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Everything posted by FPizz
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How accurate are those MJO plots past 10 days? They are constantly posted, but the days talked about on them are always day 12++ and people act like they are always accurate, why is that? Aren't those plots based on similar guidance that once you reach that far out in time have an accuracy rate of Rick Ankiel trying throw a strike?
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I heard that as well here. .12" total rain
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It can be -10 in Morristown NJ, but we'll get a post on how in 1925 it would have been -13, while at the same Newark NJ is 45 and why that is right and their temps are perfect.
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Burst of mod snow the past 45 minutes here. Dusting on all cold surfaces
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Just saw a few flakes mixing in here.
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Down this way 18-19 had 27", 19-20 had 7"
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I've kept my own records since 87/88 and since then Novembers with an inch of snow+ have gone on to have 1 below average, 3 around average and 2 above average winters for my area. So odds seem to be slightly above average winter snow wise down this way.
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Thanks for this, I saw 2 by me last night around 815
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Saw a few stations nearby got to 21 and 22.
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Is that your first below 32? I got to 27 then it stopped dropping here.
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There was a strong smoke smell this morning where I am but it wasn't visible.
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I guess I was just west enough last night.
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Mitchnick posted this earlier but the tweet didn't imbed.
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Wow, 26.8 here. Metuchen getting those Newark temps now
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My forecast low is 25 even with the wind in the write-up, yours looks like 30
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Got to 66 here
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Or post about how in 10 days it looks warm. We know it is most likely going to be warm, we need to find those positive windows now
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I just asked in the hurricane thread, looks like we are at 159.8 thanks to @GaWx.
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What is the ACE for the season now?
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.33
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27
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31 so far
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Oh yeah, we have def been above normal nearly every month. I was just showing that we can still have decent winters even with a sea of warmth. We need to look for those good windows in the warmth and hope that they produce.
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2016-2023, those 8 years I amaveraging 32.2" of snow, or about 3" above normal. 3 near normal years, 1 a little below average, 2 stinkers and 2 well above average.
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Continue through mid-Nov...so a week. Bold prediction from Ben
