Jebman

Las Vegas region got demolished https://www.kob.com/news/top-news/photos-early-winter-storm-hits-new-mexico/ Vegas got smothered with a foot of fresh snow lol

Keepin a weather eye on this thing. I know there is zero chance it hits TX, but you never know. The only reason I worry about hurricanes in Austin is everything there is a bad storm in central Texas, guess who gets to help clean up the debris? That, would be me.

Doing pretty good. You?

Getting smacked by a thunderstorm line that is training over Buda. Its been 87/66 for a while, now it is 63/55 but feels like 43/16. I am NOT used to it being so damned COLD! Today it was 93/73 and I was so comfy, even snoozed outside in it in a chair while watching the puppies.

Uh oh. It's tracking right toward Texas. I am fervently sorry about all the times I bragged about 'no way hurricanes hit mby'. I know damn well we could get literally demolished by a really bad hurricane. Look what happened in Asheville NC, 33 inch rains and 130 mph wind gusts. THAT FAR FROM THE OCEAN! It has been really good knowing you all. Just in case, you never know. I'm not safe either. No place to hide this season.

Now on to a massive gulf storm dumping 20 to 30 inches of rain over the parched deep south, moving slowly into this frigid air mass. It takes on an extreme negative tilt and sucks up Brobdingnagian quantities of moisture from the GoMex and Atlantic. 12 inches of sleet fall in Atlanta. West NC gets demolished with 43 inches of wind driven snow........

Fixed. Because the Jeb said so.

Water can fall from leaves. It has happened to me down here in Texas in August in clear skies under a tree, water raining down on me from the leaves.

Palisades is getting pretty good snows. The stuff is accumulating even down at base level, at 6200 feet! https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/webcams

Wow check out Mammoth Mtn summit at 11K feet! They got snow already! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-summit McCoy Station at 9600 feet got smacked too! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/mccoy-station Main Lodge looks to have 12 inch drifts in places https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge Palisades Tahoe got smashed too! At least 5 inches on the 8200 foot Scope! https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/webcams This is ridiculous, this early! Uh-oh this is gonnabe a bad bad winter up there! Gonna need to keep a weather eye on that place from now on! This season is starting very very early!

It helps you are in western VA, at some elevation. Not as much trouble with the warming that comes off the Atlantic in some storms.

Seems like back where I actually lived in the DC Region, we did fairly well with Neutral ensos with snow.

I feel like I just won about 99 billion in mega millions with the megaplier. It's 90 degrees with a 66 dewpoint with a few puffy cumulus. Nice southerly winds. No rain for weeks. Fall will be more like summer. I love Ninas in south Texas! Its Oct 30, nearly November! INCREDIBLE weather!!

You'll be doing many of them. It'll be snow event after snow event, after snow event after snow event. You won't be sleeping much. You will be glued to those weather models.

It's a La Nina fall/winter in the Midwest. You guys will be COLD. You will get buried. This is the YEAR. My Uncle in west Wisconsin has already seen two lows in the low teens. This is going to be a big winter for the Plains and Midwest. That's what Nina does. Prepare accordingly.

I say this winter in the DC Region will turn out to be more of an El Nino type. You will all get more snow than you might think.

We are enjoying some shweet late October weather down here, normal high is 77 but we have been topping out in the low 90s with nice 60 dewpoints and very dry conditions for weeks on end! We just might manage to enjoy a nice mild winter here, while DC Region gets buried in snow in 2024-25!

I see that, however I have slightly elevated concern about possible TC development in the next week. Hopefully, I am nothing more than an old man worrywort. Yeah, that's probably it.

No conspiracy. Climate change, warm ocean waters, Nina. Just need to keep a Weather eye out.

May have to look out for Patty.

Perhaps.

I feel bad all those trees got knocked down, but some areas of the country we dont get fall leaf change. I cried like a chump in 2019, but after a while I just got on with life. It isnt everything. But I do feel really bad for West North Carolina. It's getting cold up there already and those people need relief!

Climate change is raging. Just look at poor Florida and west NC. These hurricanes are just exploding. This phenomenon is being provoked by climate change. Climate change will continue to ravage us this upcoming winter. La Nina will, too. It will be milder and drier than usual in the Mid Atlantic, and even worse in Texas. Places like Wisconsin will be impacted by cooler and wetter than normal conditions. My uncle in La Crosse has already seen two lows in the mid teens. The Mid Atlantic may see some precip, but I am very much afraid it may be rain or mix. You guys stand a decent chance at frozen hydrometeors this winter but I expect average snow tallies throughout the region into March 2025. PSU may get demolished by 200 percent of normal snows by late April or early May of the new year. As for my neck of the woods, it is going to be dry and quite warm into the Winter, no surprise there, I live in south central Texas. Normal temps in January are a high of 59 and a low of 41, which is why we can have fresh figs and tomatoes sometimes into New Years Day lol. Spring hits us in March often with 85/67 weather, then turns hot as hell with 102/74 for weeks and weeks and weeks on end that lasts into early October. This winter for us will be dry and mild. There are two things that tend to bedevil us in winter, one is those damn wind events that topple trees. The other is air just cold enough to support pesky freezing drizzle then the stuff just keeps on blowing in from the north for a few days, piling ice on objects until the weight causes big oak trees to snap, often right onto houses. This winter looks milder though and less drizzle. Mid Atlantic should see opportunities for meaningful snow but it will be challenging this winter. Elevations should do better obviously. La Nina can be tough on the Washington region in winter and so many things need to line up, especially with all the moving parts and climate change helping to muck things up.

Kinda getting the feeling, that nature has kind of gotten the severe hurricanes out of her system, for now lol. The gulf of mexico has got to have some time to recharge. Enough hurricanes. We got to start thinking about winter and snows and staying up for model runs. Hey, its almost November! OH, and one more thing! WxWatcher007, YOU ARE THE REAPER! We want you back, come Nov 27! We need you to Rule the Eastern Realms! You are desperately needed! This is going to be one of THOSE winters! I am forecasting only average snow tallies at best! We need you so bad! You need to don that Reapers Garment NOW! Get into practice! We will all be expecting your Inaugural Speech for 2024-25 on November 27th evening! Be there, or be square!

It's snowing at skidder. Meanwhile in Buda TX it's BRRRRRRRRRRRR. 50 degrees with a 27 dewpoint. This is arctic to us, we have been 96/74 for weeks and weeks. I am freezing to death.