I’m glad you did well yesterday! My brother-in-law lives in East Derry and they got like 10 inches so there was a nice jackpot down in that general direction.

According to Wpc map the primary has come back to western pa. This is what Will said needed to happen

Aren’t they always?

Best case this close in is big thump for all. 6” where it is all snow and 2-4 sne ending with preserving crust

07-08

I’m certainly not a promoter of regional war. I want you guys to do well almost as much as I want myself to do well. I’d like to get through Sunday with a net gain of significance on the crust. I think that’s likely. It’s just you were talking about Stowe, which I thought was hyperbolic.

But doesn’t the correction vector still point colder?

But I don’t buy ending winter. We might have a couple of days where the systems get warmer and messier and even some rain but it looks like we go straight back into a winter pattern. We don’t get out till mid to late March.

GYX 05Z Long Term Forecast Update...Canadian high pressure will then briefly builds on Wednesday before being pushed off to the northeast by an area of low pressure that will cross over the Gulf of Maine on Thursday. This will result in widespread precipitation with the vast majority likely falling as snow, although some rain may mix in across southern NH and coastal ME. Several inches of snow accumulation are possible on Thursday. High pressure then returns for Friday and Saturday before another potential winter storm arrives late next weekend or early next week. And then the risk for the weekend Another deeper trough follows late next weekend, and like that,, we have a much more amplified pattern. This could bring a more significant system, with more warm air to tap into, and a better chance for mixed precip, although, it is a week off, so confidence is low.