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snowstormcanuck

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Everything posted by snowstormcanuck

  1. Yup, I was 20 in 2006 when I started posting over at Eastern. Now I'm 35. Time waits for no one.
  2. Interesting. Looks like they're going to do this piecemeal. Seems like a watch is at least warranted NE of that zone.
  3. Yeah, looking the same way here. Except for the lack of snow with wave 1, seems pretty similar to Feb 2-3.
  4. Yeah, I agree. Rain-to-snow events always make me shy away from the higher end numbers. 6-8" seems like a high probability.
  5. Thinking with the trends maybe EC gets arm twisted into a watch. Even down in your hood and Niagara, the "warmer" NCEP solutions look like a decent ice storm.
  6. With respect to watches, it was bad even when I was growing up. A watch would get hoisted and the storm never materialized, and people would have a bitchfest (friends, family, media) about how wrong the weather people were. The word "watch" connoting a slim probability rather than a certainty never seemed to translate to most folks; they were instead dazzled with the "winter storm" part of the phrase. And now with social media I believe that's gotten much worse, to the point where EC has for the most part shelved it. Headlines with "Special weather" and "winter weather"(rather than storm) I think give them a little more wiggle room re: public perception.
  7. Noticed over the last decade or so EC only issues a WSW for exceptional snow storms (or maybe ice storms). More likely SWS to warnings/advisories for this event. 3km NAM is pretty nuts but overall I think the max band is 6-10".
  8. Early thinking is 6" of snow here after the rain/pl transitions, and it will take longer than advertised. It always does. Last minute correction back to the NW could throw a monkey wrench into things. yet to be determined.
  9. Would have bet the 12z NAM would have come SE. Weather is like a box of chocolates.
  10. Heavy rain in Muskoka? Anything's possible but that would require an slp track through Huron or something, which even the GFS isn't showing.
  11. It had a couple of overly amped runs right out of the chute but, yeah, overall, it did a pretty good job with the precip. gap between the two waves and sending wave two further north than the GFS/EURO were depicting.
  12. Early thinking 75% EURO/UKIE/CMC, 25% GFS compromise. As has been pointed out, this is very similar to GHDIII and I believe that's the blend between the NW/SE camp that ended up being reality. Would yield a tremendous ice storm imby.
  13. 6.2" "storm" total (it's two separate events in my books) at YYZ. Some pretty high snowplow piles out there. 41.7" on the season which is basically normal. Playing with house money from here on out.
  14. Drove from my parents house to my place. Was coming down pretty good. 3/4 SM stuff.
  15. 3.5" officially at YYZ but on pavement it looks more like 1-2" of cement coated with powder. Let's see if we can weasel our way past the 40" mark for the season this p.m.
  16. Resisting the urge to slant stick. Good work! On that and your nice snow storm.
  17. Had the main storm worked out this could have been an aside but ah well. Some snow is better than no snow at all.
  18. Damn .3" of liquid at yyz as of 0z, 80% of which fell as rain. That really wasn't in the cards and that's what's going to sink this storm here.
  19. More like middle. I'm south of the 401 by a bit.
  20. Starting to stick even on pavement. Parking lot at grocery store getting icy.
  21. Transitioning to snow here on the west side of TO.
  22. Haven't been out much the last 36 hours so can't really say. New rule for us: if the storm be coming round GHD, automatic towel toss.
  23. -RA and 35. Just sitting back and waiting to see what transpires.
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