mahk_webstah

Weather underground seems to be bumping the snow toes up a bit for tonight, but that might just be off of one model run or something

GYX continues not interested in wintry south of foothills Saturday A cold front crosses the Friday night with high pressure building to the north of the area Saturday. This high pressure will be in a favorable position for cold air damming ahead of the next system that approaches from the Great Lakes. The big forecast question at this time is how much cold air can work back into the area before precipitation likely breaks out by Saturday evening. Ensembles generally agree that temperatures will remain above freezing across southern NH and the coastal plain of Maine resulting in mostly rain event for these areas into Sunday. From the foothills northward precipitation types become more complex given the potential CAD and several ensemble members suggesting a secondary low more form in the Gulf of Maine. Have mainly stuck with the NBM which brings mostly snow from the mountains northward, however it should be noted that several ensemble members suggest that a change to rain is possible well north of the Canadian Border. Across the interior/foothills precipitation may waver between snow/mix/rain depending on the development of a secondary low in the Gulf of Maine. Precipitation tapers off Sunday afternoon with a shot of much colder air building in to start the work week. The main take away is that difficult travel will be possible Saturday night through Sunday mainly from the foothills northward.

DT is honking

In the end 2-3 for me and 3-5 for you seems right.

The colder trend for the weekend has not made it into my forecast

Then it is probably right

maybe a bit of snow and then the FZ. Another very solid layer of pack before the real good stuff comes mid month. I think that is coming by the way. The change of the pattern should do the trick for at least one sizable storm.

Funny wording in the zones tonight. Snow heavy at times, accumulations 1"

Does this mean we snow on Saturday/Saturday night?

Including thru Wednesday I’m thinking 3-6

Good for us, but challenging New York City and south. I’m thinking. But with the strength of cold this year I think New York City gets some good outcomes.

Our mashed potatoes and gravy

I’m kinda expecting one to 2 inches Monday afternoon and evening and then 2 to 4 Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. I hope those aren’t unrealistic expectations. It happens that way then the snow pack is back to being pretty nice again.

Very light snow and small flakes here but everything is starting to get a bit of a coating on it

Maybe an inch here Monday afternoon, 2 to 4 Tuesday night and Wednesday with 3 to 6 a real possibility, then a Friday Saturday rain or maybe mixed system. Then next week we’re rocking and rolling. Our rock solid pack isn’t going anywhere, but hopefully Friday and Saturday will clear the ice off the driveway.