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snowstormcanuck

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Everything posted by snowstormcanuck

  1. snowstormcanuck
    Nope, just wind and visibility.
  2. snowstormcanuck
    We never realized blizzard conditions in 1999. sustained winds were just under the threshold. Also, there was a temperature criteria back then that we likely didnt meet. And the warning was WSW, but I dont remember completely.
  3. snowstormcanuck
    Lived almost my entire life in Toronto and we've never been under a blizzard warning . So, you're looking at 2.5-3 feet of snow basically. Photos would be swell!
  4. snowstormcanuck
    This morning outside work. Clumps o snow.
  5. snowstormcanuck
    To say the least? As recently as Sunday this was mostly rain. Instead it's a winter wonderland out there. Enjoy.
  6. snowstormcanuck
    OB was right! This is a bit of a bust. Looks like about 5" outside and it's barely snowing. We'll probably pixie dust our way to 6" by dawn. Even areas east of us which were bullseyed are dryslotted right now. Considering that the afternoon portion of this event sort of over-performed, it's pretty disappointing. The main defo band has produced, what, 2" additional inches here? Beh.
  7. snowstormcanuck
    Yes.
  8. snowstormcanuck
    I think that's a lock but it's going to be more of a gradual process.
  9. snowstormcanuck
    It's been tough to get visibilities below 1SM. Was hoping for a little rippage.
  10. snowstormcanuck
    lol
  11. snowstormcanuck
    23z HRRR showing 6.7" additional. Last check, YYZ was up to 2.8" (2.8 + 6.7 = 9.5", which is definitely towards the high end of expectations, unless anyone believed the few clown RAP/GFS runs showing 12"+) . We would need to start cranking though at some point. Cloud tops starting to cool and pivot N/NNW across E OH/W PA. Hopefully that's a good sign.
  12. snowstormcanuck
    Remember where we were 3 days ago. Nothing to complain about.
  13. snowstormcanuck
    Have about 2-3" on the grass...pavement just finally starting to whiten up. Based on radar, it's pretty apparent the heaviest snow is going to miss us to the east. Should finish in the 6-8" range hopefully by 12z tomorrow.
  14. snowstormcanuck
    Already up to about 2" on grassy surfaces. Pavement mostly just wet. I'd say very little chance of a low bust.
  15. snowstormcanuck
    Narrow band...roll the dice as to whom it effects. Seems like an impressive setup. I was reading on twitter that inversion heights are AOA 11k feet.
  16. snowstormcanuck
    6z RAP and HRRR actually bring a little mixing into the equation during the daylight hours today, but with a slightly further west track we rock with the death band defo zone tonight. Trade off I'm willing to make.
  17. snowstormcanuck
    NAM looks like weak sauce, comparatively.
  18. snowstormcanuck
    RAP and HRRR have value, but when they run out to 36 hours it's sort of their clown range. I wouldn't bite on anything like that yet.
  19. snowstormcanuck
    And, allow me....
  20. snowstormcanuck
    That was a much more impressive storm though:
  21. snowstormcanuck
    Fair enough. Under 6" is probably debbie-downer territory given this sampling of 18z models (Kuchera): 18z GFS = 11.7" 18Z NAM = 7.7" 18Z 3k NAM = 8.9" 18Z RGEM = 6.3"
  22. snowstormcanuck
    Not for demonstrating my understanding of the English language though.
  23. snowstormcanuck
    I'll finalize my 4-8" but up I could see us going north of 8" if things break right.
  24. snowstormcanuck
    Fyi...we wrote the book on winter storm disappointment. Available at fine bookstores near you.
  25. snowstormcanuck
    12z 3km NAM has a foot at YYZ, 8 or 9 inches from the synoptic and then the rest from a gnarly lk huron band afterwards with impressive inland penetration. Sounds like fun.
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