Terpeast
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Everything posted by Terpeast
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Or if he were a good marketer, he’d say something like “I’m working on a 2 week roll forward from this pattern, and if you’re a snow lover, you’ll love what I’m about to come up with. Follow me and stay tuned.”
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Well, stay warm!
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All the models showed the trace line right along my house for this time of day, so I can say that their forecasts verified. LWX was never bullish on any real accumulating snow east of the blue ridge, so that was pretty spot on.
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That's okay. I need to do a few day's worth of errands that I've been putting off far too long. I'll take the thaw and get em done before the reload (oops, there's that word again!)
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Officially a trace, with actual snowflakes. I'll take the W.
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Mulch circles under each tree are starting to whiten. RA/SN mix.
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Actually saw a few flakes mix in. On the board with a "trace" (yes, most of that is sleet, but who cares)
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Guess it's time for us east of the blue ridge to pin the slimmest of our hopes on the arctic front snow. Flurries for a minute? I'll take it. Then I'm punting to the 2nd week of Jan.
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Think it's now all rain. Ashburn
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Still pingers. White patches covering most of the deck. 34.
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Trace sleet accum becoming noticeable on my deck
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Took the trash out, saw some sleet mixing in.
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And now light rain. 34/30
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Same as mine. Not a flake out though. Bone dry.
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Nothing outside yet
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30/23 now
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Much better look, especially for January. Now let’s hope this isn’t underestimating the WAR.
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Still pretty dry at 900mb, good sign there.
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Found another station nearby, can’t say anything of its accuracy but it’s reading 33/26
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If going by the 3:1 dp/temp adjustment to wet bulb temp, IAD currently at 36/24 will meet at 33 at saturation. Rain. Could get colder with more CAD, but not with a light wind from the SE.
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Nice link! Thanks. I was looking at the NWS 3 day history
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The fall line in the recent run appears just west of my house. Probably once you gain elevation after passing Leesburg you’d see something.
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IAD dropped from 37 to 32 in the last hour, with a 22 dp.
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Only if we get a legit STJ. I don't see it yet.
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Looked at the models and trends today. I’m not buying into the anafront, but it wouldn’t surprise me to see a brief snow shower or two (no accumulation) just as precip shuts off on fropa. I’ll take that.
