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Everything posted by FPizz
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What Went Wrong in Winter 23-24/Base State/Will It Ever Snow Again??
FPizz replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Turned out the long range guidance was wrong because the mid-range guidance was way off. If the guidance was correct in the day 7-10 range, then the longer range guidance would have probably occurred. I think way too many put too much stock in the long range guidance when in the mid-range guidance is barely reliable. -
2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
FPizz replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
8.5", snowed for like 15 min moderately after this pic -
Yeah, nice to see him. Everyone here seems to know exactly what's going to happen weeks ahead of time. It's amazing! The whole place is like a funeral all the time. Like a bunch of old people talking about their ailments.
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Are their similar periods that weren't a miss that you can point out, or just this?
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06z gfs is 20 degrees cooler than this. Big difference for just several days out.
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My neighbor just went there on a cruise. Looked really fun. I didn't even realize they had cruises here.
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Yup, same happening here. My driveway is just starting to get covered as well. I measured on the old crust just now when taking the dog out. Picked up again here. Maybe we can make a run at 1.5". I don't totally blame school officials though, when they closed the forecast still said 3-5". I think all of us knew this was 1-3 in our area.
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Popping in from NJ. So glad for many of you. Its been a rough stretch.
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Aren't we just getting into 5 now? So our best week to date has been in P4. Isn't P4 supposed to be bad in Nino's? I think that is what Nittany was getting at, that there is a ton more to it than just getting into mjo phases. I think the split/weak pv helped for this week being winter like.
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1.5" then some sleet, Frz rain. Pretty huge bust when the forecast was 4-6" here. Overperformed with the last storm with the 4.5" I got, so I guess it evened out
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
FPizz replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It isn't just about the kids in your town, teachers have to drive to get there and many might need the extra time from floods.- 3,610 replies
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