mahk_webstah

Absolutely I understand that. I just think in general, and I’m not talking about you because you are probably the most grounded person in here, we tend to live in the future.

But as you know, the next 7 to 9 days haven’t played out yet

Although WPC still has some risk of storm 18-19th

Except for a bit of rain and snow midweek, all precipitation gone from 10 day. Pretty much the worst case scenario from where this looked to be headed. Quite a surprise to me tbh. Cold and dry sucks. Much prefer cutter to wipe it clean and be warmer outside. otoh this will probably change but seems like quite a fail for mid range models. Or maybe just a perceptual bias based on large number of models and frequency of model runs?

Inland runner? I think that’s what the comments seemed indicate. It’ll change.

For what

It’s kind of cool that there’s so much uncertainty. Given the persistent weak solutions, I would have to think it will be weak. But sometimes these things have a way of returning to what they were showing initially. Probably the second system is going to be better. The CPC flagged that potential a couple of days ago and if it’s a swfe it’s probably a lot less complicated

It might be better to have this thread as a period of interest between the 15th and the 18th

The conversation is manageable now in the main thread, but I think we actually should start a storm thread tomorrow if it still looks like a viable threat between the 15th and 19th. This would separate the discussion into what might be happening in the short term and then also in the post January 20 period which is interesting in itself

We playin

On or just inside BM which means good for all as it looks positioned to comea north enough

I think it was the storm right near the end of November or beginning of December where the GFS led the way from the mid range. The euro took a long time to get on board, remember?

The way the models have been moving around and the fact that we’re in the midst of a big pattern change I wouldn’t sell anything at this point. There’s lots of possibilities and I bet they’re at least a moderate storm for most of New England between the 15th and the 20th.

Pics

Wpc overnight does have a low almost on cape cod for the 15th