Terpeast
-
Posts
5,718 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Terpeast
-
12/5: 1.5” 12/14: 1.0” Total: 2.5”
-
Ended up with 1.0”
-
At least everything is white. Pretty with the xmas lights!
-
I was at 33 at 7 pm, then went up to 37 and once precip started back down to 33 and just now 32 as the back edge nears. The 4 degree rise can be attributed to the pooling of warmer air ahead of the front, kind of like the burst of temps before summer tstorms arrive. You should do much better over there, CAPE.
-
We all thought the rates would overcome, but it seems warm air pooled just ahead of the arctic front, making it a bigger issue for the dmv. North to fdk and along i-70 seem to be doing fine though.
-
Maybe an hour till back edge clears mby. Close to an inch
-
Seems the ops led the way on this one (provided the non-torch verifies)
-
Just checked other pws obs, most are at 32 and mine seems to be a warm spot. Maybe others nearby are doing better than me. eta: dropped to 32.9 and seeing some back building on radar, maybe we got time
-
0.5”, coming down good but temp still at 33. Maybe I was wrong about temps not being an issue
-
Snowing, 0.1-0.2” so far. 33
-
Few drops, 36. Precip band just to the NW should move SE with the cold air push. Patience is needed.
-
Nothing falling atm imby, 37. Didn’t think it was supposed to start this early though
-
Based on radar, expecting precip to start within the hour.
-
34.7
-
35 here too. Dew at 29. Don’t think temps will be an issue
-
Yeah i gotcha, I don’t like changing my forecasts too much. Maybe once after an initial call, but that’s it
-
This will be my last one
-
My updated forecast and final call (Note BR and cacotins can be double my numbers)
-
36.9 as of 5:15p in ashburn
-
I think this is the best hrrr run for loudoun, and its been more conservative than other models with the SW tail end.
-
If 0.4” qpf is correct for mby, thats a solid 3”+ which I think is the boom scenario. Very achievable though
-
Just now there is. Eastern Loudoun as well
-
Yeah anyone east of the BR is in the game, just the vibe changed when the models shifted main band NW, which isn’t surprising to see.
-
39 here, underperforming temp forecast (it was supposed to be 45)
-
Euro reflects my thinking on where the best banding may set up just NW of 95 rather than right along it or SE (except extreme NE MD through DE and S NJ.
