BrianW

Lots of angry yellow jackets out in full force here today getting drunk and angry off fermenting apples...

NBC Connecticut’s map.

From donsuntherland1 in the NYC forum. The ECMWF weeklies had forecast temperatures to average above to much above normal across the region for the September 4-11 period. That forecast is verifying with the ongoing heatwave. September has increasingly become an extension of summer in parts of the Northeast. Since 2000, almost half of all years (48%) have had a monthly mean temperature of 70° or above in New York City. Prior to 2000, just 20% of Septembers had mean temperatures of 70° or above. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.6°C for the week centered around August 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.22°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.32°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter. The SOI was -19.67 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.527 today. On September 7 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 2.665 (RMM). The September 6-djusted amplitude was 2.560 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 76% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 71.6° (2.4° above normal).

Thanks for the clarification. You got a link for that graph/data? While this week won't rival the dews of yore in 59 and 73. It's still been a pretty historical first week of dews in September.

What a historic week of dews for September.

Some really special dews down here today. 88/74 with a heat index of 97.

What a furnace it's been on the CT shoreline with the overnight lows. 5 am and HVN is 79, BDR 76, GON 75. 77 for my low.

I think this year has 61 beat. BDL is +6.2 and in 1st for September with an average temperature of 75.1.

I like this site. Click view monthly charts Here is BDL Sept 79 https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/monthlysum.php?station=BDL&network=CT_ASOS

Today's highs for CT.

For GON and HVN to rank in the top 10 for CDD I would call that a warm summer. Both HVN and GON have put up positive temperature departures every month ytd as well. GON HVN

BDL ranked 24th for CDD JJA. It was though a pretty warm JJA here though with GON ranking 5th for CDD and HVN 8th.

Nice sultry Miami style night down here on the shoreline. HVN's high was 93 yesterday. It was 77-78 here most of the night.

@tamarack I'm at my lake cabin in NJ enjoying some jersey fresh peaches. The jersey fresh corn has been amazing as well.

What a great mid summer week coming up...

What a night on the shore to kick off labor day weekend. BDR 67, HVN 69, and GON 65 at 10 pm. Low of 59 here.

Nice day down here on the water. BDR 79 HVN 79 GON 78

BDL's top 5 warmest September's. 1961 68.7 +3.9 2015 68.5 +3.7 1971 67.7 +2.9 2017 67.6 +2.8 2011 67.5 +2.7 Here is Sept 1961 and 2015

You should see the amount of electricity/energy being used in the south central region. AC's running 24/7 and its still in the 80's inside is a common theme there. I read in TX the average kwh consumption for some has been like 2500-3000 kwh a month this summer. The US average is around 750 kwh/month. That area has also consumed a record amount of natural gas reserves and the south central gas reserve is close to the lowest on record.

What a summer for lawns.

And a 70.8 avg dew for August...

Nice to see another old ash being saved. Any idea on the age? I've been treating my 125+ year old green ash since the borer arrived around 8-10 years ago. It might be even older than that. It shows up on the 1934 Fairchild aerial survey of Connecticut as a good sized tree. I also used my neighbors ash tree that was smaller and removed and I counted 119 rings to try and compare to get a rough age. This picture was from the spring when it first leafed out.

YTD departures HVN J +10.9 F +5.1 M +4.1 A +5.1 M +.8 J +.3 J +4.1 A +1.1 GON J +10.1 F +4.8 M +3.5 A +4.4 M +1.1 J +.2 J +3.4 A +.8