CarlislePaWx

Haha. Thanks for the nice map. Wish I could be home to enjoy it. I've been in north Jersey visiting my sister this week and I head back to PA tomorrow (Friday) but not leaving until around noon. Looks like I might see falling snow, though, as I traverse I-78 heading back to Carlisle. I'll measure when I get back if any has accumulated and if any hasn't melted by 3:00pm.

Ok, this makes absolutely no sense. Cumberland county is in the WWA for tonight, yet my grid forecast has me with a low of 34 and says nothing but pure rain with a quarter to half inch expected. Something's fishy...lol.

Sorry to hear that, but thanks for the update!

So that "push" or "press" of arctic air has weakened or just isn't going to last as long now?

Absolutely beautiful day today...for early May! But it really does feel great though. 64.4 the current and high temp of the day. Guess another high temp record is about to fall at MDT. No one has updated us on the latest for the multi-day precip events. I was getting a little excited with last night's GFS showing 6+ at MDT by Saturday. NWS barely has anything wintry in the grids other than some zr. We've already had enough zr. But, always remember....Enjoy the weather...it's the only weather you've got!

You guys to the south who got 0.25 to 0.50" of rainfall were on quite the gradient. I only got 0.03" of rainfall today. Looking forward to the wintry developments for later this week and maybe some mood flakes tomorrow?? Today was the 3rd consecutive Saturday that was inclement. Remember, 3 weeks ago today was the great snow/sleet storm of Jan 2020. (lol)

There won't be anything accumulating here today. Temp up to 39.6 and rising. We had a brief period of light rain here around 6:00pm yesterday. Just managed to leave some water droplets on my car. Woo-hoo! Can't believe Jan has come and gone with very little fanfare. What will Feb bring?

After the Icon post I was going to say..."Let the north trend begin...". Last weekend we needed the south trend that never materialized. Like throwing darts, maybe eventually we'll be near the bulls-eye??

I can concur with @Cashtown_Coop....1.44" of rainfall overnight. Wow. Actually, I was saying to my wife yesterday that up until then this month had been quite dry. I only had 1.24" of liquid through yesterday. Now, that just literally more than doubled to 2.68". Still below normal precip for Jan.

Uhhh....954mb aint gonna happen. That pressue is 15mb lower than the superstorm's when it was at that same latitude. Fun to imagine though.

Thank you, @Jns2183, so much for that incredible report!! My memories of the 1960's begin in the mid 60's when I was around 6. I will always remember the stories my father told me of the winter of '60-'61. I was only 1, but he took a picture of me sitting on top of the biggest snow mound beside our driveway I've ever seen. He also did tell me they had to dig tunnels to get around the back yard the snow was so deep. (This was roughly 15 miles west of EWR.) I remember how excited I was when a snow day would cancel school. In our small town the fire department would blow the whistle 6 times at 7:00am and again at 7:30am to announce the closing. Since the town was only 1 square mile everyone could hear the whistle. How creative was that? The one other noteworthy memory I have is from the summer of 1966. I think that was one of the hottest summers of all time. It was the end of 2nd grade for me in mid June of 1966. I was 7. It was so hot in our building that our teacher just shut off the lights and had us all lay our heads down on our desks and remain quiet. What a combination of cold and heat during that decade. The same could be said 11 years later in the summer of 1977 when in July Central Park broke it's all-time high temp record when it hit 106. Then, remember what happened that following winter of '77-'78. One of the biggest Miller-B's to strike the northeast that February. Great memories for sure. I'll be recalling them over this weekend during our cold rainstorm! PS>>Hope you or your family member is OK!

Thanks for the blow-up map, @Blizzard of 93. There's no way the model will hit the exact amounts with perfection 3 1/2 days out. Talk about a gradient in my county...Newburg gets 12" while New Cumberland gets 1" !!! I think I've been around the 4" mark now for several runs, including this one. This one could be a real nail-biter.

Lol. That close up snow panel has me at 24". Hahahahahahahahaha.

Talk about durable...my temp overnight rose to 40 degrees and yet not even 0.01" of the frozen mixture in my rain gauge melted. Now the temp is back down to 35. I need the sun to come out before we drop below freezing to get some melting action going...lol.

Ironically, even though I really don't want my temp to go above freezing, for the moment I do want it to go up into the mid 30's. My tipping bucket rain gauge has all of today's snow and sleet sitting inside it, frozen, waiting to melt. I was hoping it would start melting today before midnight so the precip could actually be recorded on today's date. That's not looking likely now as my temp is just vacillating between 32.2 and 32.4 degrees. Last week I actually went out during the snowstorm and poured warm water into the gauge until it had tipped 45 times for 0.45" of liquid. All in the name of accuracy. Now is that dedication or what??

There's quite a bit of convection showing up on radar out by Mag and west central PA. Temps are in the mid to upper 40's in far western PA right now. The cold air hasn't even reached eastern OH yet. I'm thinking we might have quite the spike in temps over the next 6 hours as the front pushes eastward and scours out our surface cold. Currently I'm at 31.8 about to hit 32 any minute now. I wouldn't be surprised if we rocket up towards 40 overnight before settling back down.

The end is quickly approaching as the models had the end in here by 0Z. I still have sleet with just a hint of freezing rain mixed in, enough to create a small crunch to the snow as I walked on it from my car. I'm going with 0.8" of snow and 0.5" of sleet. There could have been a little more sleet but I'm working without a board at the moment. So 1.3" snow/frozen with a trace of zr on top should do it. Temp is up to 30.2 degrees now. @Blizzard of 93 You always find a way to post something optimistic...lol...in this case the almost snowstorm next Saturday. I'm glad we might have something to track during the upcoming week. All the sleet should slow down the melting of the snowpack considerably. I wouldn't be surprised if it lasts until Wednesday or Thursday. Anyway, thank you for your posts and updates. Very much appreciated!

Amazing. Yeah, I guess I was thinking more along the lines of Harrisburg vicinity. Lancaster definitely closer to the center. Still would not have guessed you had 4" of sleet. Wow. I wonder if there will ever be another superstorm in our lifetimes? I'm not sure if anyone ever compared that storm to the great November 1950 storm. I think PIT got 2 feet from that while EWR had hurricane conditions with sustained winds of 75mph for 12 hours. I know that seems impossible but it happened. Also, sub-zero temps in the panhandle of Florida. Would have loved to have been around for that one.

Perusing the latest ASOS obs it appears that they have a problem identifying sleet. All I see is Unknown Precip. Can they not identify sleet/ice pellets?

lol At that time, yes. But, now much happier to be a Pennsylvanian for the past almost 20 years.

You sleeted out here in the superstorm? I didn't know it reached this far inland. (I was in north Jersey at the time.) After 13" of snow i proceeded to have 5" of sleet!!! All with temps in the teens.

Well, that's it for me guys. Switched over to sleet about 10 minutes ago. Took a final snow measurement and it's 0.8". I don't have a board at the moment so I'm not going to be able to get a definitive sleet accumulation. But, I'll estimate a little later. Disappointed I didn't reach 2", but I guess we should listen to @Itstrainingtime who said when the low(s) are going west of you, lower your expectations regardless of the models. I never had high expectations but I was hoping to reach the 2" mark. The other disappointing thing is that the GFS took away our long-lasting cold stretch with its several snowstorms and replaced it with blah warmth. Hopefully we don't have to wait horribly long for our next legitimate snow shot. Temp 26.8 / 23.4 with a mix of sleet / snow I'd say 75%/25% right now.

Just went out to take a measurement. 0.6" on the ground. It's heavy now but the flakes are pretty fine still. Looking like it will get even heavier here when the moderate green arrives within the next 30 minutes. Temp down to 25.7 / 22.6. Dew Point is rising now. It held around 20 during the first round.

Heavier stuff arriving now. Moderate green on radar approaching. Hope that's snow and not sleet. 26.1.

Snow now moderate for the first time of this event. It has pushed the temp back down to 26.2. Looks like it's going to get even heavier here within the next 30 minutes as the green echoes make it here. Gotta get to that 2" mark fast before the mix arrives.