mahk_webstah

What’s worked is Southwest flow/over running type situations in the occasional clipper. They are more predictable and dependable. A great coastal can be awesome every once in a while, but they are a few and far between and very fickle. I think towards mid month we get into a much better pattern for snow specially with all the cold air around. I think we’re gonna have a good run.

It’s interesting that you are losing patience after just having had a storm of almost 2 feet. but I understand it. The times I really crave are the couple of days leading up to a storm, obviously the storm itself, and then the next couple of days. That’s why once I have a snow pack I don’t need a big storm as much, I’m happy with 3 to 6 inch storms on top of a snow pack because if you have 20 inches on the ground and it’s snowing hard and you’re getting 4 inches. it feels like a big storm. there is a psychology to this that I don’t fully understand

It’s different up here. The cold is deep and the snowpack isn’t super deep, but it’s very solid and should be for a good long while. I think it’s snow piles up here from mid month on.

-8 here but I think we hit -9 one morning. Grateful that we haven’t hit the peach killing -15. Afraid though that that might happen in this next cold snap which looks pretty fearsome next week.

February 6 eighth does not look exciting but could give us a nice refresher. It appears to me that the next period of interest is around the 13th of 14th. My view is that at some point the dry pattern will break and it’ll probably start to get good around mid month and given the reversal stratosphere thing that might continue through a good part of March. What’s your take?

I look at the euro AI model twice a day now. Looks like the idea of a clipper moving down across New England at a very sharp angle and developing way offshore and hooking into Maritime Canada continues. Would be nice if that blew up closer to shore, but it looks like we get some precipitation. Then the 14th and 15th look interesting with what appears to be a southwest flow event that then re-develops in the mid Atlantic and up just along the southern New England coast line. So seems that there is some potential over the next two weeks.

Kinda missing this analogy.

Looked at the euro AIFS this morning. February 5 is very suppressed but February 7 and eighth look kind of interesting although I’m not sure I understand the evolution. Northern Stream low drops down slips off the coast to our southeast while dropping precipitation on all of New England and then when it’s well offshore it hooks and curls up into southeast Canada. Seems like that could evolve into something really interesting possibly

Wrong board

We’ll get Feb 5-6 warmed up n ready fer ya

Phase change HA storm?

But don’t forget the messenger ticks. You need some leeway for those so these next two runs are really important. Fingers crossed!

My wunderground shows nothing for the next 10 days. Could be right, but I imagine we’ll sneak in a clipper or two

This would be so much worse if we hadn’t just gotten a great regionwide storm, and if the pattern for February wasn’t looking so ripe with possibilities. Always sucks to miss a coastal bomb, but if February brings us over running and maybe the occasional Miller B we’d all probably do better anyhow. Coastals are always dicey.

lol. They aren’t 2 yet and we agree no screens until after 2 and very limited at that point. Did take them out in the storm the other day and they loved it!