Jebman

Here's to hoping that Beryl will get Chris'd.

AMZ001-022100- Synopsis for Caribbean Sea, and Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to 19N W of 55W 500 AM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Major Hurricane Beryl is near 14.6N 66.9W at 5 AM EDT, and is moving west-northwest at 19 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 145 kt with gusts to 175 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 935 mb. Beryl will move to 15.5N 69.6W this afternoon, 16.5N 73.4W Wed morning, 17.4N 76.8W Wed afternoon, 18.2N 80.2W Thu morning, 18.7N 83.6W Thu afternoon, and 19.3N 86.7W Fri morning. Beryl will weaken to a tropical storm over 21.2N 91.8W early Sat. A surge of fresh to strong winds and squalls is expected to move across the tropical N Atlantic tonight through Wed, then across the eastern and central Caribbean Wed through Fri, associated with a tropical wave, Invest 96L. $$ https://forecast.weather.gov/shmrn.php?mz=amz041&syn=amz001 That's sustained winds of 166 mph, gusting to 201 mph. This, is getting alarmingly BAD.

If Beryl becomes a sub-930 hurricane.......

165 mph sustained winds. Just wow.

If Beryl were to hit Houston, Buda would have relatively weak north winds. It would not be all that bad for us. But if it hits Corpus........ uh - oh. Everyone from Yucatan to Florida needs to watch. And pray. This is getting serious scary. Nothing weakens Beryl. Not shear, not nothing.

Yeah I used to think I wanted to go chase a Cat 5 with a pro chaser, but naaaaah. Risk can be fun but that would be pushing it. I'll stick with clearing brush in 103 weather in south Texas.

145 kts = 171 mph. Look, I dont want this. I never, EVER want to see a hurricane like this for real, but could this thing reach 200 mph? I know this is a super anomalous season with above norm SSTs, but that would be beyond ridiculous. In early July. In the ECARIB, for gollys sakes.

Right front quadrant of a Cat 5 hurricane may impact eastern Jamaica. Hopefully not though. Why hasn't Windspeed been red-tagged as a full-on Meteorologist? Get Windspeed a red tag NOW.

This is why Beryl is going to hold together all the way across the Caribbean. The storm is so strong and so organized, that the only thing that will ever be able to weaken it significantly will be unfortunately a landfall. This season is so anomalous its beyond unbelievable.

I am holding out some hope, that Beryl gets weakened a lot passing over the Yucatan. If Beryl weakened to a tropical storm, I would not mind it hitting Texas. I'd get cool clouds, 15 mph winds and a couple inches of rain. No muss, no fuss, no one gets hurt. Maybe the dunes lose a couple inches of sand. We can stand that. But HURRICANE Beryl. No way. It needs to weaken then die over dry land as a TS. It better not hit Tampico either, they already have way too much water in those basins. One thing I just now found out. I am NOT so safe. I am only 142 miles from that GoMex. Gonnabe a long season, and I'll worry myself silly

Reminds me of iCyclone coverage Beryl is one horrifically BAD storm

Definitely need to keep an eye on this storm.

Stay safe. Maybe Beryl will weaken some.

I am concerned for wxmx's safety should Beryl strike Mexico. This is an extremely dangerous hurricane.

So there is hope for preservation of life. That in itself is good news.

We fervently need to hope HARD that we have record shear in the Caribbean. I could mourn the Windwards for the next forty years, but this is only the very beginning of what looks to be one heck of a tribulation of a hurricane season. I would not want to be in the US Insurance business right now. That Barbados radar is absolutely HIDEOUS!

The beauty of Carriacou breaks my heart. I wish there was some way this thing could turn away from that island. Its going to flatten that beautiful place. Its so remote, help is gonna be hard pressed as heck to get to them, no electric, no drinkable waters and no food and likely humid and hot as hades the day after.

I look forward to those, if I don't get swept away by a direct Beryl strike on Buda lol. I would like them in PDF form please.

NE Mex landfall. That is bad for Mexico, but at least all south central Tx would see are a few low scudding cumulus and maybe a 25 mph breeze, maybe a couple of stray tropical showers. I'll take it.

113 knots is roughly 130 miles per hour. On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, a Category 4 hurricane has sustained winds of 130–156 miles per hour (mph). These winds are considered extremely dangerous and can cause catastrophic damage, including: Structural damage: Well-built homes can sustain severe damage, with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls. Unanchored structures can be completely destroyed, and extensive damage is likely to doors and windows. Tree damage: Most trees will be snapped or uprooted. Power outages: Power outages can last weeks to possibly months, leaving most of the area uninhabitable for weeks or months.

Absolutely beyond belief. This is June 30th?

I am hugging the Euro. That gfs is a catastrophe. Gfs brings Beryl right into Corpus, and I quake with insane fear at the thought of a Katrina intensity cane striking Corpus. Buda would be obliterated and I would be history. I am not up for this stuff anymore. I am an old man, all played out. If I had the cash ------ I would already be in northern Alberta.

That track is serious. If it verifies, Beryl will hit MY backyard.

Max possible peak for Beryl is Cat 5 165 mph sustained winds BUT it will weaken in the Caribbean.

So weakening IS expected after Beryl enters the ECARIB. At least that's some good news.