CarlislePaWx

No signs yet of approaching breaks in the overcast. Temp only at 31. Think we won't hit projected high of 40. I predict 36. Let's see how that turns out.

I'll accept your predictions...all but mine. For me, 4.8". LOL. BTW, I hate trying to predict. It's much more fun observing.

Hi all. Just caught up from overnight posts. Ended up with 1.9" total from the snow which was certainly more than I was initially thinking at the beginning last night despite how adamant the models seemed at painting 2" totals. Regarding tomorrow...wow. NWS earlier update had me at 6". Then the newer update now says 6 to 8". Definitely have tilted the gradient lines. This morning's NAM shows about 6" of snow but then 0.50" of freezing rain. Yikes. I'm in the max freezing rain area. This would be reminiscent of the Jan 1994 snow/ice storm that preceded the record cold wave. Even Horst seemed to be playing up his concern about ZR. That was my takeaway from his discussion.

Just noticed NWS extended WWA until 4:00 AM, otherwise no changes to WSW verbiage.

Just took my midnight reading for snowfall and I'm now up to 1.3" with light snow falling. I guess there really is a shot of reaching 2.0" by morning looking at the fairly full radar to the west. Not bad. Temp not budging from 27.1 degrees.

Fine. I said it. The NAM has the correct LP path!!

Me too. Snowing nicely again and just hitting the 1.0" mark. Looks like you can subtract 2" from the weekend storm total map.

(No Jinx...)...Congrats, KPit and western PA gang!!! Maybe this one will be yours after all.

This looks like someone took the state and turned it upside down with the snow distribution. Now wouldn't that be the twist of all twists? (Not implying I believe this will happen)

Is this the <100 mile difference Horst spoke of earlier today??

Still too soon for that...

Ummm. Very impressive. You're too much.

Oh boy. First German, now French. How else can you impress us?

Are you referring to the batch on radar out in western pa right now? Was tonight's event supposed to be broken up into 2 pieces? Sounds like that's what you were/are expecting.

You have to know him and his LONG history to understand my joking about him.

Most definitely. They could be used as well.

This is secret. I'm not supposed to tell. But the model was created by Dave Tolleris.

Went out and measured 0.6" on the board!! Still moderate snow but intensity is diminishing. Temp down to 27.5.

Well, I guess we know just how upset you are by the forecast. With all the freezing rain coming your way I'd be fearful of at least several dozen additional trees falling over around your home.

Well that sounds encouraging. I was fearing my comments might be a little premature. At the moment there appears that a "lull" in the action is definitely in the cards by around 7:00 here.

The "meat" just got delivered. Snowing heavily with big flakes at the moment. Suddenly, 0.2" on the board. Haha.

Looking at the current radar, if the western edge doesn't begin to fill back in soon this is going to turn into a 2-hour non-event. Accumulating rates looking like they'll only be around here for the next hour.

Finally have almost moderate snow with a solid dusting on the board. Took forever to get started. Temp down to 29.3.

As feared...the original leading edge of the squall is breaking down just before arriving here. Although it looks like something almost as intense might be trying to form behind it.

HAHA. Sorry, Nut. Have been stuck to the forum nearly all day long. How ridiculous is that? Let me know the next time you're passing by so we can meet.