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snowstormcanuck

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Everything posted by snowstormcanuck

  1. That was the old days with the nipher gauge. They switched to a snow saber about 5 years or so and they've been fine since (Dare I say maybe even a bit generous with their measurements at times?). I'm about 10 minutes from the airport and that report is not crazy.
  2. Funny, the bashers on Twitter who love to pile on when there's a bust are silent. Most people there seem to be under the impression the storm verified because of all the snow from their rooftops that blew onto their driveways.
  3. Flake size sucked initially but I went outside around 4am it was pouring snow globe dendrites. Had that persisted through 12z like the models had indicated we would have easily got up to 8 or 9".
  4. Hey, nice to meet you. Yeah, well, that's how we roll here in the Six. Over 100cm/40" for the season officially though. 4th straight year. Haven't done that since the 70s if you're looking for a bit of a silver lining.
  5. Bust. Calling it about 5" but with the drifting it's impossible to tell. Snow shut off around 4am so we had no chance at anything significant with only 7 hours of accumulations. Definitely a 15:1+ ratio snow though, very airy.
  6. Early days but so far flake size is a bit underwhelming. Still time for that to change but given this is a quick hitter going to need things to ramp up in the next 1.5-2 hours.
  7. Yup, I'll second those amounts. Seems perfectly reasonable.
  8. Yeah, sounds about right. Areas with full sunshine starting to get exposed. Not for long though.
  9. NW tick which I is better aligned with the track of the 850/700 low. These Kuchera maps are dangerous because I think they're based on 17-18:1 ratios which is lofty but even if you shave 5" off those totals...sold!
  10. Let me know what you find. Given how rare 30cm+ storms are for us I doubt it's happened. '99 YYZ was using the nipher gauge so not even Jan 2-3 registered 30cm+ . Downtown Toronto came close with 38cm on Jan 2-3 and then I believe ~28cm on Jan 14-15. Thinking this one tonight will be the bigger storm of the week. Thursday-Friday storm looks like a quick coastal transfer and we're getting more snow scraps, maybe we edge out a moderate event.
  11. I think you're safe. Wish the duration was a bit longer though...looks like 7-10 hours so the snow will have to come down to get the bigger amounts.
  12. QPF maps nearly uniformly nail Niagara so it's tough to against that, but I think we've seen this story before. Look at what a great job the models did with this appetizer piece today. I got some mostly sunny skies here.
  13. Going to be interesting tonight. 700mb low will take a track well to the west yet models painting in heaviest snow closest to Lk Erie. Think they may be underestimating the mid level dryslot per usual. Wouldn't be surprised to see the heaviest snow actually set up just NW of Toronto rather than Niagara region.
  14. Toasty lakes mean this will be a non-event here, but some of the cold out west, geez. Windchills in the -50s even in a place like Saskatoon has to be a one in 10 year occurrence or something close to that.
  15. Triple phase threat. Whiff, snow, or rain, if you're a weather weenie you gotta be eyeing this one.
  16. Remind me: Guelph? Can't say I'm as content with cold and dry as you are. Really the bane of my existence. But February has been our money month snowfall wise the last 15 years or so, so I'm reasonably optimistic.
  17. Last six months esp. have been so dry here. I'll take rain ma nature, just no whiff to the south please.
  18. Guessing MKE's done well. I saw a pretty sweet lake convergence band on radar earlier around there and assumed it was ripping. 4 flakes here. Knew hrrr/nam were overdoing the LES. Way too dry and inversion heights too low.
  19. Looping the 18z NAM from 0 to 84 makes you realize how little sfc plots tell you about how a storm's going to unfold.
  20. Just need a few more inches of cover and it'd be a solid urban wintry pic.
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