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CarlislePaWx

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Everything posted by CarlislePaWx

  1. I'm pretty sure you met the warning criteria. It's 5" or more in 12 hours for all of the LSV counties. The low end of the criteria was adjusted down from 6" to 5" about a year ago by CTP just as winter weather advisory was lowered from 3" to 2" minimum.
  2. Looks like warning-criteria amounts in the southern counties. I'm sure I've picked up another few tenths since I measured over an hour ago. It's still coming down lightly. Big congrats to York breaking the 6" mark which destroyed the forecast for 1 to 3. Always nice to have a surprise with higher than forecast amounts.
  3. I just came in from measuring and I was blown away. 4.0" total accumulation so far on average. The flakes during the past hour were huge and it really began to pile up quickly. It does look like it's about to really wind down now, but 4" over 5 hours is really great in my book. Very nice surprise, and it really did look picturesque with the huge flakes slowly making their way down to the ground. Congrats to all the surprise winners, of which I guess it's looking like I might be included.
  4. Grass now disappearing which means I've reached 2". I'm amazed looking at the radar that the green has become stationary over Adams/Cumberland/Perry counties. Snowing heavily here again and the flake size has gone back up again which means rate is approaching 1"/hr again. Temp holding at 32.2. Looking great out there. Glad to hear many are cashing in with this (not just Cashtown...lol).
  5. Haha, yeah I just looked at radar and surprise, green has suddenly reappeared. And rates and flake size have picked back up again. Guess I will reach 2" after all. Pretty sure I'm up to 1.5" out there now. Streets remain just wet. Temp has finally dropped a few tenths, now down to 32.2 as the sun angle wanes for the day.
  6. Looks like I won't be enjoying the 1"/hr rates any more. Green coverage on radar is rapidly disappearing. Wow, I thought 2" was a lock but now I'm not so sure. Outside it's still coming down heavily but the flake size has gone back down. Still definitely 1/2" / hr rates. Looks like about 1 to 1.2" on the grass now. Temp holding at 32.5. For the event so far I haven't "officially" reached freezing yet. (I don't have a board up since I moved into an apartment back in November. I'll have to improvise with something soon. For now I'll just go out and measure it when it's finished.)
  7. Sidewalks finally caving as the temp has hit 32.5, DP 31.0. Temp has stopped dropping and is seemingly locked here. I'd say the grass now has about 0.7 to 0.8" on it now. About 0.1" on the sidewalks. Flake size has now increased to the largest it's been so far as the snow continues heavily. We could be approaching 1"/hr rates now.
  8. With heavy snow falling the temp has dropped to 32.7, DP 30.5. Grass/Mulch now turning white with around 0.2". Sidewalks/roads still just wet. Intensity is actually getting heavier now with visibility down to under 0.5" miles. Looking great out there! (I'm rooting for everyone, of course. Cash/Bubbler will probably do the best out of this).
  9. Temp down to 33.8 now, DP 30.3. Had a brief lull about 5 minutes ago but now suddenly it's picked up dramatically and is almost heavy. Grass/Mud just starting to show signs of some white. Edit>>Radar has green now over me. Snow getting heavier and is heavy now. Temp 33.4.
  10. Moderate snow now with visibility under 1 mile. Temp really starting to fall now, down to 35.1, DP 30.6. Flake size increasing also.
  11. Steady light snow now with lowering visibilities. Temp 36.7, DP 29. Going to need intensity to pull temps down towards 32.
  12. I love it when I'm inside the blue squiggly. Flurries have just begun and the green is rapidly approaching. Oh boy!
  13. Waiting for the arrival. Will definitely lose a little bit at the start as temp is currently 37. Dew point at 26 ensures a nice and quick drop after onset. Hoping for 2" with anything above that a bonus. Those greens on radar southwest of here are steadily moving northeastward. Should create some nice action once the ball gets rolling.
  14. Was holding out a little hope for something non-liquid with round 2 but alas it began as rain and has transitioned (barely) now to freezing rain with a temp of 31.5 degrees, dew point 29. So far 0.06" liquid from entire event. I suppose if rates really pick up some sleet could mix in but that's all I'm anticipating for around here.
  15. Well, @ItstrainingtimeSorry to say you busted for me. I've ended up with a dusting. Nothing on sidewalks, maybe at best 0.2" on cartops and the grass. Congrats bubbler and cashtown. I thought last night we were headed for 2" for real this time. Any white before January is a bonus for these parts. Like you I just keep my expectations low. We'll see what round 2 decides to do. Temp now 31.1 degrees with 28 degree dew point.
  16. Well, it took 3 hours longer than I originally guessed, but I'm not at all surprised the cold held on this long. Partly that's because the rain stopped over an hour ago (with 0.20" measured) and it's just been freezing drizzle up until right now. At 3:07pm I officially cracked freezing with a temp of 32.2 degrees. Our sidewalks were treated before the event (so someone was paying attention to the likelihood of some freezing rain), so they remained just wet. However all the shrubs and trees have a light glaze of ice with small icicles hanging. >>Congrats, Sauss on your daughter's accomplishment! Seems like serious job opportunities require post-graduate degrees now like a masters or doctorate.
  17. Just before 1:30pm it continues to freezing rain here. Temp is 31.1 degrees, dew point 29. I have recorded 0.17" of rainfall of which some has frozen on different surfaces. Haven't made any attempts to go out and try walking on sidewalks. Prefer to just stay in until temp is safely above 32. I'm a little surprised that CTP has absolutely nothing issued advisory-wise for the ice.
  18. Just before 10:00am it's 29.3 degrees here. Radar looks like steady light freezing rain should be starting over me shortly. I was going to mention this yesterday morning like I do once each winter. The pressure reached 30.71" here yesterday morning. Whenever the barometer reaches or exceeds 30.70" there is usually a freezing rain event that follows that within 24 to 48 hours. Looks like it's going to get "messy" around here for the next few hours. I'm not expecting me to reach 32 until at least noon.
  19. Big fat goose egg for me here in Carlisle. I don't even think I had flurries. For the season I think I'm around 0.3".
  20. Looks like we'll be waking up to white on Wednesday morning. As shown there's almost enough for winter storm warning amounts. I love events that go from rain to snow to accumulations. If it has to start out warm, then temps fall through the 30's and the changeover occurs.
  21. Wow! That's a nice looking surprise. It's funny how many of the previous runs showed Cumberland county...especially central....as a sort of snow-hole. Now it's flipped...haha. Honestly, if I can just get 2" to cover the grass from this event it will be a win for December 2nd. Like others have said I just can't figure out how CTP is playing down the snow potential big-time for the entire LSV. Run after run from different models have painted 2" or more area-wide and yet they just say 'nah'. Guess we'll have to wait until the overnight updates to see if they change their mind. At least they've dropped the temps back from 41 to 37 for the high tomorrow for me last time I checked. Regardless, it's an event to watch and filled with surprises yet to come.
  22. I guess so. Intensity would definitely make a difference. But the models have been consistently painting 1-2" for us by the end of the storm. Most of that should be the Sunday night/Monday event. Yet, State College says virtually no accumulations from part 2 for LSV region. My own feeling is that once we go over to snow early Monday it won't go back to rain and temps will never reach 40 for highs like they currently are forecasting. If the ULL does in fact pass right over us or just south of us that is where the lowest heights are located which should translate into frozen precip and not liquid IMHO.
  23. I'm down to 31.6 now just before 9:30. Was at my sister's in northern NJ and returned home a few hours ago. What I couldn't figure out is how Mt. Holly has them (Morris County) going from a mix over to all snow Monday morning with 2 to 4 inches of accumulation forecast by Monday night. How can they be going from a mix to all snow during Monday while we are forecast to go from a mix over to all rain during Monday with no accumulations? That difference does not make any sense to me.
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