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snowstormcanuck

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Everything posted by snowstormcanuck

  1. Looks good for about 4" here I guess. Grinding our way to an above average snowfall winter.
  2. Not really. I'll say a warmer/mixed-bag solution not off the table, despite what the models are depicting.
  3. That EURO snowfall accum map posted on the other page looked pretty decent, even though it cutoff just to our west. ICON also a nice hit and it handled last weekend's storm perfectly. Notwithstanding today's trends, I think a warm/wet solution is not inconceivable.
  4. with 5.14" of precip this will be YYZ's 2nd wettest January on record, just 0.11" shy of the record set in 1995.
  5. I'm not particular hopefully with the primary ul divergence/llj surge of precip to yield any snow. We might have a better shot tomorrow night with the wrapround. That being said, you up in Vaughan have a better shot than those of us closer to L Ontario.
  6. I'm surprised how quiet EC is. Not even a SWS for east-central Ontario. I guess they think models are a degree or so too cold at the sfc. Here, I think a snowfall storm total at YYZ of 2.0" is your o/u line.
  7. Imagine how DT felt with that forecast which basically blew the UKIE and went all in for a 980 riding the apps. Yup, there was some sort of ul feature over the lakes but it was a far cry from what was initially advertised.
  8. My posts in that 2006 thread are atrocious. Young, dumb, and wanting it to snow sum.
  9. I think either the phantom bomb of February 2009 or the Christmas Ghost non-storm of 2006 were worse. Of course, that was Eastern.
  10. Looks like even the slush will be tough to come by if you believe the model trends. Not over yet though; maybe models will trend back colder. QPF AOA 1" so still a sig storm.
  11. Starting? We're in the "game" as it were, but you got to like the north shore of Lk Ontario just east of the city. Parts of the higher elevations in Northumberland and Hastings counties look like they could go 12-18" inches of cement over the course of 36 hours.
  12. Probably won't be ironed out until Friday, unless the models really start to shift in one direction. Still seems like a good bet for at least a little bit of slushy accum on Saturday.
  13. I saw the EURO snow map was a huge downgrade. What's the issue? Lack of cold or lack of QPF?
  14. Too bad the costal low doesn't wrap up inland...could has shifted those richer reds further west. The bane of the Toronto snow lover is the Appalachians and that permanent costal thermal gradient that deepening lows are drawn to like bees towards honey.
  15. Well, if it does transpire, can't argue with back-to-back snowstorms on Saturdays. At least no commuting problems for us working stiffs.
  16. Anybody have a free UKIE link? Meteocentre.com isn't updating.
  17. The thing is, if it doesn't snow 8" here you (or anybody) can't go into meltdown mode. Even saying 2-4" is reasonable seems like you're going out on a limb. Rain/slush, or even whiff, is just as reasonable. We're 4-5 days out. My forecast: precipitation likely on Saturday. Some slushy snow accumulation is possible. Details to be ironed out.
  18. Well, best case scenario might be that December 1992 event, but it's tremendously unlikely. 2-4" of plaster more likely than that, but still improbable. EURO is almost a whiff to the south even though it's an outlier.
  19. Quintessential thread the needle event. Want to be right over/100 miles NW of H5 low track, wherever that ends up being.
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