Jebman

Got two MORE inches rain today! WE have now had 33.4 inches this year! Some weeds along Rt 1626 in Buda/Kyle are over 6 feet tall! We have had FIVE INCHES of rain just in JULY!!! Even MORE rain is expected Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday! WE are just PILING it up like Palisades Tahoe piles up snow!

They are in Buda? I live in north Buda! I hope they are doing okay.

Thanks for the coverage! I loved lookin at all those big waves in the Gulf!

I am jealous of all your cool weather. What makes me TRULY jealous is that you are up in the Yukon Territories, that place is Jack London, Call of the Wild country!

You guys are gonna be swimming down there if you get all those TC's

We gotta keep a weather eye on those Invests. Gonna be a very busy summer and fall in the tropics

Benchmark, snowstorms in the SNE are not the only thing you are good at forecasting! Wow, tropical storms too! Excellent job!

So thankful the storm didn't come ashore at Corpus Christi.

Don't come to TX. You will REALLY MELT down here, lol.

I am fully content. It hit 99 today with wall to wall sunshine and I got the bajorkas worked out of me installing a new fence in the Texas sun. Few high cirrus. Same for tomorrow, highs in the upper 90s. Beryl is thankfully so far east, we got a tenth of an inch of rain in the forecast or none at all. Not to make light of Beryl hitting Houston or the Matagorda regions but hopefully the storm stays 60 mph and hits the land then decays and dumps harmless rains and gets picked up by the trough. We were very fortunate this thing got torn up by the Yucatan, dry air and shear. We could have had a Cat 5 160 mph TC smacking Houston per usual. No good at all. In the summer, here in south Texas I am a fully realized warminista. Its dry and plenty hot. I work outside in this stuff every day, too.

You are NO wannabe, George BM. You need to attend Met school STAT. We need your help. Weather will become more interesting with time. The high SSTs will not help.

Okay thundershowers entirely unrelated to Beryl dumped 2 inches on Buda today. Wind gusted to 25 mph at times. This now puts us at 30.2 inches for the year. Normal annual rainfall here is thirty inches. This area of rain looks like a kind of convergence zone, it is not moving but just keeps on redeveloping right on top of us, over a rather large area of south Texas right now. Austin and Houston are right in the thick of it.

Quick update. Don't look now but rain is developing over both Houston and the Austin regions.

Yes I should know better I will post with more care. Better yet, I will go take a walk for a bit.

I did not mean to appear to root for a TC to hit someplace. I will post with more care. I guess I wish for Beryl to be a weak tropical depression then bring beneficial rain to places that need it.

Okay. Agreed there. Areas west of I35 DO need rain badly.

Torch tiger I see you have awarded me a hot dog. Models all point to a Beryl LF much farther east. Beryl is very weak. The storm may redevelop but it will make LF much farther east. It is entirely possible Beryl will landfall in Houston on Tuesday afternoon-evening. If so, Buda will be hot and sunny. NWS says axis of heavy rain will be along and east of US highway 77, which is 70 plus miles east of Buda.. That is quite far east of Buda. That is well east of Bastrop. To say that I am relieved is a gross understatement. Storm is also moving fairly fast. Because of the track, I am now so far west, that I can reasonably expect mostly sunny skies and at least mid 90s temps. Hot dog me to your hearts content, but I am quite safe from Beryl in Buda. The track will be far enough to the east relative to my location, that I am assured hot humid dry conditions. I. REST. MY. CASE.

I am REALLY jumping the gun here. That said, I can't begin to express how relieved I am of Beryl going so far east. Buda will have hot weather and not a drop of rain and pleasant sunny skies. Beryl's remnants are moving right along.

Yep

Windspeed has a good explanation here: https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/60838-tropical-storm-beryl-hurricane-watch-mouth-of-rio-to-sargent-texas/?do=findComment&comment=7344239

The storm is NE of guidance and models are trending north and east. This is one we gotta keep an eye on til it does LF. My wag is probably Houston.

I might take your advice.

True enough.

This Texas LF gets far enough east, Austin may be in the clear. That, looks increasingly likely. Very good news. This could even turn out to be a New Orleans LF. I can feel the incredible relief and rising joy, kind of like the way people felt when WWII was over!!!!!!!!

if it moves N along the coast, we may end up with some rain then it passes north and hopefully east of us at good speed, 100+ temps and sunshine can continue the normal July dry out and warmup on into August here.