CarlislePaWx

Yep...you can pull a quote from just one post or from multiple posts using the multi-quote option before posting your own reply.

Well...as you will discover our subforum seems to be filled with a bit more "senior" individuals...which is neither bad nor good. What bubbler said I can totally relate to as I am 9 years older than he is...haha. I think I'm the most senior member around here at the ripe age of 59...lol. But we're all here for the same reasons, really, and that's love of weather...particularly the winter variety.

Welcome to our forum, Josh! Please feel free to post any time. We need more frequent conversation around here anyway. At the very least, when we get a good storm, like maybe this upcoming weekend, we usually start a separate thread for obs posting. I would encourage you to post your storm obs as we all like to keep tabs on how everyone else is doing. --Stephen

My son spent the weekend in DC and told me this evening that there were many storm total reports of 10" as of around 7:00pm. As the current storm winds down for the DC crew it's interesting to note that after this event their seasonal snow total is now ahead of MDT's. We can revisit this statistic one week from now and see how the totals compare then...

'Morning all. I was surprised to see that another whole inch of snow fell after my midnight report giving me a storm total of 2.3". The snow melted down to 0.18" producing a liquid equivalent of 13:1. For those of you dying to know the answer to my trivia question..."she's breaking up!...she's breaking up!!!" was spoken by Lee Majors in the intro sequence from the 6 Million Dollar Man. You'd probably have to be 50 or older to have known the answer to that as that show was from the 70's. Regarding next weekend I think the models will come around to a more snowy outcome. If anything it was looking like a rain to ice to snow storm setup with the arctic air invading and producing more frozen than liquid. I realize we're talking Day 6-7 so who really knows at this point. That arctic air shown for one week beyond next weekend is insane. The coldest temperature I have ever experienced anywhere was staying at a friend's house up in central New Hampshire many years ago. It was 17 below and I took a walk and was in complete disbelief over how bitter the cold felt. While living in northern NJ I measured -8 as the coldest ever on two occasions, one being on that Jan 1994 morning. Finally, for those talking about the -22 at MDT I'm nearly positive the winds were calm and it was from radiational cooling because there was a deep snow cover preceding those temps.

Let's see who here recognizes/remembers this quote from a TV show that best describes the current radar appearance: "...she's breaking up!...she's breaking up!!" Answer to come in the morning. At midnight my official snowfall total measured 1.3" and it continued to snow lightly. But, will Horst's concerns from a little earlier be realized?? Temp holding steady at 26.1 degrees. I'm not concerned about how this storm pans out in the end. I think everyone should be starting to get really pumped for the storm being modeled for next weekend. Shades of Jan 1996 come to mind with an incredible arctic airmass in place and a slow-moving, moisture-laden storm riding up the coast. Now that combination is something we all can sink our teeth into. The pattern change is on the way and I think the warmth of the first half of January will be more than erased by the second half cold waves.

As of 10:30 I measured 1.0" with it continuing to snow steadily but generally lightly. Temp 26.2. White and rather quiet outside at the moment with virtually no wind to speak of.

Just went out to measure. With light snow falling I am up to 0.8" of snow so far. Temp holding steady at 26.4 degrees. Regarding the coastal tomorrow I'll be very surprised if its direct influence reaches up to my area (central Cumberland) this far northwest. Only need another 1.2" for NWS forecast and WWA to verify. That seems pretty likely at this point.

Congrats! Intensity continues to ramp up to almost moderate now. Great fluffy flakes that are coating everywhere. Officially 0.1" accum. Temp down to 28.2.

Finally, steady light snow with a dusting on the board. Temp down a degree to 29.1. Progress.

Despite the radar appearance at the moment I still only have just flurries with no accumulation. Temp 30.2 / DP 16.

Earlier today Bliz93 posted the overnight Euro showing the mega storm for next weekend. Here's the new GFSv3 12z run total snow output for the next 10 days. This includes the current event, but wow, look at the bullseye southwest of DC showing 54" !!!

Peak gust here at 7:02 AM was 37 mph. This was the strongest wind gust I have recorded since April 4, 2018 when I had a gust to 46 mph. It was also only the third highest gust recorded in the past year at my station. Combination of these gusty winds and temps around freezing feels nasty.

Just a few occasional flurries flying by. Blue mountain dries everything up even though I'm only about 5 miles downwind of the peak.

Brief period of sleet mixed with some snowflakes for the past 15 minutes. Enough to whiten my snowboard, and the most frozen precip since November! Alas, for now radar shows it about to end over me and I see brightening skies to my west. Temp 31.1 but with dew point of 16. Should make for some interesting stuff this evening when the real precip arrives if temps remain wet-bulbed below freezing.

Yep...cracked 62" here this afternoon. At my son's house in Atlanta (2 miles NW of ATL) he's had over 80" this year. He just had over 5" in 24 hours (4"+ in 12 hours) 3 days ago. That event was the fifth time this year he's had a 3"+ single day as well. WET WET WET. Please let it dry up at least a little down there especially. Happy New Year to all. Here's hoping that amazing pattern sets in soon. I read from a few mets that do analogs a lot are using '77-'78, '02-'03, and '09-'10 as inclusions to derive their winter forecasts. Those of us old enough to remember '77-'78 well should remember that winter did not begin in earnest until mid-January of 1978. But, boy what a winter it turned into after that with the hallmark Feb'78 blizzard, which I'm pretty sure ranks in the top 5 of Kocin's storms.

And with those 3 bands also came the arrival of the winter solstice at 5:37pm! Only thing I don't like about today is that the days start getting longer. I say that just wishing that the really short days lasted deep into the real heart of winter, not because I dislike more daylight.

Pressure here now down to 993. We've had quite a few sub-1000mb events around here during the last few months as well. Prepare for wind after cold front passes later today or tonight.

Had to be from thunderstorm events with training I'd say. Hard to imagine just one county away and that huge of a difference. Didn't Voyager say he had something like 70 or 75" up his way too? Those differences had to appear during the summer months with all the TSRW events we had. How much did you have in July and September? I had 9.5" in July and 10" in September.

I'm matching Scranton here in Carlisle -- as of 9:30am I've received 0.75" of rainfall since midnight which pushed my annual precipitation total to 60.15". Was hoping to crack the 60" threshold and have done it. I think this only makes around 3 times I've ever experienced a year with 60"+. Definitely noteworthy despite the floods this year. Thankfully my home is safe from flooding despite living along the Conodoguinet.

Road trip to Charlotte??

Actually, this run compared to previous runs are significantly further north. As you said, measurable precip now reaches the M/D line. That's improvement. Way too early to give up on this one.

18Z FV3 is SOUTH again with 3" line in DC vs MDT at 12Z. Still lots of time to shift back north I'd say.

Wow...Nice!

Just letting the dog out for his last time out and what did I see but strange white things falling slowly from the sky. This is a bit of a surprise since NWS had nothing but rain mentioned for the overnight period.