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snowstormcanuck

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Everything posted by snowstormcanuck

  1. snowstormcanuck
    That's pretty close to what I'm thinking (4-6"). I'm not forecasting widespread 8" amounts. Just a few sweet spots.
  2. snowstormcanuck
    Too bad the synoptic is such a fast mover. Looks like we only get 6-9 quality hours of accums. Otherwise, this could have been something a bit more prolific.
  3. snowstormcanuck
    Going to be interesting if we get an east wind streamer to develop off Lake Ontario. Plenty cold enough with delta-t's in the 16-18c range, but as usual with east wind, a lot of shear. If we get some appreciable LEnS, I could see some 8" (even 8" PLUS) amounts, locally.
  4. snowstormcanuck
    Looks good tomorrow for 4-6", with maybe 8" lollis where Lk Ontario kicks in support. Afterwards, if spring wants to come rolling in...no objections.
  5. snowstormcanuck
    Oh, if only that were true.
  6. snowstormcanuck
    Who's got the guts to start a thread?
  7. snowstormcanuck
    Ferocious looking blizzard. Winds were kind of a bust here. Looks like the really strong stuff never mixed down. Max gusts have been around 50.
  8. snowstormcanuck
    That time of the year again, when you realize the best of winter is behind you. All in all, could have been a much worse outcome given the way it was going in December and early January. Maybe we'll weasel our way up to 50" for the season when we wrap in April. It goes to show what a dreadful decade it's been in Toronto for snow. A 50" season is considered a triumph. That used to just be normal.
  9. snowstormcanuck
    About 2" here. Could have done better but dry air ruled the day. Still, with last week's snow still on the ground, and the fresh cover, looks very wintry out there. Plus, we've hit our normal snowfall for the whole season. Can't really complain.
  10. snowstormcanuck
    3km NAM only spitting out 1.8" using kuchera algorithm. So, it's definitely thinking dry air will hold firm. We'll see if the mid level deformation zone snows start to increase the next 3-4 hours. If things stay ragged on radar, we probably have our answer.
  11. snowstormcanuck
    At 41.5" for the season, here to your east in Toronto we've had above normal snowfall to date. When I get home I'll have to check how BUF and CLE are doing for the season. Could it be a rare and elusive DTW screwhole?
  12. snowstormcanuck
    Going with 2-5" here. Hopefully no last minute shifts south, because lots of dry air to the north is going to create a tight gradient.
  13. snowstormcanuck
    Enjoying UWO? You're looking to become a met?
  14. snowstormcanuck
    Most models seem like D-1" here. NAM trying to spit out 2-4". Even the HRRR and RGEM aren't as amped as the NAM. We are in the prime DGZ with some ul support, though it's shearing out as it heads east. Not expecting much more than an inch, but there's a chance for a bit of a surprise.
  15. snowstormcanuck
    A person actually forecasted a "historically snowy winter"? Talk about setting yourself up for failure.
  16. snowstormcanuck
    Picked up 2-3" or so from some backlash snows, so we'll storm total this into respectability.
  17. snowstormcanuck
    Luckily you've got youth on your side. Stay away from boozing, drugs, and choking hazards and you should be okay.
  18. snowstormcanuck
    That's incredible. I always thought of myself as a snow lover, but I wonder if I could handle that much. Even with a Jeep, or an F450, you're stuck right now, assuming the plows will take a bit of time.
  19. snowstormcanuck
    QPF was over-modeled. EURO, NAM, GEM were in the 1.00-1.25" range. We ended up with about 0.75". And the transition to sleet happened much sooner than anticipated, so we wasted a lot of that reduced available precip on pellets. It happens. On to the next one.
  20. snowstormcanuck
    YYZ snow total was 2.9". So, yeah, rather big bust here compared to the forecast of 6-10". Nothing EC could do. Short-term, hi-res models ruled the day, but by that time it was too late to do a complete 180 on amounts.
  21. snowstormcanuck
    Snow here too.
  22. snowstormcanuck
    Just in the nick of time too. Need 24 hours in the dark like I need a hole in my head.
  23. snowstormcanuck
    Power flickering. Ugh.
  24. snowstormcanuck
    Interesting. I could be lowballing because of the drifting, as well as compaction from the ZR, but even still, 5" seems high.
  25. snowstormcanuck
    Pushing our luck with cashing in with big snows when sfc low tracks through Lake Huron
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