nrgjeff

My guess is that level of damage is why Mississippi is slow to get restored. NES is close to fully restored. @Carvers Gap my charts above are just as likely to be fulfilled by the polar jet as the STJ since it's still early season. I'm agnostic as to which. I just want action, ha! All, if we transferred some of the CAPE from the February thread we'd have a decent shot at severe. Sorry it's Free for All Friday!

Welcome to the land of Nada this weekend. You're a week late, ha! Yea the clipper has some gumption on clouds physics. Separately, we need to re-open Politics over in Off-Topic to let off some steam. Better there than here!

Ice storm started as a heavy rain outlook from CPC. Let's not do that again! Instead, how about severe weather?

Chase early. Chase often!

Few flurries in Chattanooga Sunday evening. I did a double take. Hoarfrost is as beautiful as ice, with zero impacts. Winner! The moonlight pix? Those have 99% solar eclipse vibes. Only 19 more years!

Above was a layup forecast with this low-level profile and upper level cold.

Regarding Chattanooga proper, we're just not a northwest flow town. I'm quite happy with the event though. Signal Mountain may restart if it hasn't already. Might as well be another Universe. As for Florida, ever since the Gulf of America, lol!

Hytop looks like an elevation map west of Chatty. Y'all enjoy! Then northeast Alabama drew a winter wx advisory. Where are or North Bama crew? Separately @Holston_River_Rambler lee of the Lakes had to be producing at the time of your image. RGB at the time had the orange tint to clouds.

We are officially past doubling down in blackjack. We have achieved a Hard Way in craps. Pays more. Two inches East Brainerd. Light snow continues.

Definitely a Midwest type of snow. Minnesota, KC, whatever. It is unusual in Chattanooga. We're enjoying it! I may be closing in on two inches. Definitely 1.5 blowing around.

Seems like almost everyone overachieved last night. MRX just posted additional snowfall forecast and it's over in the OBS thread. I would think a little more than that for northeast Tenn? Forecast wise.. Northeast Tennessee might only be around the 3rd quarter - far from winding down. See baroclinic leaf like feature. I was expecting just a lumbering cold core by morning. Instead, the system is still going. Then NW flow and upslope areas might only be at halftime. This is gonna go most of tonight there. Then the true Mountains (Smokies and Southern Apps) should still have snow showers Sunday morning. Southeast Tennessee will probably wind down to snow showers and flurries by midday. Signal Mountain should keep going with quality snow showers most of the day. Points north (Flattop Mtn. Cumberland plateau) should do even better. Daytime cloud physics. I prefer it over Vis to detect snow producing clouds.

Playing with house money now. Chattanooga is well above the 50% NWS forecast. See if we can double down and push the 90%. Maybe play the Hard Ways for highest scenario? I like blackjack and craps metaphors. Y'all to my northeast, I didn't expect this. Do we have a hint of a baroclinic leaf? Didn't look at model satellite depictions but that seems more bullish than forecast.. little more than just a lumbering upper-low. Bit early for Daytime RGB (transition from night RGB) but I think the leaf feature shows better than on Vis.

Per OBS thread, KCHA lower elevations has another couple hours as the last lobe on radar comes through. Shows as multi-layer clouds on Satellite (below) just coming in, and following the overnight round now east. Signal Mountain and points north especially the Upper Plateau should have good snow showers all day, some moderate north, in the moist low-level flow beneath cold core aloft. Several hours of steady snow will continue farther east in the Winter Storm Warning areas. Then any upslope areas will have snow showers well into tonight with the upslope half of the event. Mountains will still go hard overnight and probably still have snow showers going Sunday morning. Cold upper-level low is just swinging into northwest Tennessee at this 12:30 UTC shot below. That'll keep things going

I have an inch in East Brainerd. Found a couple less windy spots to measure. As usual a bit less than Ooltewah and Apison, but I'm happy with the result. I'd be happier if some of y'all would use the Apison Rd improvement by Southern instead of EB Rd. Multi-level clouds will soon depart the Chattanooga metro in a couple hours, and snow will wind down to flurries. Signal Mountain is a different story. As usual it'll benefit from the moist low level sounding. Snow showers all day! More outside my local Chatty area in the Forecast thread later. Coffee time!

It's getting windy because somebody posted Cousin Eddie, who is from Kansas. Some of it is typical fropa wind. We also have a bit of a press gradient tomorrow as the low press deepens off the Carolinas.