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Everything posted by FPizz
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
FPizz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm going to make up stuff too and then say you wont find much (probably because its bunk).- 1,132 replies
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Similar here, .42" Those last 2 freezes were not good for local fruit growers. Read the same for southern NJ as well. https://www.lehighvalleylive.com/outdoors/2026/04/fruit-growers-estimate-some-90-100-losses-due-to-freeze-in-eastern-pa-northwest-nj.html
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34 this morning, 1.27" of rain this weekend.
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
FPizz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
He's a click whore that blocks everyone that brings up a different viewpoint. He can be good when he wants, but very dramatic and always looking for clicks.- 1,132 replies
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Agreed, the area's I needed to fix all grew in nicely.
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78. Might hit the range for a bit. Work can wait an hour
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Yeah, I was 91.2 a few days ago and last night 23.9.
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Thanks Colonel Kurtz from a philly board for these stats, impressive! Both obviously record lows. 27 degrees at TTN is the coldest this late in the season on record, previous latest 27 degrees was 4/20/1926, AVE date of the last 27 degree day is 3/25 24 degrees at ABE is also the coldest this late in the season on record, previous latest 24 degrees was 4/16/1943, AVE date of the last 24 degree day is 3/26
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24 for the low.
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
FPizz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
5 out of the last 10 have been mid-range here (between 18-30) just 30 miles SE of NYC. I'd say that is more Ted Williams.- 1,132 replies
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Got to 61 here last night, but already at 78. Glad the a/c is working well!
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88.5
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Add 1.5 degrees then to 1995. Wouldn't change what he said. We aren't talking about 1820.
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Beautiful afternoon. Looking forward to a firepit and a beer later on.
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
FPizz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
it is the accuracy of the record keeping from back then. It isn't a lie, but most likely not accurate. It could have even been more snow, but I'd question it no matter what.- 1,132 replies
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
FPizz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
2020's here, like 30 miles away from Newark, is 29.2. 2010s I was 35.9, so Newark did better. They have had some bad luck this decade with snow cutoffs. 1840s-60s is mostly nonsense.- 1,132 replies
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25 last night. Looking forward to more sustained warm temps.
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
FPizz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It is largely a huge guess and mostly filled in using a handful of data. If it was a science paper for college using that, you'd probably fail.- 1,132 replies
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Forecasting now vs. 30 years ago
FPizz replied to EWR757's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I haven't seen much improvement from the late 90s to now. More models, more resolution in those models and all it created was more chaos. With less models back 30 years ago, there was less of a guessing game to pick which model you thought was more accurate and more brain knowledge in each forecast. There are just as many busted forecasts now as there ever was. -
I have a forecast low of 28 on Tuesday night. Hoodie weather indeed
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didn't they change the location though? philly runs very high all the time. rainshadow (Tony Gigi) who used to post here years ago and worked for mt holly for years still makes fun of their temps. I'll take a real met over the wannabe's in here any day.
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
FPizz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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kdix back up!
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2026-2027 Strong El Nino
FPizz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
91-92 was 15" here, but a 10" March saved it being a total dud.- 1,132 replies
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
FPizz replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Radar out again?
